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江恩如是说(5)——如何交易

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1#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:26:35 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
说明:$ l. m3 `8 i6 e$ m
1.首发。转载请注明出处——
阳光飞狐/江恩理论;当然还有译者。谢谢!
1 O! C* _2 u# W+ ]; L9 y2.译文乃
初稿,未校稿,仅供参考!
$ V7 G5 h7 c9 `: C" ]------------------------------------------------------------------------
7 H1 F  x; E9 N- v+ hHOW TO TRADE
- O4 U, j8 z0 O* M  E3 \) gAfter you have thoroughly mastered all of the lessons, be sure you are right before you make
, |: B) t+ f0 m. ba trade.  Never guess.  Trade on mathematical indications only.' P5 k8 y3 U& q: O

$ H2 Q' C2 ~& J4 |2 N0 U; EWHAT YOU MUST KNOW BEFORE YOU START TRADING- L  l$ u' w8 L* Z$ d3 B' n. j( v
You must know exactly how to apply all the rules.  You must know where to place a stop loss
/ a5 Y! B5 Z8 |8 I8 Rorder  and must  look up what  cycle  the year  is  in,  that  is, whether  it  is  a bull or bear year,
# b' h- R( ?) y+ _# f: }- mwhether the main trend should be up or down.
% h% N- d7 d% ]. o( V! @* F9 @
: g1 I3 i! v' x1 Q, h- b8 PBefore  you make  a  trade,  either  buying  or  selling,  consider  the  position  of  each  individual 4 S4 _, S2 y( p& G! L
stock on the monthly chart; next consider the weekly chart and then the daily chart.  If they all : B# Z! W; \4 N* b0 ~  x
confirm an uptrend, it is a cinch to buy, provided you have located the point at which to place 7 K0 d1 D  M( ^) s0 V2 y
a stop loss order.  On the other hand, if the cycle shows that it is a bear year and the monthly,
; @  B7 s* s* Z8 Q4 T# Uweekly and daily chart show down trend, then it is the time to go short, but again, you must 4 N- n/ _" \2 h
look  for  the most  important point  ... where  to place  the stop  loss order so  that  it will not be & I6 z- E3 A& \. \" I# u
more than 3 points away and closer if possible.) t% N+ b. K- O9 F+ c; m/ \. y
! J6 n; }( S% A! u
WHAT TO LOOK UP BEFORE YOU MAKE TRADE5 a/ w4 ~, W$ }  X7 Q3 w& E% E: B
Following  are  the most  important points  that  you must  consider  before  buying  or  selling  a 4 {# E4 Y7 o+ f# {) r
stock:
/ y. X: x5 B9 ?  @2 T1. TIME  CYCLE  ... whether  Bull  or  Bear  year,  and whether main  trend  of  the  general
5 e# {- K4 k8 Gmarket is up or down.
! P  V/ y$ ?* o4 _( [8 U( J. i& g. _2. CYCLE OF INDIVIDUAL STOCK … whether up or down year.
- I  ?, `% U0 B! X8 g3. MONTHLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.9 n7 L' G+ G/ h7 F; a5 }
4. WEEKLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.* A( F0 W7 P% i3 y! W0 c0 c
5. RESISTANCE LEVELS  ...  see whether  the  stock  is  near  any  half-way  point  or  other
$ d0 n: E5 e# T2 Q# Gpoints of support or resistance.
# J1 g% f* I4 I( v+ D8 L& ~6. Study all FORMATIONS.  If a stock has held for several days, weeks or months around
* f' e6 K9 w- A  N1 _' r4 Wthe same level, determine whether it is about ready to cross tops or break bottoms.
5 [* `  C9 c( c; S- z# J% ~7. Look up VOLUME OF SALES.  See whether a stock has increased or decreased Volume
- E0 U& H5 {( z" o: p, ?over past few days or weeks.8 {, f2 F2 C1 w( Z5 i
8. Look up SPACE or price movements  from previous  tops and bottoms and  find out  the
# q1 O- ], z! {+ V9 Pgreatest  advance  or  decline  for  past  few  weeks  or months.    Example:  If  a  stock  has
6 A- g( ^% E( R& }+ Areacted 5 points  several  times  and at  the  time you  look  it up,  if you  find  it  is 3 points ( M! z6 {; j, V. \7 i5 m5 D
down from  the last  top and  the  trend  is up on monthly, weekly and daily with  the price + `; a- L2 |, W, r* r' n9 `/ X, j8 h
near a support point, you could buy with a stop loss order 2 to 3 points away.  If the stock
. W8 L6 U) i2 Tshould break back over 5 points, the previous reaction  limit,  it would show a change  in 5 o; Z8 ^% S' a3 m8 }
trend and you should go short of it.
2 L" G4 w6 O4 T% ^& a0 Y9 ^9. Never overlook the fact that you must have a definite indication before making a trade.
  K- Y8 J- t2 `. d; w5 R. W10. Most  important of  all  ... always  locate  the point  at which  to place  a  stop  loss order  to 5 O5 y1 D4 O6 @" j
limit risk.
: Z9 U& t2 {7 o+ A3 `% W
: E3 g+ v) a- M* z# QPRACTICE TRADING ON PAPER* M/ }8 ~3 U% D5 @8 e9 Z/ q0 S
After you feel sure  that you have mastered all  the rules and know exactly how  to determine " [$ Y. c  @1 @" C
the  trend  of  a  stock  and  the  place  to  begin  trading,  then  to make  yourself  doubly  sure  and
. q9 g: B3 A6 Eestablish confidence, practice trading on paper and till you thoroughly understand how to use 5 K1 c! T0 I4 p2 S
the rules and when to use them.  If you make mistakes trading on paper, then you would make 4 q$ l7 z, I8 O. z3 \2 s
mistakes at the time in actual trading and you are not ready to begin trading.  When you feel
! Q" d6 t, `7 L3 _, p- Hthat  you  are  competent  to  start  trading,  apply  all  of  the  rules  and  TRADE  ONLY  ON
3 E5 }" n& N) \# P7 f) x. sDEFINITE  INDICATIONS.   If you are not sure of  the  trend or  the buying and selling price ) {- L# J0 m$ m& s! `- E+ y
and not  sure where  to place  a  stop  loss order,  then wait until you get  a definite  indication.  / e9 w5 @9 w& T
You can always make money by waiting for opportunities.   There is no use getting in partly ) _4 }. N7 l5 n1 j
on guesswork and losing.+ n5 V% r. r# w

