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江恩如是说(5)——如何交易

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1#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:26:35 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
说明:5 A$ v2 {, Q4 ~4 [& X
1.首发。转载请注明出处——
阳光飞狐/江恩理论;当然还有译者。谢谢!
) [* o% N- V; c* {3 \8 k- E2.译文乃
初稿,未校稿,仅供参考!/ a. d) ?7 R# [% [  q- s
------------------------------------------------------------------------
' g" D4 W# |- G9 h! }HOW TO TRADE
, K) j7 X7 s8 |8 O( C1 eAfter you have thoroughly mastered all of the lessons, be sure you are right before you make
7 d2 d. o- w7 a; _+ p0 L8 j! W; wa trade.  Never guess.  Trade on mathematical indications only.6 I) c, i7 J9 p5 m% F/ Q4 O

1 Q! u/ F' n  a" KWHAT YOU MUST KNOW BEFORE YOU START TRADING
, @7 {: {, C6 ]4 R* qYou must know exactly how to apply all the rules.  You must know where to place a stop loss / `' i) \* ?6 c. c; ^/ b5 X: \; C
order  and must  look up what  cycle  the year  is  in,  that  is, whether  it  is  a bull or bear year, + t+ F- w7 K7 t2 x! n
whether the main trend should be up or down." `1 A$ s7 i. K: o
  m" o5 ~1 C; `! S" [
Before  you make  a  trade,  either  buying  or  selling,  consider  the  position  of  each  individual 4 k. c  S- A$ j2 b
stock on the monthly chart; next consider the weekly chart and then the daily chart.  If they all & V8 c4 w- T: X$ A
confirm an uptrend, it is a cinch to buy, provided you have located the point at which to place
# D# [$ G# L( S6 ^: B& W! d# t, Pa stop loss order.  On the other hand, if the cycle shows that it is a bear year and the monthly, * h, Y' G* k4 ]! h8 p
weekly and daily chart show down trend, then it is the time to go short, but again, you must ' g. X, ]5 H. P, `% e+ h
look  for  the most  important point  ... where  to place  the stop  loss order so  that  it will not be
5 A$ ?( b, Q$ o* N2 ]$ Pmore than 3 points away and closer if possible.
  v9 m* }0 l- [1 P& Z" v8 S) [+ n' w: ~/ F+ `% @* r" `
WHAT TO LOOK UP BEFORE YOU MAKE TRADE
$ N5 G. t& j* S8 a4 T  V) n3 [Following  are  the most  important points  that  you must  consider  before  buying  or  selling  a   O, \: }  x+ X# X- O: Q% g
stock:
  a/ }; L) y$ r1 j# ^1. TIME  CYCLE  ... whether  Bull  or  Bear  year,  and whether main  trend  of  the  general
; A# C: i1 _5 Q/ t4 {market is up or down.( Y9 |0 V* d# a  w* f: @3 L* B
2. CYCLE OF INDIVIDUAL STOCK … whether up or down year.
# `) O1 Y8 [& ~2 r" J" ~9 \3. MONTHLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.; _2 X5 U- M1 p0 Y$ Z, P
4. WEEKLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.
$ N( n6 |, h0 ?5. RESISTANCE LEVELS  ...  see whether  the  stock  is  near  any  half-way  point  or  other
8 D, \) B+ l7 p9 a5 S& z8 e! Zpoints of support or resistance.
8 j4 b. y4 b+ Y9 G8 N* V; }* a# g6. Study all FORMATIONS.  If a stock has held for several days, weeks or months around
/ r" C* [& _1 J5 kthe same level, determine whether it is about ready to cross tops or break bottoms.& [( |" ?- V3 @- q
7. Look up VOLUME OF SALES.  See whether a stock has increased or decreased Volume
/ x# C6 t3 \. @. G. gover past few days or weeks.
, }2 i; x; }8 T: ^7 \5 M8. Look up SPACE or price movements  from previous  tops and bottoms and  find out  the
1 K7 v. S# _, \( z4 ]8 agreatest  advance  or  decline  for  past  few  weeks  or months.    Example:  If  a  stock  has % F) `. l/ Q+ C
reacted 5 points  several  times  and at  the  time you  look  it up,  if you  find  it  is 3 points ! e. w5 c9 J8 P1 e4 k: s. _& u
down from  the last  top and  the  trend  is up on monthly, weekly and daily with  the price
8 x; i9 Q* Q# G1 k/ v$ Snear a support point, you could buy with a stop loss order 2 to 3 points away.  If the stock
4 s" m* T1 @7 `' xshould break back over 5 points, the previous reaction  limit,  it would show a change  in * ~; U4 l9 M  {, ^8 ^1 E
trend and you should go short of it.- e/ E2 d' S2 Y9 p+ k! r0 R& W1 J% B
9. Never overlook the fact that you must have a definite indication before making a trade.6 c0 Q6 O1 i" ?+ R: `% m
10. Most  important of  all  ... always  locate  the point  at which  to place  a  stop  loss order  to   d( F& D* e* p  I
limit risk.3 d$ S, T- L. z. V, V( b

