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江恩如是说(5)——如何交易

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1#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:26:35 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
说明:
7 c  p+ K( Q5 q! ^& I7 w( l1.首发。转载请注明出处——
阳光飞狐/江恩理论;当然还有译者。谢谢!
- d# O& x7 t7 A+ D$ s6 q2.译文乃
初稿,未校稿,仅供参考!$ V. R6 }& f8 [! L) R0 v% P9 I
------------------------------------------------------------------------
  o9 d6 q3 B+ e/ A# T0 d+ ~HOW TO TRADE" W, x* U! x  k' E
After you have thoroughly mastered all of the lessons, be sure you are right before you make + r" r& x' k* y' B& L3 I
a trade.  Never guess.  Trade on mathematical indications only.
" Z' [' P! ^5 P3 x' d9 I7 A  ]. I2 S! ?) r
WHAT YOU MUST KNOW BEFORE YOU START TRADING
$ M+ h# `; S( OYou must know exactly how to apply all the rules.  You must know where to place a stop loss
7 b# g  \' z2 _3 Lorder  and must  look up what  cycle  the year  is  in,  that  is, whether  it  is  a bull or bear year, + M' F6 L1 O1 P+ j7 t6 @9 ?' T5 J
whether the main trend should be up or down.4 d' B* R: [( _0 `

- _% Y9 h9 C$ D1 ^9 W: h$ R/ bBefore  you make  a  trade,  either  buying  or  selling,  consider  the  position  of  each  individual
" L# J" o' \0 b% ]& N: d5 vstock on the monthly chart; next consider the weekly chart and then the daily chart.  If they all
$ q$ l: k9 S- a* l* C  i- v2 }, m! ^+ p/ tconfirm an uptrend, it is a cinch to buy, provided you have located the point at which to place # s/ [3 J' c& j* Z
a stop loss order.  On the other hand, if the cycle shows that it is a bear year and the monthly,
  ?/ e; Z& F6 m2 H/ mweekly and daily chart show down trend, then it is the time to go short, but again, you must 7 ?9 C, \' E1 t( r8 ?
look  for  the most  important point  ... where  to place  the stop  loss order so  that  it will not be " h" i! n$ W1 \6 r: T
more than 3 points away and closer if possible.
, l, p3 p# m' U4 F' q1 Q2 p# B* p) s" i: F& e
WHAT TO LOOK UP BEFORE YOU MAKE TRADE
* f& t* ~! S6 q1 V7 j' m# V; k- @2 `7 \Following  are  the most  important points  that  you must  consider  before  buying  or  selling  a 2 {$ o. w$ Z" q( g% E2 B7 ]) o. O
stock:
1 b/ o& d7 L- l1 I1. TIME  CYCLE  ... whether  Bull  or  Bear  year,  and whether main  trend  of  the  general # T# I- x7 r$ B8 h8 y3 P1 q8 A2 e* B
market is up or down.) O# O& b- m% s2 u) m
2. CYCLE OF INDIVIDUAL STOCK … whether up or down year.. |6 u5 C0 {8 w  }8 Q2 W* @
3. MONTHLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.1 W' R. o8 `! D) s
4. WEEKLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.
. Z8 e" H: q+ l2 v: K* l( z5. RESISTANCE LEVELS  ...  see whether  the  stock  is  near  any  half-way  point  or  other 6 y  p2 N; q7 z) A9 o/ c
points of support or resistance.3 n  [. \) S5 l# w& t  r+ V/ W  V6 R$ j
6. Study all FORMATIONS.  If a stock has held for several days, weeks or months around : y8 [$ s- I0 c! H/ S8 |# Z' @
the same level, determine whether it is about ready to cross tops or break bottoms./ f0 X. e' k) E
7. Look up VOLUME OF SALES.  See whether a stock has increased or decreased Volume
+ V8 ~1 N! z& v6 n2 R( ~over past few days or weeks.4 q& w# v/ F; h- M
8. Look up SPACE or price movements  from previous  tops and bottoms and  find out  the   U: s7 @4 h1 O  e  c- ]
greatest  advance  or  decline  for  past  few  weeks  or months.    Example:  If  a  stock  has 4 _8 s5 ]6 a3 x* f# F& S; P
reacted 5 points  several  times  and at  the  time you  look  it up,  if you  find  it  is 3 points
9 a' o5 G: E! f- C- m( ]' v5 qdown from  the last  top and  the  trend  is up on monthly, weekly and daily with  the price
+ e5 R6 a6 _4 }6 ?, z5 J- X) tnear a support point, you could buy with a stop loss order 2 to 3 points away.  If the stock $ @' F# `1 r/ N' {, K& E6 s! f
should break back over 5 points, the previous reaction  limit,  it would show a change  in , m; N5 u, B" B
trend and you should go short of it.
: ^8 e' n; T  e+ D8 Y1 |9. Never overlook the fact that you must have a definite indication before making a trade." i# j. a2 W( X
10. Most  important of  all  ... always  locate  the point  at which  to place  a  stop  loss order  to ; R# Q0 n6 N8 F6 a- `
limit risk.
( s0 }$ R# a6 A% G+ O! s# t4 T% K$ T- |5 m
PRACTICE TRADING ON PAPER+ y$ S" C7 P/ p$ v6 x8 J6 w+ o. F5 c
After you feel sure  that you have mastered all  the rules and know exactly how  to determine
6 \3 Z( E, R* T- G" L- f8 Y) Mthe  trend  of  a  stock  and  the  place  to  begin  trading,  then  to make  yourself  doubly  sure  and
! v: s, o! G$ i, testablish confidence, practice trading on paper and till you thoroughly understand how to use - M% S5 B$ O* A' {% J7 k9 Y
the rules and when to use them.  If you make mistakes trading on paper, then you would make
* F& R; S* S6 M! X. Zmistakes at the time in actual trading and you are not ready to begin trading.  When you feel ' y- ^8 b/ y2 I) f# S
that  you  are  competent  to  start  trading,  apply  all  of  the  rules  and  TRADE  ONLY  ON
& M5 p6 ?6 `+ _1 M; s. b, Q- \DEFINITE  INDICATIONS.   If you are not sure of  the  trend or  the buying and selling price 5 g! d3 ]+ O& v7 j" S7 E
and not  sure where  to place  a  stop  loss order,  then wait until you get  a definite  indication.  
" B- ^. q  B4 ]8 }You can always make money by waiting for opportunities.   There is no use getting in partly 4 k# u$ c9 }. A- p4 w; F. |# O/ G( |
on guesswork and losing.- f4 D+ N. a$ p4 c. o$ }  o' V+ x9 |

