江恩如是说（3）——预测要记住的重点

甘恩 · 发表于 2009-4-30 10:58:01

说明：
1.首发。转载请注明出处——阳光飞狐/江恩理论；当然还有译者。谢谢！
2.译文乃初稿，未校稿，仅供参考！
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原文：
IMPORTANT POINTS TO REMEMBER IN FORECASTING

TIME  is  the most  important  factor of all, and not until sufficient  time has expired does any
big move  up  or  down,  start. The  Time  factor  will  overbalance  both  Space  and  Volume.
When Time  is up, space movement will start and big volume will begin, either up or down.
At  the end of any big movement –  with monthly, weekly, or daily –  Time, must be allowed
for accumulation or distribution.

Consider each individual stock and determine its trend from its position, according to distance
in time from bottom or top.  Each stock works out its 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 10, 15, 20, 30, 50 and 60-
year  cycles  from  its  own  base  or  bottoms  and  tops,  regardless  of  the movements  of  other
stocks, even those  in  the same group. Therefore, judge each stock  individually and keep up
weekly and monthly charts on them.

Never decide  that  the main  trend has  changed one way or  the other without  consulting  the
angles  from  top or bottom  and without  considering  the position of  the market and  cycle of
each individual stock.

Always consider the annual forecast and whether the big time limit has run out or not before
judging a reverse move.  Do not fail to consider the indications on Time, both from main tops
and bottoms, also Volume of Sales and position on Geometrical Angles.

A daily chart gives the first short change, which may run for 7 to 10 days; the Weekly Chart
gives the next important change in trend; and the Monthly the strongest.  Remember, weekly
moves run 3 to 7 weeks, monthly moves 2 to 3 months or more, according to the yearly cycle,
before reversing.

Yearly bottoms and  tops:  it  is important to know whether a stock  is making higher or  lower
bottoms each year.  For instance, if a stock has made a higher bottom each year for five years,
then makes a lower bottom than the previous year, it is a sign of reversal and may mark a long
down cycle.  The same rule applies when stocks are making lower tops for a number of years
in a bear market.

When extreme advances or declines occur, the first time the market reverses over 1/4 to 1/2 of
the distance covered  in  the previous movement, you consider  that  the  trend has changed, at
least temporarily.

It  is important to watch space movements. When Time is running out one way or the other,
space movements will show a reversal by breaking back over 1/4, 1/3 or 1/2 of the distance of
the  last move  from  extreme  low  to  extreme  high, which  indicates  that  the main  trend  has
changed.

Study  all  the  instructions  and  rules  that  I have given  you;  read  them over  several  times,  as
each time they will become clearer to you.  Study the charts and work out the rules in actual
practice as well as on past performance.  In this way, you will make progress and will realize
and appreciate the value of my Method of Forecasting.
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甘恩 · 发表于 2009-4-30 11:03:37

老问题——贴不上图！

jsyly · 发表于 2009-4-30 11:08:18

原帖由甘恩于 2009-4-30 11:03 发表 2 z1 z @# A, T
老问题——贴不上图！

老办法
RAR
谢谢甘恩兄

甘恩 · 发表于 2009-4-30 11:13:14

谢谢提醒！还是图片直观。

甘恩 · 发表于 2009-4-30 11:16:09

........................

jsyly · 发表于 2009-4-30 11:18:14

太好了

甘恩 · 发表于 2009-4-30 11:19:41

多谢gc007兄提醒！请留下邮箱。
------------------------------------------------
图表缩到700*1000左右才行！应该不是我的系统问题，请阳光兄检查一下。

guyun · 发表于 2009-4-30 11:22:10

gc007 · 发表于 2009-4-30 11:22:23

原帖由甘恩于 2009-4-30 11:19 发表 + o$ @4 y) x% y
多谢gc007兄提醒！请留下邮箱。 8 e7 H4 P0 s# T6 C: n, ~. r* t! P
------------------------------------------------" F* r$ m7 x4 n0 [3 @
图表缩到700*1000左右才行！应该不是我的系统问题，请阳光兄检查一下。

已经反馈给discuz程序运营商。估计在1024分辨率下都可以。

甘恩 · 发表于 2009-4-30 11:26:01

哦，原来是007兄！

new79man · 发表于 2009-4-30 11:39:09

翻译速度很快，谢谢提供。

adinos · 发表于 2009-4-30 11:53:25

好文共赏，给兄弟顶一下，表示感激。

mcwhmm · 发表于 2009-4-30 12:02:48

谢谢

甘恩 · 发表于 2009-4-30 13:27:53

原帖由 new79man 于 2009-4-30 11:39 发表 . b3 A5 `2 m3 E3 l
翻译速度很快，谢谢提供。

再一个月收工！呵呵。

一叶 · 发表于 2009-4-30 16:37:10

学习，谢谢。

anyway · 发表于 2009-4-30 18:30:08

谢谢辛苦啦

tsztm · 发表于 2009-4-30 20:05:52

学习的动力，力量的源泉，财富的积累

xiong7203 · 发表于 2009-4-30 23:35:51

我有这个教程的全部内容这只是其中的一小部分而已

东四十条 · 发表于 2009-5-1 08:32:19

又看到了甘恩兄的劳动成果@！对于甘恩兄的这种精神真是感激不尽！！在此支持一下！！！

wushilu · 发表于 2009-5-2 16:13:12

谢谢辛苦啦

一叶 · 发表于 2009-5-2 16:54:25

辛苦了辛苦了

axcqy · 发表于 2009-5-2 21:37:05

很想看后文

jqbudd · 发表于 2009-5-3 00:18:01

谢谢分享

awei · 发表于 2009-5-3 09:08:32

yay · 发表于 2009-5-3 10:30:27

讲价格已落后于时间!

上下 · 发表于 2009-5-4 12:51:27

在此支持一下！！！

时价量形 · 发表于 2009-5-4 15:23:37

支持LZ，学习学习

马波浪 · 发表于 2013-1-29 22:14:04

好贴认真学。。。

跳跳雨 · 发表于 2013-1-30 15:30:43

"记住，根据年度周期，反转前，周线会运行3到7周，月线会运行2到3个月或更多。“

guolitingpy0925 · 发表于 2013-1-30 15:53:31

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江恩如是说（3）——预测要记住的重点

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