' c8 @  F# g: Y- ~5 uWHEN TO CLOSE A TRADE
# ]* j6 f* r  T% B( zAfter you start actual trading, when you make a trade, don't close it or take profits until you ) K  {) {1 F' X. u+ e
have a definite indication, according to the rules that it is time to sell out or buy in or to move + n, n/ u  e6 z8 i  ]- K, Q- f
up  the  stop  loss order and wait until  it  is caught.   The way  to make  a  success  is  to always
; @* C1 \# E9 ^# gfollow the trend and not get out or close a trade until the trend changes.
- j0 J' D: B, i3 p8 i# R
7 G* U' `5 E% w6 q/ S& C" @WHEN TO WAIT AND NOT TRADE
( `2 [5 ?0 C4 R4 v9 E' cIt is just as important to know when not to enter the market as it is to know when to enter it.  
- l: H. \0 \* F8 N: }4 \7 ~The  time not  to make a  trade  is when you find a stock has been holding  in a narrow trading 4 L& m) n! M' N2 k+ f9 D5 M
range  for  some  time,  say,  a  5-point  or  a  3-point  range,  but  has  not  broken  under  bottoms  
/ V% g/ \1 F5 R4 L. [; m, ~4 Kpreviously made or crossed tops previously made.  A stock may stay for weeks or months or 9 h. A' ], b* z" f9 ~2 D- e2 G  S
even years  in a  trading  range and will not  indicate any big move or change  in  trend until  it " [( J; P; B6 ~9 m) ~( N
crosses  as  a  previous  top  or  breaks  a  previous  bottom.    After  a  prolonged  decline  stocks   C4 q/ U7 E& S0 h: }* ^' H
nearly always narrow down and hold in a trading range for some time.  If a stock is inactive in 3 ^/ f) \) D4 A3 e) H, G. D
this position, it is no time to start trading in it.
( I2 O" l( w: O' }
6 N& I; A8 @, G* O% ]5 aFOLLOW ALL RULES1 ]7 o( F/ g7 M
Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for ) [% d. X) w# i; j
forecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
! H/ X! J; ~  T  J: R1 Z  L, Uand tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in 1 D" v; J5 i& X; {0 Z
wrong.  The whole can never exceed all its parts and all the parts make up the whole.  If you
5 @/ u- a* q: a" Jleave out one of the rules, you will not have a complete forecasting method or trend indicator.
# ?) v) G+ B" C! b) \Your success with the method depends upon you doing your part, studying and learning how 3 y5 m* t2 [" h; ?/ P2 b
to apply  the rules and not mixing any  inside or outside  information or reasoning against  the
/ r" X& D7 V; E8 Mmathematical indications.  No man ever made a success at anything who did not work hard.  I 3 ~, q- ?! j; p* {* R; D$ @
have done my part, and it is now up to you to do yours.

