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江恩如是说(5)——如何交易

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1#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:26:35 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |正序浏览 |阅读模式
说明:
! N9 ^- e+ l& c( I1.首发。转载请注明出处——
阳光飞狐/江恩理论;当然还有译者。谢谢!. H$ V' t& a' C" ?0 a- |6 {1 ]
2.译文乃
初稿,未校稿,仅供参考!) S2 x! H6 w5 ~+ |% V
------------------------------------------------------------------------
4 l  W9 i8 M4 LHOW TO TRADE1 y  y: L/ D' ~9 O/ N% g& M$ h: Z  z
After you have thoroughly mastered all of the lessons, be sure you are right before you make
+ o  Y/ c8 J. B+ J! ^, H  F7 Q7 m6 _a trade.  Never guess.  Trade on mathematical indications only.* U1 t+ ?& r* t% _
$ g2 a1 h1 z( {3 t4 h9 G5 D; [
WHAT YOU MUST KNOW BEFORE YOU START TRADING
. F  y' x7 R8 e+ A) i* V1 X3 kYou must know exactly how to apply all the rules.  You must know where to place a stop loss
5 ^7 E$ _5 r' X+ v" p9 Z, Yorder  and must  look up what  cycle  the year  is  in,  that  is, whether  it  is  a bull or bear year,
# e/ C, B0 l+ S) @! \whether the main trend should be up or down.: U6 G5 t& y' W8 W( ^4 o- h
: F2 Z  J+ Y; @2 ~& y' n4 J
Before  you make  a  trade,  either  buying  or  selling,  consider  the  position  of  each  individual
0 E; R4 h6 Z& z# ^4 {stock on the monthly chart; next consider the weekly chart and then the daily chart.  If they all
# [, z! {1 t6 ^' `" pconfirm an uptrend, it is a cinch to buy, provided you have located the point at which to place
& u! P  \2 a: }" @a stop loss order.  On the other hand, if the cycle shows that it is a bear year and the monthly, & s7 ?! B/ o5 \1 M5 P% A% B; j5 v
weekly and daily chart show down trend, then it is the time to go short, but again, you must 3 i) \4 L/ @7 R* ~! Z5 O
look  for  the most  important point  ... where  to place  the stop  loss order so  that  it will not be ! G: L( y$ L! m1 a  ?
more than 3 points away and closer if possible.
: G: I6 u. P) G$ \8 I+ c$ j' a1 {
3 q% z+ l2 [2 i& q# tWHAT TO LOOK UP BEFORE YOU MAKE TRADE
( f. x; s# D+ b1 d2 P3 |Following  are  the most  important points  that  you must  consider  before  buying  or  selling  a
  D* S! b; D4 m" m0 u2 {stock:
8 X: U; z0 ^) ?0 @* x- _( r3 [1. TIME  CYCLE  ... whether  Bull  or  Bear  year,  and whether main  trend  of  the  general * e; L; q' ~7 s7 E8 t4 B
market is up or down.% D* p* V) P2 c1 @
2. CYCLE OF INDIVIDUAL STOCK … whether up or down year.
! k7 b  t; i  ]# }3. MONTHLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.
& r6 D' d& ~2 m# K5 n5 i4. WEEKLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.
* t, g3 [/ I2 l2 v0 x9 i5. RESISTANCE LEVELS  ...  see whether  the  stock  is  near  any  half-way  point  or  other
& I! k) n8 o9 v' |/ `points of support or resistance.2 P8 V5 [7 J8 q' q' j
6. Study all FORMATIONS.  If a stock has held for several days, weeks or months around 4 Q. J4 ^' D0 u$ Q6 |( O
the same level, determine whether it is about ready to cross tops or break bottoms.
% ^4 N4 |) n9 S5 a. N2 L7. Look up VOLUME OF SALES.  See whether a stock has increased or decreased Volume ; D6 c+ U7 E; X$ G
over past few days or weeks.5 }+ T: ?' r2 H3 h/ Q% c, u
8. Look up SPACE or price movements  from previous  tops and bottoms and  find out  the
  ]  j& _; p9 W7 }: @5 r# Lgreatest  advance  or  decline  for  past  few  weeks  or months.    Example:  If  a  stock  has
- D' O! m6 [: K5 l/ {: j8 freacted 5 points  several  times  and at  the  time you  look  it up,  if you  find  it  is 3 points
( M) n( \7 s! s+ Pdown from  the last  top and  the  trend  is up on monthly, weekly and daily with  the price - R3 ~( q; u3 o# a
near a support point, you could buy with a stop loss order 2 to 3 points away.  If the stock 7 T, z4 D( t6 s# a2 L# W
should break back over 5 points, the previous reaction  limit,  it would show a change  in
$ Q$ z+ I2 f% w6 Y; ~/ O: Dtrend and you should go short of it.6 U$ {. }* V" x! e1 p
9. Never overlook the fact that you must have a definite indication before making a trade.
& _: \" B& q& a" W' P% j10. Most  important of  all  ... always  locate  the point  at which  to place  a  stop  loss order  to
* z) T: u1 n* ]* |+ V: I4 c6 Qlimit risk.
# ~6 f, z# c; Z
9 R4 K1 Q, n0 X, h5 R/ bPRACTICE TRADING ON PAPER/ d; D1 V5 G, E7 Z4 a3 y0 l
After you feel sure  that you have mastered all  the rules and know exactly how  to determine ! M. c& x/ H( S( _0 E" z4 d
the  trend  of  a  stock  and  the  place  to  begin  trading,  then  to make  yourself  doubly  sure  and # z) B! B% _* H# Y- ?: J9 c
establish confidence, practice trading on paper and till you thoroughly understand how to use
% r6 L5 f# T5 h" U5 N7 G2 Ethe rules and when to use them.  If you make mistakes trading on paper, then you would make
; ~, y, H# y+ ?; E8 }' Qmistakes at the time in actual trading and you are not ready to begin trading.  When you feel
7 K2 E7 Y; v, ^) F, H  W  p; ]that  you  are  competent  to  start  trading,  apply  all  of  the  rules  and  TRADE  ONLY  ON 9 C' e0 w4 X) \$ U+ B2 z0 Q  `
DEFINITE  INDICATIONS.   If you are not sure of  the  trend or  the buying and selling price : v. U2 E) Y! [# Y) m* ?; ?7 q& F
and not  sure where  to place  a  stop  loss order,  then wait until you get  a definite  indication.  ; d. C+ D$ h- h: i
You can always make money by waiting for opportunities.   There is no use getting in partly
# l, X  {' U4 d2 v; _% Ion guesswork and losing.( i* W$ Z' N) k
' F8 X5 s( O# ?9 R; B* ]* P# g
WHEN TO CLOSE A TRADE# r# a+ F( l& W6 E: f7 _' Q1 s# Z
After you start actual trading, when you make a trade, don't close it or take profits until you 5 }4 d! B( b% ]5 S
have a definite indication, according to the rules that it is time to sell out or buy in or to move
1 D2 a! F: ~% Zup  the  stop  loss order and wait until  it  is caught.   The way  to make  a  success  is  to always
$ F% b  X! x% j. ]# Y2 ffollow the trend and not get out or close a trade until the trend changes.+ f/ \  x' {; y6 s

