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江恩如是说(5)——如何交易

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1#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:26:35 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
说明:
! `* }# [2 ^8 x1.首发。转载请注明出处——
阳光飞狐/江恩理论;当然还有译者。谢谢!
' d, V& u. ?- r8 g6 a2 f2.译文乃
初稿,未校稿,仅供参考!1 t6 w# d( E8 r( w
------------------------------------------------------------------------
6 c, E, k4 \+ @, d' `2 zHOW TO TRADE4 c/ M! l4 p1 @6 ?6 v. f3 g
After you have thoroughly mastered all of the lessons, be sure you are right before you make
8 x: I' t% ^- Fa trade.  Never guess.  Trade on mathematical indications only.8 O3 Z- a2 J$ y; q. ~$ q

4 F1 a5 O& i6 [! j& x% Q! I+ lWHAT YOU MUST KNOW BEFORE YOU START TRADING, t/ Z' F; z5 _" N9 w
You must know exactly how to apply all the rules.  You must know where to place a stop loss % G+ a& P* P* i9 @. y. y% [. j4 I
order  and must  look up what  cycle  the year  is  in,  that  is, whether  it  is  a bull or bear year,
& O9 I3 ^4 B2 Jwhether the main trend should be up or down.
- w# m0 v2 ^! F  H% ~. ^# w2 O9 x0 W! y: O
Before  you make  a  trade,  either  buying  or  selling,  consider  the  position  of  each  individual
! ^: R$ L& d! c2 g$ V# X) ^stock on the monthly chart; next consider the weekly chart and then the daily chart.  If they all
' u7 M. y- t( Z- l2 g- L6 W$ r- Xconfirm an uptrend, it is a cinch to buy, provided you have located the point at which to place . x" y! D, {- Q# l8 V# B
a stop loss order.  On the other hand, if the cycle shows that it is a bear year and the monthly, * {6 M! E0 n- Z5 W
weekly and daily chart show down trend, then it is the time to go short, but again, you must
. k( Z8 \9 i0 Z7 X7 Z( rlook  for  the most  important point  ... where  to place  the stop  loss order so  that  it will not be
0 e- `; _. G: s4 F: Y' [7 `more than 3 points away and closer if possible.7 C/ S0 V/ L/ R