& s" z$ g: Q4 ?% a( D. r; ]WHEN TO CLOSE A TRADE4 g) c0 ~8 B( c0 d1 z9 L4 r9 k# E
After you start actual trading, when you make a trade, don't close it or take profits until you
) r- k+ g, T+ }# X7 ]have a definite indication, according to the rules that it is time to sell out or buy in or to move
& V+ s4 ~! [2 M, V5 ?+ w0 V3 G! wup  the  stop  loss order and wait until  it  is caught.   The way  to make  a  success  is  to always
! _* }" g  k* V! g7 L8 zfollow the trend and not get out or close a trade until the trend changes., B* x9 Q. V" }7 a" S" \
# G6 z. l: V2 @9 U! V3 Y! l* R
WHEN TO WAIT AND NOT TRADE
0 j$ d  b2 U% F, o  x( a5 DIt is just as important to know when not to enter the market as it is to know when to enter it.  , Z6 y2 v/ X/ g# Y  t- i! p- ^% A
The  time not  to make a  trade  is when you find a stock has been holding  in a narrow trading 0 A. g. r( H9 Y$ U- \/ Y: r
range  for  some  time,  say,  a  5-point  or  a  3-point  range,  but  has  not  broken  under  bottoms  
% C, w! D# {3 \7 N; N  `previously made or crossed tops previously made.  A stock may stay for weeks or months or
) C; q- P; J( g- L$ k* Ueven years  in a  trading  range and will not  indicate any big move or change  in  trend until  it
) S, N1 q: t& T  i7 T4 D  ?& ]crosses  as  a  previous  top  or  breaks  a  previous  bottom.    After  a  prolonged  decline  stocks
( k5 V" j; l8 \& B" f& rnearly always narrow down and hold in a trading range for some time.  If a stock is inactive in
1 N9 {2 P* q$ T, Y1 z6 jthis position, it is no time to start trading in it.2 T% B( }; U% U4 m7 v

