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1.首发。转载请注明出处——阳光飞狐/江恩理论；当然还有译者。谢谢！
6 e' B- c4 N6 \' v( F e( d% D2.译文乃初稿，未校稿，仅供参考！
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原文：
$ U7 S4 [+ ~8 ^% ~4 M2 ZIMPORTANT POINTS TO REMEMBER IN FORECASTING' h* |/ j$ {( C) N
+ K& U5 ^! `6 M# DTIME is the most important factor of all, and not until sufficient time has expired does any
' z2 }2 y" ]) F8 W- o0 rbig move up or down, start. The Time factor will overbalance both Space and Volume.
l1 k; D. r/ z' q1 o+ b0 ? q# lWhen Time is up, space movement will start and big volume will begin, either up or down.
3 n1 \! g! B. [At the end of any big movement – with monthly, weekly, or daily – Time, must be allowed n0 n7 c1 C O3 f! q
for accumulation or distribution.
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Consider each individual stock and determine its trend from its position, according to distance
8 [* ?; E B1 S" D1 m# P0 |5 Iin time from bottom or top. Each stock works out its 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 10, 15, 20, 30, 50 and 60-0 K) n: t7 b8 w8 r" c2 `& X
year cycles from its own base or bottoms and tops, regardless of the movements of other
7 U. H9 R j. g4 h8 Mstocks, even those in the same group. Therefore, judge each stock individually and keep up & f0 [: m- p# X7 D% j
weekly and monthly charts on them.
4 K9 z9 Y1 k5 s1 o0 x6 q( N7 }- Z2 z
Never decide that the main trend has changed one way or the other without consulting the ' v: U M2 R6 V9 l( w& n
angles from top or bottom and without considering the position of the market and cycle of 2 m* g% @& a, W! O$ U/ k# |
each individual stock.2 z- i# z" M5 R- T( T
+ K7 |8 i8 _8 y/ y2 F3 W1 t6 uAlways consider the annual forecast and whether the big time limit has run out or not before
6 S+ @' p! `) I5 o/ D: V: gjudging a reverse move. Do not fail to consider the indications on Time, both from main tops
- {0 |. W' t! m3 n, g4 Y2 V+ D3 vand bottoms, also Volume of Sales and position on Geometrical Angles.- Z4 z: Q+ { [
* L6 Q) X+ O2 ]. ZA daily chart gives the first short change, which may run for 7 to 10 days; the Weekly Chart
7 h6 k$ k! G T5 h- zgives the next important change in trend; and the Monthly the strongest. Remember, weekly
1 ]. ]2 ], J+ |* U, d9 ]moves run 3 to 7 weeks, monthly moves 2 to 3 months or more, according to the yearly cycle,
% f. v+ z: S% X* j% h: B% x4 K" Gbefore reversing.
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C- m1 L% |4 J- h6 Q' IYearly bottoms and tops: it is important to know whether a stock is making higher or lower ; |$ d/ B$ u7 h- G
bottoms each year. For instance, if a stock has made a higher bottom each year for five years, 1 {+ n9 o, U' M0 g
then makes a lower bottom than the previous year, it is a sign of reversal and may mark a long
0 a5 l! }; i# `) }0 p0 n& ]down cycle. The same rule applies when stocks are making lower tops for a number of years 6 F( F; x* ?; K* ]0 E, ~
in a bear market.% c5 z% X" E& w2 J7 I- }
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When extreme advances or declines occur, the first time the market reverses over 1/4 to 1/2 of
; W" h7 o6 K. x) Z' q _the distance covered in the previous movement, you consider that the trend has changed, at & T% m8 @9 \; P; y# ?2 d
least temporarily.6 p1 s( I9 p# e( q$ I$ q4 P
6 q+ F0 x/ o% u( f1 G3 q# q6 _It is important to watch space movements. When Time is running out one way or the other,
P: [! v! l4 o5 v W9 U2 zspace movements will show a reversal by breaking back over 1/4, 1/3 or 1/2 of the distance of ( o# K9 l; Q7 o, d
the last move from extreme low to extreme high, which indicates that the main trend has
) K# B4 q# u7 {7 Wchanged.& _! i% z; u" e) {$ d) X, d
7 @ {' Z/ |7 k A/ O5 P- rStudy all the instructions and rules that I have given you; read them over several times, as , O* T- a2 _( G8 F6 n& r
each time they will become clearer to you. Study the charts and work out the rules in actual
. c1 O9 x+ ~. }/ Y4 [practice as well as on past performance. In this way, you will make progress and will realize 3 |, ~ o7 N! O( h6 `6 a
and appreciate the value of my Method of Forecasting.- M$ T$ i% r p2 C# k
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发表于 2009-4-30 10:58:01
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楼主
发表于 2009-4-30 11:22:23
哦，原来是007兄！
发表于 2009-5-3 10:30:27
发表于 2009-5-4 12:51:27
