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江恩如是说(5)——如何交易

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1#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:26:35 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
说明:9 n; R2 N  g" r. O. |' Z
1.首发。转载请注明出处——
阳光飞狐/江恩理论;当然还有译者。谢谢!# h' f5 q' I* m2 [/ z9 N% B! T
2.译文乃
初稿,未校稿,仅供参考!* m' G; B6 o" s" j$ I2 N
------------------------------------------------------------------------0 X& E* S0 u4 ~+ M7 ~2 K
HOW TO TRADE
$ m- x- H3 j% v1 X, m0 t7 Q3 U, |After you have thoroughly mastered all of the lessons, be sure you are right before you make
; o( q3 _% r+ M( La trade.  Never guess.  Trade on mathematical indications only.& t" o1 A$ ]8 H( n% m# I( G2 H

1 H! j$ O) ?$ WWHAT YOU MUST KNOW BEFORE YOU START TRADING
6 c5 S" `* Z2 y( R: s' KYou must know exactly how to apply all the rules.  You must know where to place a stop loss   `' h9 c& \- ~+ x4 ~
order  and must  look up what  cycle  the year  is  in,  that  is, whether  it  is  a bull or bear year,
1 F& j( O0 K( N" a9 j, M3 _whether the main trend should be up or down.
) x5 L5 R+ C# i9 D& U: W1 C2 w& O# i) Z! {: W) ^2 Z( M2 y5 Q
Before  you make  a  trade,  either  buying  or  selling,  consider  the  position  of  each  individual
7 z! N$ X6 W( J1 u5 w! {stock on the monthly chart; next consider the weekly chart and then the daily chart.  If they all ' [6 k. m/ n1 j* K" t/ ~+ A
confirm an uptrend, it is a cinch to buy, provided you have located the point at which to place 5 _) g8 ]1 d) W; R: d& [& j
a stop loss order.  On the other hand, if the cycle shows that it is a bear year and the monthly, ( Z, t3 Z1 I0 a) F. w. R* p
weekly and daily chart show down trend, then it is the time to go short, but again, you must ( h9 s9 g$ C1 i' B# a9 b+ ~! E
look  for  the most  important point  ... where  to place  the stop  loss order so  that  it will not be
. }# a& Y! G1 x3 s* zmore than 3 points away and closer if possible.
* p2 Z! A3 I; k# ^2 s, U# l  ^* O1 O; j
WHAT TO LOOK UP BEFORE YOU MAKE TRADE
6 i( U  k: \: J8 v7 X3 S& N: _; @Following  are  the most  important points  that  you must  consider  before  buying  or  selling  a
6 X/ `0 J6 L9 r1 `4 E9 C4 S. q. R. R8 Cstock:4 g# g6 i, W- Y7 g. Y. K
1. TIME  CYCLE  ... whether  Bull  or  Bear  year,  and whether main  trend  of  the  general % w; Z1 _: ]- H. V$ ]9 B
market is up or down.
/ H" `' |( D1 [8 z; O! |3 s2. CYCLE OF INDIVIDUAL STOCK … whether up or down year.& R. T& k; _# J/ Q
3. MONTHLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.
/ Q! a8 S. l* U& j4. WEEKLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.- F6 @! @5 L( X
5. RESISTANCE LEVELS  ...  see whether  the  stock  is  near  any  half-way  point  or  other ! d; X3 N# ^: v! c
points of support or resistance.
; g' }0 w( f1 t6. Study all FORMATIONS.  If a stock has held for several days, weeks or months around ! a. S7 C0 G. i' R9 z+ H! z
the same level, determine whether it is about ready to cross tops or break bottoms.
- Z  ]# |1 R: w3 y# |- q% E7. Look up VOLUME OF SALES.  See whether a stock has increased or decreased Volume 5 {8 P) N' Q* f; U4 \
over past few days or weeks.- |; s- }& Z5 {3 ~
8. Look up SPACE or price movements  from previous  tops and bottoms and  find out  the ; }: p! n6 C5 W1 C+ A
greatest  advance  or  decline  for  past  few  weeks  or months.    Example:  If  a  stock  has 1 |* Y) u1 F2 v1 E7 X% T/ {
reacted 5 points  several  times  and at  the  time you  look  it up,  if you  find  it  is 3 points
  i1 \: H5 p- A3 h/ Qdown from  the last  top and  the  trend  is up on monthly, weekly and daily with  the price
8 b8 L; q$ N8 Y% jnear a support point, you could buy with a stop loss order 2 to 3 points away.  If the stock
$ S# w) @$ N# \8 mshould break back over 5 points, the previous reaction  limit,  it would show a change  in 8 I4 Y+ L7 p5 w  q. d6 b$ o
trend and you should go short of it./ Z/ |! b: R. u8 b  B# K, h: a
9. Never overlook the fact that you must have a definite indication before making a trade.3 H0 c5 S0 [5 S( T* W6 K
10. Most  important of  all  ... always  locate  the point  at which  to place  a  stop  loss order  to
- [, `& Y8 a4 f4 |2 Ilimit risk.
$ Z) f% H, @/ c9 i4 N. h2 P* F
+ B$ W  c! t$ O% \) wPRACTICE TRADING ON PAPER7 {  X: B7 o/ F( Y& g9 ?  D! a* m- g1 ~
After you feel sure  that you have mastered all  the rules and know exactly how  to determine ; r( z( S8 b9 t* }
the  trend  of  a  stock  and  the  place  to  begin  trading,  then  to make  yourself  doubly  sure  and $ E4 Y) ~  _) n
establish confidence, practice trading on paper and till you thoroughly understand how to use % z; E; e2 ^- u$ k# J
the rules and when to use them.  If you make mistakes trading on paper, then you would make
. H" y, P. h4 K3 gmistakes at the time in actual trading and you are not ready to begin trading.  When you feel
7 K" f1 r5 x( R% _0 U: ethat  you  are  competent  to  start  trading,  apply  all  of  the  rules  and  TRADE  ONLY  ON 9 i& ?3 F: [" K
DEFINITE  INDICATIONS.   If you are not sure of  the  trend or  the buying and selling price
% ~+ d" t, d) n: B8 l3 Q2 A6 l3 land not  sure where  to place  a  stop  loss order,  then wait until you get  a definite  indication.  ! ^) {  k) z$ e) O9 U& E9 ?4 @
You can always make money by waiting for opportunities.   There is no use getting in partly
& u; `3 d/ l) lon guesswork and losing.
2 v$ R0 I# E( y2 c# ~9 i: I
2 ?* x6 c4 p/ J" p$ |4 P' H7 v( X. EWHEN TO CLOSE A TRADE9 s# O, J; g$ N$ L
After you start actual trading, when you make a trade, don't close it or take profits until you 1 @4 z0 E1 C2 N% \6 L" D: F' p
have a definite indication, according to the rules that it is time to sell out or buy in or to move . i" w6 |) C' R3 S- m. v
up  the  stop  loss order and wait until  it  is caught.   The way  to make  a  success  is  to always
2 o2 }/ z2 E/ h$ T, U  X% D- e+ `follow the trend and not get out or close a trade until the trend changes.$ `! y& U* W  G! X& N4 |0 D