) q" b% F# p) f/ j/ uWHAT TO LOOK UP BEFORE YOU MAKE TRADE8 M+ {' a9 U- Y
Following  are  the most  important points  that  you must  consider  before  buying  or  selling  a
4 _8 G9 [1 W& dstock:. n0 g' A& G9 h6 h
1. TIME  CYCLE  ... whether  Bull  or  Bear  year,  and whether main  trend  of  the  general
# O4 G; A, a$ imarket is up or down.8 _8 w2 L1 v6 E2 j5 L' ]5 K
2. CYCLE OF INDIVIDUAL STOCK … whether up or down year.
) s5 R  t2 a0 H, o; K2 I3. MONTHLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.- z, n5 y  N8 O) e4 X' b
4. WEEKLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.* @: _' P+ O; I3 ~) ~9 [+ o
5. RESISTANCE LEVELS  ...  see whether  the  stock  is  near  any  half-way  point  or  other
( F% P5 T' ~# \! q+ w! `7 g+ A3 F3 Jpoints of support or resistance.
: E' p6 p, a6 w6 L6. Study all FORMATIONS.  If a stock has held for several days, weeks or months around
" f+ k$ \. H2 k0 e+ bthe same level, determine whether it is about ready to cross tops or break bottoms.
7 b* H# \! N, L0 t7. Look up VOLUME OF SALES.  See whether a stock has increased or decreased Volume
$ l: `: H/ d& D( V) c8 Eover past few days or weeks.
) S% x  X4 F, H5 k# T% {8. Look up SPACE or price movements  from previous  tops and bottoms and  find out  the
. o- v1 r& m5 r  Q1 M& q" Ugreatest  advance  or  decline  for  past  few  weeks  or months.    Example:  If  a  stock  has
* v" r2 V3 R% x- Kreacted 5 points  several  times  and at  the  time you  look  it up,  if you  find  it  is 3 points
4 r- `0 O  Q) a4 o9 ]down from  the last  top and  the  trend  is up on monthly, weekly and daily with  the price
2 s) O# B* R( x2 f( q0 s! Vnear a support point, you could buy with a stop loss order 2 to 3 points away.  If the stock % J. ]: l+ \8 `1 M' Z; l# Y9 ]( }
should break back over 5 points, the previous reaction  limit,  it would show a change  in 4 K. _+ P- m* j8 y$ l# X
trend and you should go short of it.
5 |) h, v" K9 V* |: I( W9. Never overlook the fact that you must have a definite indication before making a trade.& f4 a7 M# w& `- S, q
10. Most  important of  all  ... always  locate  the point  at which  to place  a  stop  loss order  to
1 s8 f' [; Y6 }limit risk.
* A5 m6 Z/ U; t& f) P8 ?/ y- N3 z
PRACTICE TRADING ON PAPER
+ H; ^; @3 E: [* S+ R( e2 }. TAfter you feel sure  that you have mastered all  the rules and know exactly how  to determine
8 E1 B0 I- ^! N. ?, Fthe  trend  of  a  stock  and  the  place  to  begin  trading,  then  to make  yourself  doubly  sure  and   D1 i1 i1 |8 c: J& ?/ \
establish confidence, practice trading on paper and till you thoroughly understand how to use
) D; F$ S9 j8 X" J# K3 G  J: athe rules and when to use them.  If you make mistakes trading on paper, then you would make
' a% ^' P6 B! |2 I9 u4 [( ?mistakes at the time in actual trading and you are not ready to begin trading.  When you feel , d% ]0 U6 E% `/ m9 h  }
that  you  are  competent  to  start  trading,  apply  all  of  the  rules  and  TRADE  ONLY  ON
( r5 k' A- q; X0 _$ rDEFINITE  INDICATIONS.   If you are not sure of  the  trend or  the buying and selling price
1 v  X& Y( {* K! gand not  sure where  to place  a  stop  loss order,  then wait until you get  a definite  indication.  0 m. }4 V& U8 I  ?) B" B2 M- w
You can always make money by waiting for opportunities.   There is no use getting in partly $ H) P7 y, Y+ E6 d
on guesswork and losing.7 D# J" ]3 [. |( T' X6 a; h

, C4 [# l& q, S* z, Q3 d+ nWHEN TO CLOSE A TRADE( s- z! L4 @% p- }+ w
After you start actual trading, when you make a trade, don't close it or take profits until you * h( l$ M) q& O! ^5 r3 R
have a definite indication, according to the rules that it is time to sell out or buy in or to move ' S1 o% n& N$ B4 h
up  the  stop  loss order and wait until  it  is caught.   The way  to make  a  success  is  to always
! P. b) P6 R+ e. S5 b, Zfollow the trend and not get out or close a trade until the trend changes.
" {5 j9 K) g' ]$ d6 F# b  z2 g  [
; [" ?$ [: O! F; F5 \" dWHEN TO WAIT AND NOT TRADE0 i4 H) a2 U. h+ x7 C" {& w; \! Y% k
It is just as important to know when not to enter the market as it is to know when to enter it.  ! o/ f- h9 D& R0 \8 U9 x
The  time not  to make a  trade  is when you find a stock has been holding  in a narrow trading
# r1 ^6 V7 f6 w) i  X0 prange  for  some  time,  say,  a  5-point  or  a  3-point  range,  but  has  not  broken  under  bottoms  4 r3 U9 s) B$ {2 W) Q
previously made or crossed tops previously made.  A stock may stay for weeks or months or
; f6 Q2 I9 z; X; c$ [, veven years  in a  trading  range and will not  indicate any big move or change  in  trend until  it
4 ~6 u' y% Y  {) R. dcrosses  as  a  previous  top  or  breaks  a  previous  bottom.    After  a  prolonged  decline  stocks
6 {. c0 I9 ~' F  [nearly always narrow down and hold in a trading range for some time.  If a stock is inactive in
. f4 j+ }, }, I- Q) lthis position, it is no time to start trading in it.
& f8 G  A- t3 j7 u
3 ?5 E9 Z+ u& @; \, G, e9 sFOLLOW ALL RULES( ~+ G. I; c+ i- I2 O* ]* |) k8 y5 x
Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for
! N, y5 T0 i+ F/ d" h. |7 G5 [# F; y7 yforecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
$ N5 m. Q8 O1 m9 @* j' Sand tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in 7 N3 N& [1 V% W
wrong.  The whole can never exceed all its parts and all the parts make up the whole.  If you
! U/ f$ w* T# e& C) R; m+ T* Jleave out one of the rules, you will not have a complete forecasting method or trend indicator.2 G' A0 s& ]% d/ E
Your success with the method depends upon you doing your part, studying and learning how
6 l8 y5 c3 z5 m; G, @" `% mto apply  the rules and not mixing any  inside or outside  information or reasoning against  the . C; }, U/ R/ C/ L+ u9 V8 r
mathematical indications.  No man ever made a success at anything who did not work hard.  I
: R1 O, _( u, _8 }have done my part, and it is now up to you to do yours.

