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江恩如是说(5)——如何交易

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1#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:26:35 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
说明:
" m( s- W. U' \5 s6 Z8 a9 L6 m1.首发。转载请注明出处——
阳光飞狐/江恩理论;当然还有译者。谢谢!
5 ]8 c8 W9 c. M& n3 T2.译文乃
初稿,未校稿,仅供参考!, _3 a" |4 w. f. }
------------------------------------------------------------------------
; ^3 |3 s. ^8 Y# a! mHOW TO TRADE( x6 U6 [+ F- }& ?! K$ a
After you have thoroughly mastered all of the lessons, be sure you are right before you make
2 a/ X" T( p" n1 X, za trade.  Never guess.  Trade on mathematical indications only.! r' ~# p; g- ?( L* o- I

& d2 ?6 J9 {, S0 ]WHAT YOU MUST KNOW BEFORE YOU START TRADING4 W1 O3 `/ A; B$ y. v( }! E
You must know exactly how to apply all the rules.  You must know where to place a stop loss 0 ~6 f8 _5 ]5 P) A, c
order  and must  look up what  cycle  the year  is  in,  that  is, whether  it  is  a bull or bear year, 7 z5 M% o; m0 [8 k* p1 j$ q
whether the main trend should be up or down.) `! E5 @. w- n: W
; }  m4 T; U5 u5 s
Before  you make  a  trade,  either  buying  or  selling,  consider  the  position  of  each  individual ' D' W1 x2 r% v7 E
stock on the monthly chart; next consider the weekly chart and then the daily chart.  If they all . K' r$ t* V! B& B! l' z- B% P
confirm an uptrend, it is a cinch to buy, provided you have located the point at which to place ( V% V2 k5 L$ h) x! Q
a stop loss order.  On the other hand, if the cycle shows that it is a bear year and the monthly, ( p7 x) I. o2 d1 p& I9 k
weekly and daily chart show down trend, then it is the time to go short, but again, you must
0 V3 A  h- s  Y, m6 ^3 Slook  for  the most  important point  ... where  to place  the stop  loss order so  that  it will not be : w$ N2 H% I6 a! u$ h" }
more than 3 points away and closer if possible.
! K/ q! ?* T; R. Y$ n6 |. u( p" j( R* Q! o+ t: T
WHAT TO LOOK UP BEFORE YOU MAKE TRADE
1 H3 Z' f( M% G% S5 oFollowing  are  the most  important points  that  you must  consider  before  buying  or  selling  a
: I4 M9 q. J( S3 ^# Z7 f* ustock:" |+ g" W% F4 r
1. TIME  CYCLE  ... whether  Bull  or  Bear  year,  and whether main  trend  of  the  general
0 [( R3 V; }% B5 f5 Vmarket is up or down.: o! O; g1 ~2 M7 N
2. CYCLE OF INDIVIDUAL STOCK … whether up or down year.
1 H. M0 G% {  E2 N' A3. MONTHLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.
& `% r& S8 g9 ~! a0 X+ R9 ]6 N0 k4. WEEKLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.
$ l' u0 A1 v3 f- d2 P  Q( A5. RESISTANCE LEVELS  ...  see whether  the  stock  is  near  any  half-way  point  or  other
& s# L* B  m! l3 ?* s. lpoints of support or resistance.+ }& v  L- e; \; t
6. Study all FORMATIONS.  If a stock has held for several days, weeks or months around
2 v0 ]/ y  P, F, m+ v+ A" |the same level, determine whether it is about ready to cross tops or break bottoms.( }/ x& v. p3 k( L9 O/ r( w
7. Look up VOLUME OF SALES.  See whether a stock has increased or decreased Volume
$ H0 ~" S0 ]! ?: n5 vover past few days or weeks.
  A" g7 I8 w& x8. Look up SPACE or price movements  from previous  tops and bottoms and  find out  the / x. `8 ~# s* Y
greatest  advance  or  decline  for  past  few  weeks  or months.    Example:  If  a  stock  has * G* f7 O' L  m: A' C
reacted 5 points  several  times  and at  the  time you  look  it up,  if you  find  it  is 3 points
+ F2 ]" O* E: |4 [9 h8 r" s: P; x+ M7 sdown from  the last  top and  the  trend  is up on monthly, weekly and daily with  the price ( T/ d7 J' o- a5 t; v6 }
near a support point, you could buy with a stop loss order 2 to 3 points away.  If the stock
$ o0 k  {/ d, L) zshould break back over 5 points, the previous reaction  limit,  it would show a change  in
( l8 |% t# J$ J4 k  p% Xtrend and you should go short of it.
2 a) z: k! G0 v6 ^* p1 X1 R5 L9. Never overlook the fact that you must have a definite indication before making a trade.
  l& G( y1 z$ o/ o) H% o10. Most  important of  all  ... always  locate  the point  at which  to place  a  stop  loss order  to 3 i  ^+ x% m) g. W$ f& j& P
limit risk.
  J$ M3 l, |( o- S: m. }; j( X
7 C3 Z- e# T  }PRACTICE TRADING ON PAPER
0 i5 Y9 C2 E. Q  ^* y- tAfter you feel sure  that you have mastered all  the rules and know exactly how  to determine # r: p' A- \6 O, F* e/ s
the  trend  of  a  stock  and  the  place  to  begin  trading,  then  to make  yourself  doubly  sure  and
4 U# T0 h: ~/ s. ~2 X! Xestablish confidence, practice trading on paper and till you thoroughly understand how to use
; b, K1 ?) A5 w& L. J) Wthe rules and when to use them.  If you make mistakes trading on paper, then you would make * h+ P# k$ Q3 M' A
mistakes at the time in actual trading and you are not ready to begin trading.  When you feel
% N6 S) k- ?: C2 e- ?that  you  are  competent  to  start  trading,  apply  all  of  the  rules  and  TRADE  ONLY  ON
: R& P9 Q4 S6 M4 Z: n1 `0 CDEFINITE  INDICATIONS.   If you are not sure of  the  trend or  the buying and selling price
1 e% w8 I, B/ d, Eand not  sure where  to place  a  stop  loss order,  then wait until you get  a definite  indication.  
" M7 x7 f. X9 G9 h2 yYou can always make money by waiting for opportunities.   There is no use getting in partly 5 C+ ^% A) F" u
on guesswork and losing.3 ~9 H& q! Y* y$ P1 X/ B9 }1 f& Q