1 Z1 M. ?# x6 b! E! d1 r; C' JPRACTICE TRADING ON PAPER8 N4 R1 N& S" |2 y. i# R
After you feel sure  that you have mastered all  the rules and know exactly how  to determine
) O' l' G9 p6 q* n7 U2 w% z, Rthe  trend  of  a  stock  and  the  place  to  begin  trading,  then  to make  yourself  doubly  sure  and 6 o; E, R' e1 M
establish confidence, practice trading on paper and till you thoroughly understand how to use 1 Q1 N. f% Q# h0 Y
the rules and when to use them.  If you make mistakes trading on paper, then you would make   J8 D0 B9 ^& I
mistakes at the time in actual trading and you are not ready to begin trading.  When you feel
$ |3 Y& T* m8 \, X: f$ g' T# V- j7 i% _$ bthat  you  are  competent  to  start  trading,  apply  all  of  the  rules  and  TRADE  ONLY  ON
" i  p5 W# Z  K8 m6 LDEFINITE  INDICATIONS.   If you are not sure of  the  trend or  the buying and selling price
" ?8 I+ j4 f2 }4 p$ ~; O; Gand not  sure where  to place  a  stop  loss order,  then wait until you get  a definite  indication.  
' Y- j. l" E7 `* ?- T  `$ F6 MYou can always make money by waiting for opportunities.   There is no use getting in partly ( Z6 T2 }1 c& k$ S, w" m* r
on guesswork and losing.+ u9 b% t* C+ e, a. |4 v! z  W8 |

; f, v3 Y2 c4 X1 u2 N7 P, A$ zWHEN TO CLOSE A TRADE
9 T0 n+ ~. d8 gAfter you start actual trading, when you make a trade, don't close it or take profits until you
; ?  W/ b. m5 R, t7 Uhave a definite indication, according to the rules that it is time to sell out or buy in or to move   [/ M, M& i# O5 B
up  the  stop  loss order and wait until  it  is caught.   The way  to make  a  success  is  to always
9 X0 T! ]) f7 |0 H' ~follow the trend and not get out or close a trade until the trend changes.
' Z% i( e4 y' A% R) x3 F5 U
7 @  J; q: P* f( k5 B! w: ~, uWHEN TO WAIT AND NOT TRADE
! k& a" ?$ _7 }8 K( L1 h7 dIt is just as important to know when not to enter the market as it is to know when to enter it.  
. `! f$ h5 g$ K+ V, K  lThe  time not  to make a  trade  is when you find a stock has been holding  in a narrow trading
9 ?8 c! ]0 _+ E4 i" Y* [1 {" Orange  for  some  time,  say,  a  5-point  or  a  3-point  range,  but  has  not  broken  under  bottoms  
$ A" ?! Z6 L+ d+ C, D+ ypreviously made or crossed tops previously made.  A stock may stay for weeks or months or
4 v! B% ?' }+ i3 H+ a  Oeven years  in a  trading  range and will not  indicate any big move or change  in  trend until  it
  J9 @( q: p; ?! `' Lcrosses  as  a  previous  top  or  breaks  a  previous  bottom.    After  a  prolonged  decline  stocks , v) i! @5 G* U' C( o& W, L# v
nearly always narrow down and hold in a trading range for some time.  If a stock is inactive in
" p& Z' p. I% y1 M( othis position, it is no time to start trading in it.+ G1 {. ^! _! V  j4 D
5 |3 P& G5 A: E7 ~3 q1 s
FOLLOW ALL RULES
: {, ~8 g7 r- \# wRemember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for / ^# W8 g1 b5 k  Y5 M
forecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms * r7 g6 e; [5 K, L7 {8 A3 w
and tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in
. V5 l) j2 {! M9 @wrong.  The whole can never exceed all its parts and all the parts make up the whole.  If you $ W5 C& k" p/ i) O2 _/ B
leave out one of the rules, you will not have a complete forecasting method or trend indicator.- g& M# s+ W8 g$ _
Your success with the method depends upon you doing your part, studying and learning how 5 [5 x6 W6 ~( A5 o% Z* x$ r
to apply  the rules and not mixing any  inside or outside  information or reasoning against  the
: G7 O' a/ k* Z; u4 Dmathematical indications.  No man ever made a success at anything who did not work hard.  I
  H# y- N& e7 b0 ^! Z/ v( G7 y& ?% ihave done my part, and it is now up to you to do yours.

