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江恩如是说(5)——如何交易

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1#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:26:35 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
说明:* I) P+ H; l, Z* t- O3 S
1.首发。转载请注明出处——
阳光飞狐/江恩理论;当然还有译者。谢谢!
( M5 A# o  v; ?9 X0 U9 h" _; T2.译文乃
初稿,未校稿,仅供参考!
+ _4 T* B. |# S, T------------------------------------------------------------------------5 q# V! u" g: Y4 y( i
HOW TO TRADE
; _  r6 C) j  FAfter you have thoroughly mastered all of the lessons, be sure you are right before you make
( n* B3 U; R1 }2 T0 ^a trade.  Never guess.  Trade on mathematical indications only.
# q, l  R; @( `% U, M8 ^. q$ b6 p9 o1 h2 P3 \6 f/ O6 `% T$ M
WHAT YOU MUST KNOW BEFORE YOU START TRADING: L8 o) @% j& A% B7 i3 t  Y
You must know exactly how to apply all the rules.  You must know where to place a stop loss % U+ h) t, [; u) ?% j
order  and must  look up what  cycle  the year  is  in,  that  is, whether  it  is  a bull or bear year,
& T; m' i5 C( ?% ?0 O. h5 W' b/ kwhether the main trend should be up or down.$ J8 r* j( z3 G9 K! M% t: X

/ S$ I# ?  U8 s/ [Before  you make  a  trade,  either  buying  or  selling,  consider  the  position  of  each  individual ; o, F* E; g6 i" F0 ?* z/ y# S
stock on the monthly chart; next consider the weekly chart and then the daily chart.  If they all
; s/ c' ^$ r* n& e' ]confirm an uptrend, it is a cinch to buy, provided you have located the point at which to place ; @2 P+ m0 B! _8 i) t. f$ l. \
a stop loss order.  On the other hand, if the cycle shows that it is a bear year and the monthly,
4 C5 g: }) F& M+ Iweekly and daily chart show down trend, then it is the time to go short, but again, you must 8 O# d. ^; R$ B7 X, _
look  for  the most  important point  ... where  to place  the stop  loss order so  that  it will not be ; ^' D. D1 s& N% N5 k8 i3 ]$ g1 \
more than 3 points away and closer if possible.. x0 \3 q- y$ I6 x6 y3 B3 v

2 u) v: ]+ U; z8 |  e9 nWHAT TO LOOK UP BEFORE YOU MAKE TRADE; i$ z% p4 k( u6 o  Z- l+ m' Z
Following  are  the most  important points  that  you must  consider  before  buying  or  selling  a 7 `% A# {( ~$ n, T% {
stock:7 ^. N% K7 T* H0 b
1. TIME  CYCLE  ... whether  Bull  or  Bear  year,  and whether main  trend  of  the  general 0 T" Z3 f5 B# H0 d' K/ t& ]
market is up or down.
9 v' B4 J& C: u. L; @0 `2. CYCLE OF INDIVIDUAL STOCK … whether up or down year.  T& K9 L2 S/ Y- m
3. MONTHLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.) X0 c& W' B7 [% j0 O2 W4 m
4. WEEKLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.# R* ^2 U6 j/ S6 A* f2 _
5. RESISTANCE LEVELS  ...  see whether  the  stock  is  near  any  half-way  point  or  other
3 Z2 F8 |; t/ z, Y# T4 {points of support or resistance.8 B, F  Y: S, Q0 n% R
6. Study all FORMATIONS.  If a stock has held for several days, weeks or months around 1 \0 K7 a# k  T3 e. ]
the same level, determine whether it is about ready to cross tops or break bottoms.
5 G! ]6 `0 w' B" B2 m5 ]3 D7. Look up VOLUME OF SALES.  See whether a stock has increased or decreased Volume
1 z- m% q" ?& [) `; lover past few days or weeks.7 k$ b, P9 A2 S+ y, b! P
8. Look up SPACE or price movements  from previous  tops and bottoms and  find out  the . ^, u$ `/ \- q+ S, q( p
greatest  advance  or  decline  for  past  few  weeks  or months.    Example:  If  a  stock  has
/ I) [' X! V1 |6 n: m/ ^9 z6 \$ areacted 5 points  several  times  and at  the  time you  look  it up,  if you  find  it  is 3 points
0 g# w" I: M: pdown from  the last  top and  the  trend  is up on monthly, weekly and daily with  the price 7 c( {6 Z4 J: ]2 I
near a support point, you could buy with a stop loss order 2 to 3 points away.  If the stock + l) m6 v- ~: ]
should break back over 5 points, the previous reaction  limit,  it would show a change  in ' x. M2 u6 O! X$ K
trend and you should go short of it.
6 z3 t- ~3 {' s. f7 ^% _9. Never overlook the fact that you must have a definite indication before making a trade.
/ t' s( H) k! c2 u10. Most  important of  all  ... always  locate  the point  at which  to place  a  stop  loss order  to 1 v8 x7 g  I6 L
limit risk.5 y- g/ m- ^, `' j" @# T

