【翻译】MMA金融占星5月16日周预测

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REVIEW AND PREVIEW   
回顾与前瞻
It was another typical Mercury retrograde week. Most equity indices were modestly up early in the week, peaking around the midpoint of the Mercury retrograde of May 10 and then declining into the end of the week. For most, it was an inside week – the high and low were between the prior week’s high and low, which is typical of the latter half of Mercury retrograde (low volatility). However, there were exceptions, such as in Australia, where the ASX index soared to its highest level in 9 months. Or in China, where the Shanghai Index fell to its lowest level in two months. Typical Mercury retrograde. One part of the world is up, another part down, but most of the world just see-sawing back in forth in a smaller and smaller trading range.
这是另一个典型的水星逆行周。大多数股票指数在本周早些时候开始小幅上升，在5月10日的水星逆行的中点达到顶峰，然后下降到本周结束。对于大多数（市场），这发生在一周内 - 高点和低点在前一周的高点与低点之间，这是典型的水星逆行（低波动）的后半段。不过，也有例外，如在澳大利亚，在那里ASX指数飙升至9个月以来的历史最高水平。在中国，上海指数跌至两个月以来的最低水平。这是典型的水星逆行。世界的一部分上升，另一部分下降，但世界上大部分（市场指数）只看到在越来越小的波动区间中来回运动了。

In the USA, the Dow Jones Industrial Average peaked at 17,934 on Tuesday, May 10, right in the middle of the Trickster’s retrograde motion. It soared 222 points higher that day. The next day it gave it all back, falling 217 points. By the end of Friday, May 13, the DJIA was making a new monthly low, testing 17,500.
周二5月10日，美国道琼斯工业平均指数达到高峰17,934，就在“骗子”（水星）的逆行的中间点。那一天道指暴涨222百分点。第二天，它又跌回来了，下跌217点。到上周五5月13日收盘，道琼斯工业平均指数创出月度新低，测试17500。

The trading activity was a little livelier in commodities. Crude Oil hit $47.02/barrel on May 12, its highest price in 6 months. Gold fell from a yearly high of 1306 on May 2, just two trading days after Mercury turned retrograde, and fell to a low (so far) of 1258.30 on May 10, the  midpoint of the retrograde mercury band. Silver, as usual, was more dramatic. From its high of 18.06 on May 2, it sold off all last week. On Friday, it was down to a low of 16.85 intraday, with no sign of a bottom yet. It fits with cycle studies. It also fits with Mars transit studies, with Mars falling back into early Sagittarius due its retrograde motion. However, it may violate the normal bullish pattern of heliocentric Mercury moving into Sagittarius now (May 13-24), which starts now. Should we be surprised that the warrior Mars is one tough dude that can put a stop to Mercury the Trickster?
交易活动在商品市场稍微活跃。5月12日原油创下/桶47.02 $ ，6个月以来的最高价格。5月2日，水星开始逆行后的两个交易日，黄金从年度高点1306开始下跌，并跌至5月10日的水星逆行时间段的中点，到达低点1258.30（到目前为止）。白银像往常一样，更富有戏剧性。从5月2日的高点18.06，在上周抛售。上周五，其跌至盘中低点16.85，并且还没有底部的迹象。目前的走势符合（我们的）周期研究。这也符合（我们的）火星推运（过运）研究，火星由于其逆行落回射手座。但是这些走势可能违反了现在开始的日心水星移入射手座的正常牛市格局（5月13日至24日）。如果火星战士一个艰难的纨绔子弟，能够制止水星“骗子”，我们会感到惊讶吗？

The problem with the metals is the Dollar, which is strengthening. It is really deeper than that. The problem with all the markets is the Central Banks and their mixed messages, which drives the Dollar higher. Two weeks ago, the Bank of Japan did not provide more monetary accommodation, as was then expected. Last week, BOJ announced they would. Hence the Dollar went up, and other currencies (like the Euro and Yen) fell rather hard, pulling down both metals and stocks. So that makes three central banks now that have reversed their prior announcements about monetary policy in the last month: first the ECB, then the Federal Reserve Board, and now BOJ. It is classic Mercury and Mars retrograde, with Jupiter and Saturn in a T-square with Neptune: you cannot believe anything you read, hear, or see these days. Even Donald Trump reversed his monetary policy regarding accepting campaign funds, when all along he said he would not. Under aspects like these, promises are made to be broken.
金属的问题是美元的强势。但是有着更深层次的原因。所有市场的问题是中央银行和他们混在的信息，驱动美元上升。两周前，日本央行如预期并没有提供更多的宽松的货币政策，上周，日本央行宣布，他们将会（采取宽松的货币政策）。因此，美元上涨了，而其他货币（如欧元和日元）下跌比较凶，拉低了金属和股票。这样就使得在上个月内有三大央行已扭转他们对货币政策的通告：首先是欧洲央行，其次是美国联邦储备委员会，现在是日本央行。这是典型的水星和火星逆行，木星和土星与海王星成T三角：你不能相信任何你读到，听到或看到这些天。甚至特朗普推翻了他始终说他不会接受竞选资金的财务策略。在这样相位下，承诺是用来被打破的。