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2#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-11 17:28:26 | 只看该作者
。。。。。。。。。。。。。

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3#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:30:43 | 只看该作者
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
4#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-11 17:32:55 | 只看该作者
原帖由 WHSH 于 2009-5-11 17:30 发表 , }+ H$ j* N0 w7 K
先生

% M$ x7 [+ z- l. W- Q
5#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:33:21 | 只看该作者
谢谢先生
6#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:39:46 | 只看该作者
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
7#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:01:47 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
8#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:23:21 | 只看该作者
9#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:29:16 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
10#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:43:26 | 只看该作者
谢谢
11#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:48:35 | 只看该作者
辛苦了
12#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:02:43 | 只看该作者
13#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:02 | 只看该作者
14#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:33 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享。
15#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:46:54 | 只看该作者
16#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:51:04 | 只看该作者
17#
发表于 2009-5-11 21:47:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享
18#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:08:32 | 只看该作者
谢谢,楼主分享!
19#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:33:51 | 只看该作者
20#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:45:16 | 只看该作者

回复 2# 甘恩 的帖子

“Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for
: j: M" R! w6 a- Z3 lforecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
9 ?3 h& J2 R+ b" rand tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in
% u  G' Y1 e! [wrong. ”
& b8 z$ t0 T7 d4 y) G1 ?+ R1 \8 }) G2 }# e1 M. P
# \$ a: ?- m/ g% T+ _3 P; @

( i& N1 w: n2 t! N8 k  q“记紧,跟随所有规则;检查再检查;研究大小周期以作预测,看紧阻力水平;观察市场的顶部及底部之形态,及顶底之间的形态。若有任何遗漏,将陷你于错误之中。”——来自《江恩理论——浸润走势分析》P257
+ |# i) [$ L) n* h8 O1 X% K! }# }& \- r5 U  p. x( `' Y6 M- j
感谢甘兄立此帖!!!) n6 Z: Z# A" l+ y. ]2 J
( X" W% x' s- i/ w+ j$ w# ^: D

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21#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:37:15 | 只看该作者
正吖,支持~
22#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:47:03 | 只看该作者
感谢甘兄!!!
23#
发表于 2009-5-12 01:45:36 | 只看该作者
非常感谢甘恩!
24#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:15:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
25#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:16:54 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
26#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:47:16 | 只看该作者
谢谢
27#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:53:23 | 只看该作者
! c6 u. I& K8 U+ d9 _% \
谢谢!
28#
发表于 2009-5-12 15:32:28 | 只看该作者
谢谢无私分享
29#
发表于 2009-5-12 21:16:21 | 只看该作者
谢谢甘恩兄。
30#
发表于 2009-5-21 16:28:57 | 只看该作者
很好的教程,谢谢!!
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