江恩如是说（3）——预测要记住的重点

甘恩

说明：
" V/ b9 [, c5 }1.首发。转载请注明出处——阳光飞狐/江恩理论；当然还有译者。谢谢！
) j* t) a" d. m+ X+ u2.译文乃初稿，未校稿，仅供参考！
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0 X: L2 ?  z' v; |% `! d% `/ H原文：
7 \" B2 J' c3 Z  ]IMPORTANT POINTS TO REMEMBER IN FORECASTING

: c' h. `; d1 B3 H" L4 qTIME  is  the most  important  factor of all, and not until sufficient  time has expired does any
3 |- d# Q6 A+ r# u' Vbig move  up  or  down,  start.    The  Time  factor  will  overbalance  both  Space  and  Volume.  
When Time  is up, space movement will start and big volume will begin, either up or down.  
( Z5 \' E$ x( D: fAt  the end of any big movement –  with monthly, weekly, or daily –  Time, must be allowed
for accumulation or distribution.
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Consider each individual stock and determine its trend from its position, according to distance
7 A0 c4 I- j" r* D/ uin time from bottom or top.  Each stock works out its 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 10, 15, 20, 30, 50 and 60-
year  cycles  from  its  own  base  or  bottoms  and  tops,  regardless  of  the movements  of  other
stocks, even those  in  the same group.   Therefore, judge each stock  individually and keep up
3 ?& \9 o" q+ b$ Z5 K/ ]weekly and monthly charts on them.

Never decide  that  the main  trend has  changed one way or  the other without  consulting  the
angles  from  top or bottom  and without  considering  the position of  the market and  cycle of
% z2 ^! C$ _6 Oeach individual stock.

Always consider the annual forecast and whether the big time limit has run out or not before
judging a reverse move.  Do not fail to consider the indications on Time, both from main tops
  T6 {  O3 I, n7 j- s+ f; }and bottoms, also Volume of Sales and position on Geometrical Angles.
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A daily chart gives the first short change, which may run for 7 to 10 days; the Weekly Chart
" Y/ F7 s( P+ ]9 n! M1 D1 j# @gives the next important change in trend; and the Monthly the strongest.  Remember, weekly
moves run 3 to 7 weeks, monthly moves 2 to 3 months or more, according to the yearly cycle,
before reversing.

/ E/ ^6 Z% }4 h2 M! F/ GYearly bottoms and  tops:  it  is important to know whether a stock  is making higher or  lower
/ ~+ h/ V: }& Z0 Rbottoms each year.  For instance, if a stock has made a higher bottom each year for five years,
) C! K3 T: U) F2 {1 Athen makes a lower bottom than the previous year, it is a sign of reversal and may mark a long
down cycle.  The same rule applies when stocks are making lower tops for a number of years
in a bear market.
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When extreme advances or declines occur, the first time the market reverses over 1/4 to 1/2 of
the distance covered  in  the previous movement, you consider  that  the  trend has changed, at
least temporarily.
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' y# @2 ~& G& Q7 WIt  is important to watch space movements.   When Time is running out one way or the other,
' ?' L, S& v+ ^4 T5 Y) M2 zspace movements will show a reversal by breaking back over 1/4, 1/3 or 1/2 of the distance of
) `$ k  I% L8 G1 H4 Ethe  last move  from  extreme  low  to  extreme  high, which  indicates  that  the main  trend  has
changed.
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# B' N1 H5 O% _  nStudy  all  the  instructions  and  rules  that  I have given  you;  read  them over  several  times,  as
each time they will become clearer to you.  Study the charts and work out the rules in actual
practice as well as on past performance.  In this way, you will make progress and will realize
and appreciate the value of my Method of Forecasting.
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甘恩

老问题——贴不上图！

jsyly

原帖由 甘恩 于 2009-4-30 11:03 发表
老问题——贴不上图！

老办法
- N) F) X+ }$ q0 c$ i# nRAR
" e) y+ e3 f+ X6 Z4 S) ]# ]谢谢甘恩兄
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甘恩

谢谢提醒！还是图片直观。

甘恩

........................

jsyly

太好了
8 a1 }( z5 F+ F: {# v6 P  }; G! j

甘恩

多谢gc007兄提醒！请留下邮箱。
0 R) C/ A! O/ J9 S, m------------------------------------------------
2 X) N* H, L2 i  q$ M. P: @图表缩到700*1000左右才行！应该不是我的系统问题，请阳光兄检查一下。

guyun

gc007

原帖由 甘恩 于 2009-4-30 11:19 发表
多谢gc007兄提醒！请留下邮箱。
------------------------------------------------
图表缩到700*1000左右才行！应该不是我的系统问题，请阳光兄检查一下。

: w$ [, ]! }. ]1 i已经反馈给discuz程序运营商。估计在1024分辨率下都可以。

甘恩

哦，原来是007兄！

new79man

翻译速度很快，谢谢提供。

adinos

好文共赏，给兄弟顶一下，表示感激。

mcwhmm

谢谢

甘恩

原帖由 new79man 于 2009-4-30 11:39 发表
翻译速度很快，谢谢提供。

再一个月收工！呵呵。

一叶

学习，谢谢。

anyway

谢谢辛苦啦

tsztm

学习的动力，力量的源泉，财富的积累

xiong7203

我有这个教程的全部内容   这只是其中的一小部分而已

东四十条

又看到了甘恩兄的劳动成果@！对于甘恩兄的这种精神真是感激不尽！！在此支持一下！！！

wushilu

谢谢辛苦啦

一叶

辛苦了 辛苦了

axcqy

很想看后文

jqbudd

谢谢分享

awei

yay

讲价格已落后于时间!

上下

在此支持一下！！！

时价量形

支持LZ，学习学习

马波浪

好贴认真学。。。

跳跳雨

"记住，根据年度周期，反转前，周线会运行3到7周，月线会运行2到3个月或更多。“

guolitingpy0925