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8 k# h" v" r5 z原文：
5 U6 \! P4 H' s4 v8 tIMPORTANT POINTS TO REMEMBER IN FORECASTING, D( ?& U) _2 m: v1 P
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TIME is the most important factor of all, and not until sufficient time has expired does any
$ }( o e( q) j( h. B2 Qbig move up or down, start. The Time factor will overbalance both Space and Volume.
2 s1 ^# `5 ]; X6 O2 wWhen Time is up, space movement will start and big volume will begin, either up or down.
/ [+ ?8 ^! x) F* Y6 w bAt the end of any big movement – with monthly, weekly, or daily – Time, must be allowed 7 o9 Z8 T2 p) F" k/ ?' t
for accumulation or distribution.
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- b! a0 W' U' L {& ^" AConsider each individual stock and determine its trend from its position, according to distance 8 f3 B( \6 K5 s
in time from bottom or top. Each stock works out its 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 10, 15, 20, 30, 50 and 60-
8 K N# y2 B! Q5 @5 [) p! ryear cycles from its own base or bottoms and tops, regardless of the movements of other z5 E$ A( Z/ f9 ^# q- i
stocks, even those in the same group. Therefore, judge each stock individually and keep up
, [. O! @! R: q6 O) wweekly and monthly charts on them.
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Never decide that the main trend has changed one way or the other without consulting the
% C& Q& Q: d' d& a- b" `angles from top or bottom and without considering the position of the market and cycle of
Z5 s2 d& Z! F7 |+ S) u' zeach individual stock.
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Always consider the annual forecast and whether the big time limit has run out or not before 2 S; n! |6 a! ^. w+ O, O
judging a reverse move. Do not fail to consider the indications on Time, both from main tops 7 ^& I5 }& V' Z5 P' A' q3 m4 S
and bottoms, also Volume of Sales and position on Geometrical Angles.
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9 L ~9 g) H1 U, m/ ]7 AA daily chart gives the first short change, which may run for 7 to 10 days; the Weekly Chart
8 M) X8 q4 v, Agives the next important change in trend; and the Monthly the strongest. Remember, weekly0 n" X0 w1 F4 i4 A( f
moves run 3 to 7 weeks, monthly moves 2 to 3 months or more, according to the yearly cycle, 0 U+ F4 g7 q5 b: D
before reversing.
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' Q5 k9 l2 M$ Y$ [# N) H) tYearly bottoms and tops: it is important to know whether a stock is making higher or lower ' Z& A2 O4 j( y9 S# W$ j& o
bottoms each year. For instance, if a stock has made a higher bottom each year for five years, & d2 J$ k. x& @; M& J& K1 F
then makes a lower bottom than the previous year, it is a sign of reversal and may mark a long
! _1 }! s" v1 R N* V, I% Z) Mdown cycle. The same rule applies when stocks are making lower tops for a number of years % |. P( Z2 H* y" v) \, W
in a bear market.% ^. H$ |( x1 k! V) x" p" f
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When extreme advances or declines occur, the first time the market reverses over 1/4 to 1/2 of
1 b2 A) M8 T2 a9 N. P) @the distance covered in the previous movement, you consider that the trend has changed, at - [7 l# Q" N: @3 ?+ Q" m, k
least temporarily.8 ` s7 M/ C% K( E
7 m! p& |# w O; PIt is important to watch space movements. When Time is running out one way or the other, ) H4 i% s. P2 E
space movements will show a reversal by breaking back over 1/4, 1/3 or 1/2 of the distance of 0 ^7 w) b$ F" K5 i. ~ n
the last move from extreme low to extreme high, which indicates that the main trend has / [# @1 x* j P0 T" C7 n
changed.
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# d3 n. d4 w0 }* j) x: `Study all the instructions and rules that I have given you; read them over several times, as
, B4 c* e$ i i9 S7 @0 @. l% O1 {7 Neach time they will become clearer to you. Study the charts and work out the rules in actual . i6 [' }1 c( w; S
practice as well as on past performance. In this way, you will make progress and will realize 7 d l- v( M6 _
and appreciate the value of my Method of Forecasting.
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发表于 2009-4-30 10:58:01
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楼主
发表于 2009-4-30 11:22:23
哦，原来是007兄！
发表于 2009-5-3 10:30:27
发表于 2009-5-4 12:51:27
