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3 O5 T5 i5 k- x+ R1 y1.首发。转载请注明出处——阳光飞狐/江恩理论；当然还有译者。谢谢！3 B$ E& `6 [9 w; z2 T
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3 C# C% d8 x( q5 s' Y原文：; g8 S0 A8 l" R, h. ~: a( |
IMPORTANT POINTS TO REMEMBER IN FORECASTING0 }% ?$ r8 E; ]+ F: S; V* f
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TIME is the most important factor of all, and not until sufficient time has expired does any
, C& g- l6 C/ ]# I0 Jbig move up or down, start. The Time factor will overbalance both Space and Volume. ' a# a4 j, {/ Q& O1 g
When Time is up, space movement will start and big volume will begin, either up or down. " g! N: N; y8 U2 S) B7 _8 b' _
At the end of any big movement – with monthly, weekly, or daily – Time, must be allowed
. R- j, N2 q% ^2 @4 q! N, wfor accumulation or distribution.
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Consider each individual stock and determine its trend from its position, according to distance
. u* q5 v! \4 I2 H0 s; D- Nin time from bottom or top. Each stock works out its 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 10, 15, 20, 30, 50 and 60-. c* U2 y& d5 a; r1 T' N
year cycles from its own base or bottoms and tops, regardless of the movements of other ) Y' x2 s( q. T
stocks, even those in the same group. Therefore, judge each stock individually and keep up
! v% E% o/ c0 R, e0 d; k" r) zweekly and monthly charts on them. l9 X. `( ~, M* I1 U0 Y7 [! U" M
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Never decide that the main trend has changed one way or the other without consulting the $ g3 v2 A. y9 q0 h$ P' j6 m
angles from top or bottom and without considering the position of the market and cycle of
! H$ b% e7 k; E1 K; W" neach individual stock.
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Always consider the annual forecast and whether the big time limit has run out or not before
! z0 [$ i' ]3 N& ]: kjudging a reverse move. Do not fail to consider the indications on Time, both from main tops % s4 V! B# {# o. i2 ^/ x9 I7 J
and bottoms, also Volume of Sales and position on Geometrical Angles.
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A daily chart gives the first short change, which may run for 7 to 10 days; the Weekly Chart : s9 z7 w1 C1 D
gives the next important change in trend; and the Monthly the strongest. Remember, weekly O1 n k8 h& M, U) G: [ X4 s
moves run 3 to 7 weeks, monthly moves 2 to 3 months or more, according to the yearly cycle, . @. Z, q6 ]0 T
before reversing.
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Yearly bottoms and tops: it is important to know whether a stock is making higher or lower
% w, U, i$ L( ~/ K- f; [0 N# {bottoms each year. For instance, if a stock has made a higher bottom each year for five years, 8 e9 s- Y: @/ ^% \! E4 e& ~
then makes a lower bottom than the previous year, it is a sign of reversal and may mark a long
! { b) Q" o" Q! n2 u- ^8 _& q2 J+ Kdown cycle. The same rule applies when stocks are making lower tops for a number of years
% d4 @3 `. U# l! i* Qin a bear market.1 W3 ^$ `2 q9 q
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When extreme advances or declines occur, the first time the market reverses over 1/4 to 1/2 of 5 w! A& \1 D' t3 S; O4 B
the distance covered in the previous movement, you consider that the trend has changed, at
* v. G& T% i. i- Ileast temporarily.# |+ c$ f" l2 z
, V) n" p* | h& C/ \ I3 QIt is important to watch space movements. When Time is running out one way or the other,
& z/ G! r# K% W6 M K* Uspace movements will show a reversal by breaking back over 1/4, 1/3 or 1/2 of the distance of
3 m# s0 V! T! Fthe last move from extreme low to extreme high, which indicates that the main trend has ) w/ `. I; \) T& R
changed.
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: o' U4 O# q' j/ h# F! AStudy all the instructions and rules that I have given you; read them over several times, as
: }' F, Y, F9 T$ G4 x( y# d* deach time they will become clearer to you. Study the charts and work out the rules in actual $ `7 I; c1 J# ~ h1 V( G
practice as well as on past performance. In this way, you will make progress and will realize
" r' J) X4 E- ^$ o2 b* eand appreciate the value of my Method of Forecasting.
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发表于 2009-4-30 10:58:01
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楼主
发表于 2009-4-30 11:22:23
哦，原来是007兄！
发表于 2009-5-3 10:30:27
发表于 2009-5-4 12:51:27