SHORT-TERM GEOCOMICS
短期预测（地心天象）
This is a noteworthy week for a strange reason: there are no geocentric major aspects forming by transiting planets, May 14-21. That implies that whatever the trends are going into this week, they will not change. Markets that have been declining will continue to decline and those that have been rising will continue to rise. Unless they don’t (nothing is iron clad under Mercury and Mars both retrograde, and past correlations are no guarantee of future performance. What is a more likely observation is that world leaders (political and banking) will continue to abruptly change their positions and spin their thinking in an effort to distract from their erratic thinking and behavior.
这是值得注意的一周，因为一个奇怪的原因：5月14日至21日，没有任何由过境行星形成重要地心天象的相位。这意味着，在进入这个星期前的任何趋势将不会改变趋势方向。下跌的将继续下跌和上升的将继续上升。除非他们不这样做（没有什么在水星和火星都在逆行是铁定的），和过去的相关性（高)并不代表保证未来表现。（世人）将有更多的如下观察，世界各国领导人（政治和银行）将继续突然改变其立场，并快速改变他们的思考，努力从他们古怪的思想和行为中转移出来。

Even though planets are not making major aspects to one another, there are still a few interesting geocosmic features happening in the cosmos. For one, heliocentric Mercury begins its 11-day journey through Sagittarius, May 13-24. As stated last week, “This will be fascinating because that pairing usually corresponds to sharp price movements in metals and currencies (usually up),  but it is occurring near the end of Mercury retrograde, which is a that is usually not very volatile for financial markets. Which will dominate? Or will we see both expressions manifest?” So far, it has not been volatile, so the end of Mercury retrograde is dominating.
虽然行星不会彼此形成重要相位，仍然有一些有趣的地心天象在宇宙中发生。其一，日心水星开始从5月13日至24日的通过射手座的11天旅程。正如上周所说，“日心角度，5月13日至24日水星开始其11天的经过射手座旅程。这将是有趣的，因为这个搭配通常对应于金属和货币价格大幅波动（通常是上涨），但这个发生在水星逆行快要结束之时，这是一个通常不是金融市场有着大幅波动的时间段。这将成为主导？或者，我们会看到两者都会呈现？”到目前为止，市场并未出现大幅波动，所以水星逆行结束时间起着主导作用。

Another test to the current contradictory Mercury volatility theories will take place May 21, when the Full Moon unfolds in Gemini-Sagittarius. This full Moon conjuncts Mars as well. Normally, that would correspond to market and political volatility (boastful claims that may not be true, followed by over-the-top angry rebuttals). It happens over a weekend, so perhaps it relates more to politics than markets. However, watch the grain markets, which tend to reverse within a trading day or two of this lunation. Tempers and weather could get very hot.
另一个和目前的矛盾水星波动理论的测试，将于5月21日当满月发生双子座时射手座时发生。这次满月和火星和相（0度）。通常情况下，这将和市场和政治动荡相关（自夸声称未必是真实的，其次是过度的顶愤怒的反驳）。由于这一天象发生在周末，所以也许它相比市场将更涉及到政治。然而，看粮食市场，这往往在月相的变化的两个交易日内发生逆转。情绪和天气会变得很热烈。
           
LONGER-TERM THOUGHTS AND MUNDANE ASTROLOGY
长期思考及时时占星
      “Great minds discuss ideas, average minds discuss events, small minds discuss people.” –Admiral Hyman G. Rickover, from the Arizona Republic, May 5, 2016.
”“伟大的头脑讨论理念，平庸的头脑讨论事件，渺小的头脑讨论人”
    –Admiral Hyman G. Rickover, 亚利桑那共和报，2016年5月5日