9 u: y1 A* R) V/ l$ g! N  K8 LPRACTICE TRADING ON PAPER* n7 S' g9 Y$ X. C  }+ b
After you feel sure  that you have mastered all  the rules and know exactly how  to determine " t+ d! x. C1 m6 v4 U, w# F
the  trend  of  a  stock  and  the  place  to  begin  trading,  then  to make  yourself  doubly  sure  and 1 a! C4 ~! q+ \% c2 e7 ~
establish confidence, practice trading on paper and till you thoroughly understand how to use
6 a1 E! k$ f) ~# O; }9 z+ rthe rules and when to use them.  If you make mistakes trading on paper, then you would make
9 h: _. _/ F: {3 m& g9 t! {$ umistakes at the time in actual trading and you are not ready to begin trading.  When you feel
) e3 a7 j, I: n. F% g9 L, Tthat  you  are  competent  to  start  trading,  apply  all  of  the  rules  and  TRADE  ONLY  ON 5 `, j$ D4 l( U0 p
DEFINITE  INDICATIONS.   If you are not sure of  the  trend or  the buying and selling price
# R$ w/ T: K+ x7 I: c4 }and not  sure where  to place  a  stop  loss order,  then wait until you get  a definite  indication.  
2 F: s6 M) ^6 i& NYou can always make money by waiting for opportunities.   There is no use getting in partly
# G! H, Q! `9 Von guesswork and losing.
: C  o' O5 }: |+ ~* W3 i% x- ]
! s' O- t- z) e4 k. sWHEN TO CLOSE A TRADE
4 U* j& I6 f% ZAfter you start actual trading, when you make a trade, don't close it or take profits until you
4 G( X. I+ y/ d+ J/ g5 W1 ?have a definite indication, according to the rules that it is time to sell out or buy in or to move 2 o  n0 T4 M8 \: @9 S
up  the  stop  loss order and wait until  it  is caught.   The way  to make  a  success  is  to always
& T4 u4 g# b0 O/ w- Mfollow the trend and not get out or close a trade until the trend changes.) V: x. E3 s  T
3 Q/ P' }4 w5 c3 T0 ~
WHEN TO WAIT AND NOT TRADE" v& ?: i' Y" I5 ^; W
It is just as important to know when not to enter the market as it is to know when to enter it.  
; o/ y; ^, v% _1 tThe  time not  to make a  trade  is when you find a stock has been holding  in a narrow trading
% m1 Q$ I  r0 {, j! }( o, ]8 Vrange  for  some  time,  say,  a  5-point  or  a  3-point  range,  but  has  not  broken  under  bottoms  
8 Q- ]. K/ x% _/ R. Xpreviously made or crossed tops previously made.  A stock may stay for weeks or months or
2 u  K4 ^, U/ H8 M0 U' |& reven years  in a  trading  range and will not  indicate any big move or change  in  trend until  it
- m( H" }1 w. e0 Y8 x/ T+ y$ icrosses  as  a  previous  top  or  breaks  a  previous  bottom.    After  a  prolonged  decline  stocks
' i+ m( W4 O/ _$ `' z8 Z0 b% v5 v4 xnearly always narrow down and hold in a trading range for some time.  If a stock is inactive in
7 L5 C: o! i; r1 R- f9 [1 ~this position, it is no time to start trading in it.
3 _" D( t2 m$ Q0 W8 P. ~" I8 @9 ?8 t6 M  P
FOLLOW ALL RULES8 u  C( `  p) H8 R) E! [
Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for . M- g* M$ l6 G, [
forecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
3 K% u5 E9 w, |* S' {: iand tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in 2 _$ Z% a1 w' C4 l
wrong.  The whole can never exceed all its parts and all the parts make up the whole.  If you
) O* Y3 J( H- F. B# Qleave out one of the rules, you will not have a complete forecasting method or trend indicator.
9 J) E; h# }6 Y5 L( B# N& vYour success with the method depends upon you doing your part, studying and learning how
1 Z3 N- H' [  O6 H& V" w- nto apply  the rules and not mixing any  inside or outside  information or reasoning against  the
6 Q$ v% g, c+ j4 z1 S1 Fmathematical indications.  No man ever made a success at anything who did not work hard.  I
4 |# P: D3 z$ O" F$ V4 b' _have done my part, and it is now up to you to do yours.