' h/ q) R! a+ S& L( VFOLLOW ALL RULES2 ^* f6 q3 p  k! E
Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for
3 {' b7 b3 j; m" c4 M# F8 u/ r: Uforecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
( b' ^# J( x# Y$ T; U4 uand tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in - y, j5 a8 H4 z6 `, F4 n. t. J
wrong.  The whole can never exceed all its parts and all the parts make up the whole.  If you
, I: `( v" P- _- v9 S9 x& ]/ |leave out one of the rules, you will not have a complete forecasting method or trend indicator.6 E/ Z% w& ~2 i- H% T- P
Your success with the method depends upon you doing your part, studying and learning how 8 ~6 ]8 p9 d7 p3 l, V3 n
to apply  the rules and not mixing any  inside or outside  information or reasoning against  the
; r: o) {' ~+ ^; Bmathematical indications.  No man ever made a success at anything who did not work hard.  I
8 @( R; q' S( k' o3 M+ Bhave done my part, and it is now up to you to do yours.

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2#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-11 17:28:26 | 只看该作者
。。。。。。。。。。。。。

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3#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:30:43 | 只看该作者
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
4#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-11 17:32:55 | 只看该作者
原帖由 WHSH 于 2009-5-11 17:30 发表
* ?+ \% c( V' ^0 b先生

/ {& y3 W1 Z3 g6 C. a3 d& F: r, V
5#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:33:21 | 只看该作者
谢谢先生
6#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:39:46 | 只看该作者
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
7#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:01:47 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
8#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:23:21 | 只看该作者
9#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:29:16 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
10#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:43:26 | 只看该作者
谢谢
11#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:48:35 | 只看该作者
辛苦了
12#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:02:43 | 只看该作者
13#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:02 | 只看该作者
14#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:33 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享。
15#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:46:54 | 只看该作者
16#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:51:04 | 只看该作者
17#
发表于 2009-5-11 21:47:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享
18#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:08:32 | 只看该作者
谢谢,楼主分享!
19#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:33:51 | 只看该作者
20#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:45:16 | 只看该作者

回复 2# 甘恩 的帖子

“Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for
  C; t  B' R+ U' ^) q1 pforecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms 7 d) ]  p5 l' C5 p
and tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in
0 U! P# [5 n& r& Y' A' V2 A7 Qwrong. ”
, j/ \, |# K/ W3 n3 w* Q: r  B( ^" Z
: E4 z" i3 s1 q6 J5 l
# b# P' Q9 C1 G: ?4 X+ K$ I) O4 F6 r7 ^+ @/ e! x
“记紧,跟随所有规则;检查再检查;研究大小周期以作预测,看紧阻力水平;观察市场的顶部及底部之形态,及顶底之间的形态。若有任何遗漏,将陷你于错误之中。”——来自《江恩理论——浸润走势分析》P2571 h9 L$ i! M: `

2 B. u* L4 E" {6 _% G: e5 [! c感谢甘兄立此帖!!!, h* W/ y, ?# p8 b2 h

! z7 g- }  B- N6 N

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21#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:37:15 | 只看该作者
正吖,支持~
22#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:47:03 | 只看该作者
感谢甘兄!!!
23#
发表于 2009-5-12 01:45:36 | 只看该作者
非常感谢甘恩!
24#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:15:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
25#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:16:54 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
26#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:47:16 | 只看该作者
谢谢
27#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:53:23 | 只看该作者
' M- N! u* e! K' `
谢谢!
28#
发表于 2009-5-12 15:32:28 | 只看该作者
谢谢无私分享
29#
发表于 2009-5-12 21:16:21 | 只看该作者
谢谢甘恩兄。
30#
发表于 2009-5-21 16:28:57 | 只看该作者
很好的教程,谢谢!!
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