: y' K$ [2 b7 h9 n( D2 j0 v# LWHEN TO WAIT AND NOT TRADE
+ u/ K0 p' w1 p0 z6 NIt is just as important to know when not to enter the market as it is to know when to enter it.  : {0 }3 j" o5 ?' \) M& G
The  time not  to make a  trade  is when you find a stock has been holding  in a narrow trading ' u5 A; X% s" g+ x2 ^. K8 S
range  for  some  time,  say,  a  5-point  or  a  3-point  range,  but  has  not  broken  under  bottoms  
6 N  Y: a' i$ x& F+ X4 tpreviously made or crossed tops previously made.  A stock may stay for weeks or months or
8 E. b8 s; i% M  x8 ceven years  in a  trading  range and will not  indicate any big move or change  in  trend until  it
$ `1 o$ ~) n+ D+ T; k3 \/ C0 jcrosses  as  a  previous  top  or  breaks  a  previous  bottom.    After  a  prolonged  decline  stocks   A; b' y7 L$ o+ y0 f* j
nearly always narrow down and hold in a trading range for some time.  If a stock is inactive in
% ?. p' F  R8 H7 ]+ J, Dthis position, it is no time to start trading in it.
6 j) a4 S  l+ W9 k* ?7 k# T6 S5 P7 S4 L  ?: P. ?5 W: {
FOLLOW ALL RULES
3 R+ F/ v* w& y: E2 o6 {4 b$ TRemember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for   V2 t0 F* x% N# K5 F  d) k
forecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
- u8 A! |/ c( b! v4 F7 g7 Wand tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in # V3 h7 ~- @3 Q0 f7 {
wrong.  The whole can never exceed all its parts and all the parts make up the whole.  If you
0 d. N0 j6 J  h! o1 ^. J2 F# S8 \leave out one of the rules, you will not have a complete forecasting method or trend indicator./ C2 g7 V; l7 d- J$ _, B1 ~$ N
Your success with the method depends upon you doing your part, studying and learning how 4 ?# Q! u# E& l: E, b) y, ]
to apply  the rules and not mixing any  inside or outside  information or reasoning against  the
; Q8 z: {. H, umathematical indications.  No man ever made a success at anything who did not work hard.  I
" q$ ?; Y0 G& P  o, ?have done my part, and it is now up to you to do yours.