: N. B, O: G' {' s2 x) x1 uWHEN TO CLOSE A TRADE/ d% }3 J! R8 O( ]0 y
After you start actual trading, when you make a trade, don't close it or take profits until you
  Q1 f- w9 X) X1 o$ b1 f6 [4 \5 yhave a definite indication, according to the rules that it is time to sell out or buy in or to move
' T8 y; G7 v' k( d. E# nup  the  stop  loss order and wait until  it  is caught.   The way  to make  a  success  is  to always ) ?. I8 i# i1 Z. m
follow the trend and not get out or close a trade until the trend changes.9 C4 u4 j; v" P$ {; A! G7 H, E0 V
. C: a" N& B! L  S3 `
WHEN TO WAIT AND NOT TRADE
! B, E/ n) H4 S" }0 E7 eIt is just as important to know when not to enter the market as it is to know when to enter it.  
6 Q( V8 {, {" UThe  time not  to make a  trade  is when you find a stock has been holding  in a narrow trading
8 ~7 q9 k+ X( o, E- ^/ wrange  for  some  time,  say,  a  5-point  or  a  3-point  range,  but  has  not  broken  under  bottoms  
. m& V' V/ [9 _, R+ D- R. @  W; z+ fpreviously made or crossed tops previously made.  A stock may stay for weeks or months or / w4 [7 F3 s  R5 s
even years  in a  trading  range and will not  indicate any big move or change  in  trend until  it
. [1 s6 l2 |# \  C% P5 dcrosses  as  a  previous  top  or  breaks  a  previous  bottom.    After  a  prolonged  decline  stocks
. U* O' j- x2 _, a* P/ |nearly always narrow down and hold in a trading range for some time.  If a stock is inactive in ' p5 ]% f9 |5 F$ o6 n3 A
this position, it is no time to start trading in it.
; t+ d# a4 j( k- O, I* O" d6 W
' O( `1 J/ p+ WFOLLOW ALL RULES& w0 I# y* N6 R( t3 E# e1 m
Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for
: E" @" x! ?) g2 _$ g4 vforecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
. \) g4 V) ~. F2 ?0 |1 hand tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in
$ [2 a. @# h, lwrong.  The whole can never exceed all its parts and all the parts make up the whole.  If you ' o# Z- P3 L; f& Y4 \1 _' E
leave out one of the rules, you will not have a complete forecasting method or trend indicator." `& ]3 q2 w4 v
Your success with the method depends upon you doing your part, studying and learning how
# a& f* }, U) ]6 A8 |to apply  the rules and not mixing any  inside or outside  information or reasoning against  the
! i0 {  \" p0 l% k  d0 Hmathematical indications.  No man ever made a success at anything who did not work hard.  I 2 g# r0 C4 l- k! R5 M7 Q5 Y
have done my part, and it is now up to you to do yours.