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2#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-11 17:28:26 | 只看该作者
。。。。。。。。。。。。。

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3#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:30:43 | 只看该作者
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
4#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-11 17:32:55 | 只看该作者
原帖由 WHSH 于 2009-5-11 17:30 发表 - w1 ^! |+ Q. U: W4 b& n5 l& j) r
先生
: w3 o! i2 y# O. m: B7 a
5#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:33:21 | 只看该作者
谢谢先生
6#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:39:46 | 只看该作者
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
7#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:01:47 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
8#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:23:21 | 只看该作者
9#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:29:16 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
10#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:43:26 | 只看该作者
谢谢
11#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:48:35 | 只看该作者
辛苦了
12#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:02:43 | 只看该作者
13#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:02 | 只看该作者
14#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:33 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享。
15#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:46:54 | 只看该作者
16#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:51:04 | 只看该作者
17#
发表于 2009-5-11 21:47:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享
18#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:08:32 | 只看该作者
谢谢,楼主分享!
19#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:33:51 | 只看该作者
20#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:45:16 | 只看该作者

回复 2# 甘恩 的帖子

“Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for
/ D) s3 X+ F; kforecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
: `2 m5 i0 b, _7 ^, Land tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in + e) C8 M, Q) b1 M- k/ A. i( ?& T1 h) L1 u
wrong. ”+ t  o# ~5 f& i" K# v- m3 Z
4 }" P5 s) a6 X
) i' c5 _6 D, }/ w9 L
" o5 \: y+ l- C+ X% j* C+ ^
“记紧,跟随所有规则;检查再检查;研究大小周期以作预测,看紧阻力水平;观察市场的顶部及底部之形态,及顶底之间的形态。若有任何遗漏,将陷你于错误之中。”——来自《江恩理论——浸润走势分析》P257
) @7 g1 X+ ]9 b5 ?" }
! m* z$ L0 O. I0 K感谢甘兄立此帖!!!
1 a2 A, z/ O% _! k) ^, F: {4 L $ A, ~4 X/ ]3 n7 \2 x

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21#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:37:15 | 只看该作者
正吖,支持~
22#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:47:03 | 只看该作者
感谢甘兄!!!
23#
发表于 2009-5-12 01:45:36 | 只看该作者
非常感谢甘恩!
24#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:15:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
25#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:16:54 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
26#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:47:16 | 只看该作者
谢谢
27#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:53:23 | 只看该作者
( v8 q. K* E. G0 D/ `: ]0 b! L
谢谢!
28#
发表于 2009-5-12 15:32:28 | 只看该作者
谢谢无私分享
29#
发表于 2009-5-12 21:16:21 | 只看该作者
谢谢甘恩兄。
30#
发表于 2009-5-21 16:28:57 | 只看该作者
很好的教程,谢谢!!
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