/ n& i/ ^4 I6 T8 F  g, `% n$ {5 x0 LWHEN TO WAIT AND NOT TRADE
$ d' J+ {: f' i* P$ w3 nIt is just as important to know when not to enter the market as it is to know when to enter it.  # v. {9 \: r9 C/ h9 {2 R* c
The  time not  to make a  trade  is when you find a stock has been holding  in a narrow trading
5 V. e% l9 b( p6 j9 ]range  for  some  time,  say,  a  5-point  or  a  3-point  range,  but  has  not  broken  under  bottoms  4 v4 s9 ~! N9 f- [. Q5 D& i
previously made or crossed tops previously made.  A stock may stay for weeks or months or
/ o1 ^& w: J9 l8 |2 ]even years  in a  trading  range and will not  indicate any big move or change  in  trend until  it
& Q  b" f- g( T# W+ Q/ P, Vcrosses  as  a  previous  top  or  breaks  a  previous  bottom.    After  a  prolonged  decline  stocks 3 L+ J! ?6 k- @1 ?* C$ v, g
nearly always narrow down and hold in a trading range for some time.  If a stock is inactive in " U9 U' y' ^) |& x# t/ S0 P3 R
this position, it is no time to start trading in it.9 @% B# u1 z' y* l: V
: ~4 [) _6 \$ i+ ^  Q0 i
FOLLOW ALL RULES/ s: [' `) A$ X( \% m- l; U
Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for
' \2 c  ]$ ^6 `' h, ?) O1 Kforecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms * |% f3 u0 g6 E: r6 C7 u9 q
and tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in " \. r, `1 j# T, T' Y
wrong.  The whole can never exceed all its parts and all the parts make up the whole.  If you 9 N, m$ @. f- U! \& h9 F
leave out one of the rules, you will not have a complete forecasting method or trend indicator.8 u& ?( h1 v& r: k: }! n
Your success with the method depends upon you doing your part, studying and learning how
* w# Q# X# v6 W3 ?( Tto apply  the rules and not mixing any  inside or outside  information or reasoning against  the 3 `9 p. s+ Z6 x4 w. u) h1 k9 s
mathematical indications.  No man ever made a success at anything who did not work hard.  I 4 h: H4 X. @4 ?3 Z! M, c
have done my part, and it is now up to you to do yours.