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2#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-11 17:28:26 | 只看该作者
。。。。。。。。。。。。。

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3#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:30:43 | 只看该作者
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
4#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-11 17:32:55 | 只看该作者
原帖由 WHSH 于 2009-5-11 17:30 发表
: U( Y. t! B- T$ z! y# [先生

! b% r7 C, d. @6 \8 J- b
5#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:33:21 | 只看该作者
谢谢先生
6#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:39:46 | 只看该作者
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
7#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:01:47 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
8#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:23:21 | 只看该作者
9#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:29:16 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
10#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:43:26 | 只看该作者
谢谢
11#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:48:35 | 只看该作者
辛苦了
12#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:02:43 | 只看该作者
13#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:02 | 只看该作者
14#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:33 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享。
15#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:46:54 | 只看该作者
16#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:51:04 | 只看该作者
17#
发表于 2009-5-11 21:47:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享
18#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:08:32 | 只看该作者
谢谢,楼主分享!
19#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:33:51 | 只看该作者
20#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:45:16 | 只看该作者

回复 2# 甘恩 的帖子

“Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for & I* b' }" f* U$ t  v; v" B3 e; N
forecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
$ k+ F5 O, `6 l3 g% ^and tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in # i8 \# b2 b8 [0 x& W+ V
wrong. ”
9 @" S9 r" t( L* R: h+ U7 U
/ }2 }3 U- P* \- ~3 }$ i# p4 t& Y7 W- I( Y/ `

9 X7 o/ m: D7 R“记紧,跟随所有规则;检查再检查;研究大小周期以作预测,看紧阻力水平;观察市场的顶部及底部之形态,及顶底之间的形态。若有任何遗漏,将陷你于错误之中。”——来自《江恩理论——浸润走势分析》P257
) H  C9 K3 [- e9 E8 ~" X, {! P$ ~/ D( X1 f2 f4 L9 p
感谢甘兄立此帖!!!
/ ]' I2 W% H3 w7 h3 A. R
* x- `) F9 `# g

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21#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:37:15 | 只看该作者
正吖,支持~
22#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:47:03 | 只看该作者
感谢甘兄!!!
23#
发表于 2009-5-12 01:45:36 | 只看该作者
非常感谢甘恩!
24#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:15:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
25#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:16:54 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
26#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:47:16 | 只看该作者
谢谢
27#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:53:23 | 只看该作者
# c4 \! Q9 t9 O9 R1 H& [
谢谢!
28#
发表于 2009-5-12 15:32:28 | 只看该作者
谢谢无私分享
29#
发表于 2009-5-12 21:16:21 | 只看该作者
谢谢甘恩兄。
30#
发表于 2009-5-21 16:28:57 | 只看该作者
很好的教程,谢谢!!
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