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江恩如是说(5)——如何交易

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1#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:26:35 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
说明:! l/ b, Y* d) f; I3 P# E) N
1.首发。转载请注明出处——
阳光飞狐/江恩理论;当然还有译者。谢谢!
+ p$ o: z$ m$ y2.译文乃
初稿,未校稿,仅供参考!
" H3 }* K7 q8 H8 |7 @------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 `, A) j$ D0 e5 D% U; ]7 NHOW TO TRADE
) e: p5 \# O- Z  |After you have thoroughly mastered all of the lessons, be sure you are right before you make : m5 [; I# S% I: q, a
a trade.  Never guess.  Trade on mathematical indications only.
) n; ]5 p+ d# P& c0 [7 t2 [6 d! T$ ^8 K: Z. e; V$ U
WHAT YOU MUST KNOW BEFORE YOU START TRADING+ L* b7 V1 p7 F3 a3 v. q
You must know exactly how to apply all the rules.  You must know where to place a stop loss / \% O( ~" _+ @: z( C: s& O
order  and must  look up what  cycle  the year  is  in,  that  is, whether  it  is  a bull or bear year, * l4 @" _8 B* M/ e' l  U2 Q
whether the main trend should be up or down.
0 C" t( X$ y& S+ b' D
! {9 a% P5 A- `' W0 M* R- p# yBefore  you make  a  trade,  either  buying  or  selling,  consider  the  position  of  each  individual
2 p7 i9 j! {) j! qstock on the monthly chart; next consider the weekly chart and then the daily chart.  If they all
! D! }6 f8 v; Wconfirm an uptrend, it is a cinch to buy, provided you have located the point at which to place 4 i2 C: }" I7 z; d: s
a stop loss order.  On the other hand, if the cycle shows that it is a bear year and the monthly, ) z" E5 j/ p) E$ K
weekly and daily chart show down trend, then it is the time to go short, but again, you must 0 w' d  D2 S/ C, k. r
look  for  the most  important point  ... where  to place  the stop  loss order so  that  it will not be 5 r' J, t) c- A7 k0 p
more than 3 points away and closer if possible./ X$ E) ?  e; D2 r1 [2 _4 B) L$ g