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34#
发表于 2015-3-22 20:49:18 | 只看该作者
辛苦了 辛苦了
33#
发表于 2015-3-20 23:28:25 | 只看该作者
辛苦了 辛苦了
32#
发表于 2014-11-20 21:21:29 | 只看该作者
31#
发表于 2009-5-31 16:30:17 | 只看该作者

回复 1# 甘恩 的帖子

好东西
30#
发表于 2009-5-21 16:28:57 | 只看该作者
很好的教程,谢谢!!
29#
发表于 2009-5-12 21:16:21 | 只看该作者
谢谢甘恩兄。
28#
发表于 2009-5-12 15:32:28 | 只看该作者
谢谢无私分享
27#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:53:23 | 只看该作者
" E( r  }4 N3 `9 F6 r  Q
谢谢!
26#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:47:16 | 只看该作者
谢谢
25#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:16:54 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
24#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:15:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
23#
发表于 2009-5-12 01:45:36 | 只看该作者
非常感谢甘恩!
22#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:47:03 | 只看该作者
感谢甘兄!!!
21#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:37:15 | 只看该作者
正吖,支持~
20#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:45:16 | 只看该作者

回复 2# 甘恩 的帖子

“Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for 7 I, Q& w' m; D6 O; R5 c  q
forecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
1 y( ?$ c8 g1 L! x0 G% ]and tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in ) \  {9 U' z1 g* Y/ ]5 ?# w
wrong. ”0 I) X$ k+ F5 ~

5 M) i9 [6 J& W- ]% C
, R# g7 g  i) J6 r
' |- }6 X! \7 d' T1 W' {/ s+ x" z“记紧,跟随所有规则;检查再检查;研究大小周期以作预测,看紧阻力水平;观察市场的顶部及底部之形态,及顶底之间的形态。若有任何遗漏,将陷你于错误之中。”——来自《江恩理论——浸润走势分析》P257. I. V; P) n7 d0 g3 L' m+ G

0 |4 H3 K& T$ e! v( [感谢甘兄立此帖!!!
3 A  n1 ]+ |' T' X; D( S % }2 n& w# k. A5 M; s8 `- }

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19#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:33:51 | 只看该作者
18#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:08:32 | 只看该作者
谢谢,楼主分享!
17#
发表于 2009-5-11 21:47:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享
16#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:51:04 | 只看该作者
15#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:46:54 | 只看该作者
14#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:33 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享。
13#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:02 | 只看该作者
12#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:02:43 | 只看该作者
11#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:48:35 | 只看该作者
辛苦了
10#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:43:26 | 只看该作者
谢谢
9#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:29:16 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
8#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:23:21 | 只看该作者
7#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:01:47 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
6#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:39:46 | 只看该作者
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