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2#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-11 17:28:26 | 只看该作者
。。。。。。。。。。。。。

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3#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:30:43 | 只看该作者
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
4#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-11 17:32:55 | 只看该作者
原帖由 WHSH 于 2009-5-11 17:30 发表 ' w* U, ?* R# g" z
先生

, G+ ], j! c1 k0 F3 F. p
5#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:33:21 | 只看该作者
谢谢先生
6#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:39:46 | 只看该作者
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
7#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:01:47 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
8#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:23:21 | 只看该作者
9#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:29:16 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
10#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:43:26 | 只看该作者
谢谢
11#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:48:35 | 只看该作者
辛苦了
12#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:02:43 | 只看该作者
13#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:02 | 只看该作者
14#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:33 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享。
15#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:46:54 | 只看该作者
16#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:51:04 | 只看该作者
17#
发表于 2009-5-11 21:47:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享
18#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:08:32 | 只看该作者
谢谢,楼主分享!
19#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:33:51 | 只看该作者
20#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:45:16 | 只看该作者

回复 2# 甘恩 的帖子

“Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for
- }8 Y2 E' G% u+ _; L/ M$ uforecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
8 y7 |. Y! r* V: K; s! qand tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in ! L3 k4 i6 i: t$ `3 }. I& Y
wrong. ”0 n- t: K5 g4 u; x' q

" Q6 A3 `0 `3 G2 y' q' U
% H6 Z; l/ ?& `# Y  p- K' Q: f. G" B
“记紧,跟随所有规则;检查再检查;研究大小周期以作预测,看紧阻力水平;观察市场的顶部及底部之形态,及顶底之间的形态。若有任何遗漏,将陷你于错误之中。”——来自《江恩理论——浸润走势分析》P257
1 d* d, q" V* h2 `( }
. P9 t- a. w. _2 W* j: Y4 X+ b+ x感谢甘兄立此帖!!!
; f3 [1 X! E6 K6 w
+ d* T; X1 I) @# r

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21#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:37:15 | 只看该作者
正吖,支持~
22#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:47:03 | 只看该作者
感谢甘兄!!!
23#
发表于 2009-5-12 01:45:36 | 只看该作者
非常感谢甘恩!
24#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:15:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
25#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:16:54 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
26#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:47:16 | 只看该作者
谢谢
27#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:53:23 | 只看该作者
$ Q. m; W# I. ?4 Z, ?
谢谢!
28#
发表于 2009-5-12 15:32:28 | 只看该作者
谢谢无私分享
29#
发表于 2009-5-12 21:16:21 | 只看该作者
谢谢甘恩兄。
30#
发表于 2009-5-21 16:28:57 | 只看该作者
很好的教程,谢谢!!
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