) |! e: j& e$ y9 q. o7 C8 e! I0 JWHAT TO LOOK UP BEFORE YOU MAKE TRADE
6 t' |$ y( C( }1 cFollowing  are  the most  important points  that  you must  consider  before  buying  or  selling  a
! P6 o( g, b: kstock:+ X3 z5 f4 r4 T( x: G
1. TIME  CYCLE  ... whether  Bull  or  Bear  year,  and whether main  trend  of  the  general
9 d; @2 ], ^" E' a% Rmarket is up or down.0 ^, M1 ?; n. }  k4 d# f1 i
2. CYCLE OF INDIVIDUAL STOCK … whether up or down year.; h0 ?2 W7 L9 a# m6 F; o
3. MONTHLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.
: Q3 l& W9 h4 x% B4. WEEKLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.
; t3 e* ]2 \, i3 o2 \: S5. RESISTANCE LEVELS  ...  see whether  the  stock  is  near  any  half-way  point  or  other
/ G  i. Q# g- ]points of support or resistance.
  `" S8 N& F4 D3 E& e- h6. Study all FORMATIONS.  If a stock has held for several days, weeks or months around 3 T" J# h6 g3 I! ^/ H7 T) y3 p  n
the same level, determine whether it is about ready to cross tops or break bottoms.
5 W" ^: n5 F: M; T( |6 |: A7. Look up VOLUME OF SALES.  See whether a stock has increased or decreased Volume & z; H3 l2 N: Z( ]+ X
over past few days or weeks.
( d8 H# d# i! q: q5 U3 U8. Look up SPACE or price movements  from previous  tops and bottoms and  find out  the
8 @7 t# a! w8 d% L- ggreatest  advance  or  decline  for  past  few  weeks  or months.    Example:  If  a  stock  has
9 y. g' A2 L- m( ^  W  H( R1 d  Nreacted 5 points  several  times  and at  the  time you  look  it up,  if you  find  it  is 3 points + I! C, _4 N. W* Q7 \
down from  the last  top and  the  trend  is up on monthly, weekly and daily with  the price
% j( ?6 L9 j2 \1 I7 r* Q, ^3 S) knear a support point, you could buy with a stop loss order 2 to 3 points away.  If the stock + |! b, N, E' `, ?* j) ^
should break back over 5 points, the previous reaction  limit,  it would show a change  in 8 Q- U- G  V' U, }
trend and you should go short of it.& ^/ y8 Y: p+ V- ^8 u% J
9. Never overlook the fact that you must have a definite indication before making a trade.
. f5 g" V  i, |2 M2 ?7 x: n- o$ N10. Most  important of  all  ... always  locate  the point  at which  to place  a  stop  loss order  to
( S. h3 s# o; Blimit risk.
- k: h* ~. L; f. O  v* f: Y( y2 N6 s7 \
PRACTICE TRADING ON PAPER
" ]; g3 o; e% s7 Q2 w( L. LAfter you feel sure  that you have mastered all  the rules and know exactly how  to determine 8 e: b0 K8 ]3 f
the  trend  of  a  stock  and  the  place  to  begin  trading,  then  to make  yourself  doubly  sure  and 5 K! s7 X0 K; z6 x+ \9 Y
establish confidence, practice trading on paper and till you thoroughly understand how to use   r' i0 T; U9 B' {* b
the rules and when to use them.  If you make mistakes trading on paper, then you would make , U, Y/ A: z) ~- @8 S
mistakes at the time in actual trading and you are not ready to begin trading.  When you feel ! t1 X" {3 O( q' x
that  you  are  competent  to  start  trading,  apply  all  of  the  rules  and  TRADE  ONLY  ON . a" f- ~+ ]9 O9 X1 ^, L9 y
DEFINITE  INDICATIONS.   If you are not sure of  the  trend or  the buying and selling price ( x, I2 \1 c; K$ @  I( V' m* w
and not  sure where  to place  a  stop  loss order,  then wait until you get  a definite  indication.  : R+ s% K5 Z0 x( b2 r1 @7 P  j
You can always make money by waiting for opportunities.   There is no use getting in partly
% i2 q/ p( m9 G4 m$ x1 U9 t: ron guesswork and losing.
# `# g# Y6 W- q% S0 I4 J9 p" g* x; R
! i9 j! h8 H  K5 j3 k- xWHEN TO CLOSE A TRADE" a5 p# j9 b7 R$ Q
After you start actual trading, when you make a trade, don't close it or take profits until you . }9 x" s$ h- L$ U/ w
have a definite indication, according to the rules that it is time to sell out or buy in or to move
1 t& r' P8 {/ mup  the  stop  loss order and wait until  it  is caught.   The way  to make  a  success  is  to always
; [( [& y3 F. H; xfollow the trend and not get out or close a trade until the trend changes.8 `  w' f" c% `! I* B: S

0 }0 p9 _5 h) L, b. S# gWHEN TO WAIT AND NOT TRADE# A  ]  y5 u! w+ }/ Q
It is just as important to know when not to enter the market as it is to know when to enter it.  5 V+ V  Q( u; q8 T, g" Y6 R4 V; E
The  time not  to make a  trade  is when you find a stock has been holding  in a narrow trading
) ~* q8 ^& V% e7 \6 zrange  for  some  time,  say,  a  5-point  or  a  3-point  range,  but  has  not  broken  under  bottoms  9 @; W" q% [" R4 E8 X  }1 @  {7 ?5 u
previously made or crossed tops previously made.  A stock may stay for weeks or months or , ^- k$ @3 z- G; F( [- V5 m" j
even years  in a  trading  range and will not  indicate any big move or change  in  trend until  it ! x; W1 s9 M; z3 |" k3 S. p
crosses  as  a  previous  top  or  breaks  a  previous  bottom.    After  a  prolonged  decline  stocks
8 U" z) r+ l) ^- ?8 ?+ I/ d; tnearly always narrow down and hold in a trading range for some time.  If a stock is inactive in 1 Z( k- R6 j: |- Q4 W; X
this position, it is no time to start trading in it.& A  X; I! O0 b