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2#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-11 17:28:26 | 只看该作者
。。。。。。。。。。。。。

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3#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:30:43 | 只看该作者
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4#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-11 17:32:55 | 只看该作者
原帖由 WHSH 于 2009-5-11 17:30 发表 * B2 I7 W1 n+ o5 f+ b; F. z' u
先生
1 O& \. {9 S# a# z2 k
5#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:33:21 | 只看该作者
谢谢先生
6#
发表于 2009-5-11 17:39:46 | 只看该作者
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
7#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:01:47 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
8#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:23:21 | 只看该作者
9#
发表于 2009-5-11 18:29:16 | 只看该作者
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
10#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:43:26 | 只看该作者
谢谢
11#
发表于 2009-5-11 19:48:35 | 只看该作者
辛苦了
12#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:02:43 | 只看该作者
13#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:02 | 只看该作者
14#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:45:33 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享。
15#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:46:54 | 只看该作者
16#
发表于 2009-5-11 20:51:04 | 只看该作者
17#
发表于 2009-5-11 21:47:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主分享
18#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:08:32 | 只看该作者
谢谢,楼主分享!
19#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:33:51 | 只看该作者
20#
发表于 2009-5-11 22:45:16 | 只看该作者

回复 2# 甘恩 的帖子

“Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for * x6 x  D4 n5 ~) ~" o
forecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
8 g% U0 A+ f. ^6 ^( j, Rand tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in - k8 g5 y! Y3 g/ a" y  n+ b/ D
wrong. ”
3 b2 h2 W( R. M- I8 C# c
. D& }+ {! Z/ d$ F: m+ M8 B! }* A) n5 Q2 W, Q( Z
; P# t- ~3 _7 z: }' s6 X
“记紧,跟随所有规则;检查再检查;研究大小周期以作预测,看紧阻力水平;观察市场的顶部及底部之形态,及顶底之间的形态。若有任何遗漏,将陷你于错误之中。”——来自《江恩理论——浸润走势分析》P257
- ~4 Z# x# ?0 J2 K$ t; T0 M  L! E) {1 Y+ M. ~% T1 B
感谢甘兄立此帖!!!
7 h4 F4 r9 w" U* v' V
( {! o) m. J5 p6 |5 V3 q

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21#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:37:15 | 只看该作者
正吖,支持~
22#
发表于 2009-5-11 23:47:03 | 只看该作者
感谢甘兄!!!
23#
发表于 2009-5-12 01:45:36 | 只看该作者
非常感谢甘恩!
24#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:15:46 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
25#
发表于 2009-5-12 07:16:54 | 只看该作者
谢谢楼主!
26#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:47:16 | 只看该作者
谢谢
27#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:53:23 | 只看该作者

. g8 @; O" O1 H1 z9 O: G谢谢!
28#
发表于 2009-5-12 15:32:28 | 只看该作者
谢谢无私分享
29#
发表于 2009-5-12 21:16:21 | 只看该作者
谢谢甘恩兄。
30#
发表于 2009-5-21 16:28:57 | 只看该作者
很好的教程,谢谢!!
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