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2#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-11 17:28:26 | 只看该作者
。。。。。。。。。。。。。

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3#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:30:43 | 只看该作者
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4#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-11 17:32:55 | 只看该作者
原帖由 WHSH 于 2009-5-11 17:30 发表 7 h* I3 H9 X7 k, I0 y+ o8 @: P1 Y
先生
  _" ~2 F" x5 f6 R9 ]
5#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:33:21 | 只看该作者
谢谢先生
6#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:39:46 | 只看该作者
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
7#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:01:47 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
8#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:23:21 | 只看该作者
9#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:29:16 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
10#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:43:26 | 只看该作者
谢谢
11#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:48:35 | 只看该作者
辛苦了
12#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:02:43 | 只看该作者
13#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:02 | 只看该作者
14#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:33 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享。
15#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:46:54 | 只看该作者
16#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:51:04 | 只看该作者
17#
发表于 2009-5-11 21:47:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享
18#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:08:32 | 只看该作者
谢谢,楼主分享!
19#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:33:51 | 只看该作者
20#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:45:16 | 只看该作者

回复 2# 甘恩 的帖子

“Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for 0 a+ q; E0 i# Q
forecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms : F! V, E& [9 t; R- m) `
and tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in & w0 n* W2 n- A, i) E, w
wrong. ”6 E0 }. {: |& \7 Z. Y: ?. B
8 J+ H. P1 J; d+ S$ A$ _

) y- \+ e; a8 Q, L- W/ y
/ I% l, j# y4 v& `“记紧,跟随所有规则;检查再检查;研究大小周期以作预测,看紧阻力水平;观察市场的顶部及底部之形态,及顶底之间的形态。若有任何遗漏,将陷你于错误之中。”——来自《江恩理论——浸润走势分析》P2572 \- G" y8 P4 f

6 g% [& `! r# z4 E) I' |感谢甘兄立此帖!!!( H: f% P. t3 J- Q* A; s0 {9 {* z9 X

- B8 i! U* l2 }$ M) |6 N+ v

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21#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:37:15 | 只看该作者
正吖,支持~
22#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:47:03 | 只看该作者
感谢甘兄!!!
23#
发表于 2009-5-12 01:45:36 | 只看该作者
非常感谢甘恩!
24#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:15:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
25#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:16:54 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
26#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:47:16 | 只看该作者
谢谢
27#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:53:23 | 只看该作者

4 s- ?+ i- v' E3 G1 b谢谢!
28#
发表于 2009-5-12 15:32:28 | 只看该作者
谢谢无私分享
29#
发表于 2009-5-12 21:16:21 | 只看该作者
谢谢甘恩兄。
30#
发表于 2009-5-21 16:28:57 | 只看该作者
很好的教程,谢谢!!
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