8 E3 l8 W* k8 ~2 ~FOLLOW ALL RULES# k3 K& \% C: D9 m$ x3 N. t! v$ g
Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for
  J. ~# X8 [3 H# k. j; N0 rforecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms 1 H2 [6 O+ M4 c6 Q. V  V& q
and tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in 3 P$ a, e/ S7 l$ o1 T% B
wrong.  The whole can never exceed all its parts and all the parts make up the whole.  If you 6 r/ g9 \% g2 {" u# K+ {( x* [
leave out one of the rules, you will not have a complete forecasting method or trend indicator.+ ^! D8 o% v9 J: z
Your success with the method depends upon you doing your part, studying and learning how * ~* |( V+ d% A1 j$ p% B
to apply  the rules and not mixing any  inside or outside  information or reasoning against  the
3 `% G/ d% f/ q8 w9 R- _5 s! s8 {mathematical indications.  No man ever made a success at anything who did not work hard.  I
( l$ S+ T: `3 r, J! j, ohave done my part, and it is now up to you to do yours.

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2#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-11 17:28:26 | 只看该作者
。。。。。。。。。。。。。

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3#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:30:43 | 只看该作者
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
4#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-11 17:32:55 | 只看该作者
原帖由 WHSH 于 2009-5-11 17:30 发表
9 G" h+ D. c) o& o% C, O先生
" Q5 l# g) R7 e0 l% z) z2 T
5#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:33:21 | 只看该作者
谢谢先生
6#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:39:46 | 只看该作者
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
7#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:01:47 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
8#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:23:21 | 只看该作者
9#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:29:16 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
10#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:43:26 | 只看该作者
谢谢
11#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:48:35 | 只看该作者
辛苦了
12#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:02:43 | 只看该作者
13#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:02 | 只看该作者
14#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:33 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享。
15#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:46:54 | 只看该作者
16#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:51:04 | 只看该作者
17#
发表于 2009-5-11 21:47:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享
18#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:08:32 | 只看该作者
谢谢,楼主分享!
19#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:33:51 | 只看该作者
20#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:45:16 | 只看该作者

回复 2# 甘恩 的帖子

“Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for ; H. F: |0 Z& L( v
forecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms - U! i* w4 N* }' L' b8 a
and tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in
) R3 ]2 ^" [/ L! _; gwrong. ”( ?. E8 A7 ^: ^- b. W1 p
- U& c7 Z2 v% s$ S4 x+ q7 y
, E- ~$ j. x* ~% p. Y+ U- C- Y5 x- g
) [3 T% h! m4 \% u; Q% K
“记紧,跟随所有规则;检查再检查;研究大小周期以作预测,看紧阻力水平;观察市场的顶部及底部之形态,及顶底之间的形态。若有任何遗漏,将陷你于错误之中。”——来自《江恩理论——浸润走势分析》P257
  L5 y5 b( L( s3 d' ?4 I" e' m: j* V: m, `  H2 y) R5 ^
感谢甘兄立此帖!!!7 i: C0 n7 [# _+ [! Z

( W. D# e* o- B& A0 T9 p

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21#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:37:15 | 只看该作者
正吖,支持~
22#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:47:03 | 只看该作者
感谢甘兄!!!
23#
发表于 2009-5-12 01:45:36 | 只看该作者
非常感谢甘恩!
24#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:15:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
25#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:16:54 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
26#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:47:16 | 只看该作者
谢谢
27#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:53:23 | 只看该作者
9 s+ m+ d- n: k( B/ w( Z
谢谢!
28#
发表于 2009-5-12 15:32:28 | 只看该作者
谢谢无私分享
29#
发表于 2009-5-12 21:16:21 | 只看该作者
谢谢甘恩兄。
30#
发表于 2009-5-21 16:28:57 | 只看该作者
很好的教程,谢谢!!
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