We are going to play small ball and discuss people this week, especially Donald Trump who is born under a full Moon, in fact a lunar eclipse, in the same Gemini-Sagittarius signs that the full moon of May 21 occupy. His online birth certificate states he is born June 14, 1946, at 10:54 AM, EDT, in Queens, New York. He is a man who is at his strength discussing people, and less potent when discussing ideas in detail, especially if they involve the details of how he would do what he proposes needs to be done. He is much stronger when he can turn the conversation from “ideas” to “people.” As he suggests, he prefers to not go into details about his “ideas” (of which he has plenty, as a Gemini-Sagittarius) because he wishes to keep his “options open.”
本周我们要玩点小的，讨论一下人，特别是唐纳德特朗普，一个在满月，其实是月食，和5月21日的满月发生时同样的的双子座-射手座出生的家伙。他的在线的出生证明指出他是出生在1946年6月14日上午10:54，美国东部时间，纽约皇后区。他是这种擅长讨论人，不善详细讨论理念的人，特别是当涉及他怎么会做什么的时候，当他可以将谈话从“理念”转向“人”的时候，他会更强大。他表示，他更喜欢不深入讨论他的理念（他会有很多（理念，点子）作为一个双子座，射手座），因为他希望保持自己的“选择权”。

When he discusses “people,” however, he is at his strength because he is gifted at “branding” them, thereby creating an enduring image in the minds of others. In this primary season, he has impressively demonstrated his power at effectively branding his opponents (i.e. “Little Marco,” “Lying Ted,” Low Energy Jeb,” “Crooked Hillary,” and so on). It is a wonder that no one has effectively branded him in kind (i.e. “Donald the Whiner,” Bully Donald,” “Contradictory Donald,” or perhaps “Cannonball,” since Hillary Clinton is fond of calling him a “loose cannon,” which is a weaker form of branding that isn’t sticking). In any event, the ability to “pin a tail on a donkey,” or sticking names on people, is a form of Gemini-Sagittarius playfulness. However, with Mars rising in Leo, it can (but not solely) take the form of offensiveness and even bullying. This becomes even more pronounced in the charts of those who also have planets in Cancer, for Cancer demands loyalty. Mr. Trump has Venus and Saturn conjunct in Cancer, so he is especially assertive at branding others negatively who are not loyal to him, such as his opponents. As he often states, he doesn’t likes to lose. He will do whatever it takes to win. This is not the chart of one who graciously accepts defeat.
当他讨论“人”的时候，他是他的强项，因为他非常擅长于给人们贴上“商标”，从而给其他人心中留下经久不衰的形象。在这次初选中，他赫然展现了他给他的对手贴商标的能力（即“小马可”，“说谎的特德，”低能的杰布“，”歪瓜的希拉里“，等等）。奇葩的是没有人有效地给他贴商标（即“唐纳德牢骚大王，”欺负人的唐纳德“，”矛盾的唐纳德，“或者是”炮弹“，因为希拉里是喜欢把他成为”哑火的大炮“，这是较弱的标签，不是那么有粘黏度）。有能力“给驴尾巴扎针”，或者给人起绰号，是双子座-射手座嬉闹的一种形式。然而火星在狮子座上升，它可以（但不是唯一）采取进攻性，甚至欺凌的形式。这个在本命盘中在巨蟹有星象的（人）来说显得更加明显，因为巨蟹需要忠诚。特朗普的巨蟹座中，金星和土星合相，所以他特别会给他不忠于他的人贴上负面的标签，比如他的对手。因为他经常说，他不喜欢输。他会不惜一切代价取胜。这不是一个慷慨地接受失败的命盘。

Of most importance to readers - and everyone else – is whether he can win the election or not. As an astrologer, I think it is not clear by looking solely at his chart and transits to it. I will discuss this in more detail later in the year, but suffice to say for now that the transit of Saturn will be conjunct him Moon and opposite his Sun just before inauguration day on January 20. This is a two-edged sword. Saturn on the Moon is not generally regarded as a “popular” time in one’s life. It is associated more often with loss than gain. When competing, it does not portend victory, but rather deep disappointment. Yet Saturn transiting in opposition to one’s natal Sun can indicate a peak in one’s professional life.  At the same time, the demands upon one’s time and energy are usually enormous. It can be a very successful time, but also a very stressful time.
对于读者还有其他人重要的是他是否能在大选中获胜。作为一个占星家，我认为仅仅看他的本命和过运是不清晰的。我将在今年晚些时候详细讨论这个问题，但我只想现在说，在1月20日新总统职前一天，流年（过运）土星会相合（本命）月亮和并且和他的本命太阳对冲，这是一把双刃剑。土星合月亮一般不被视为一个人的好日子。它一般会更多和损失有关，而不是收益。在竞争中，这不是预示着胜利，而是深深的失望。然而，流年土星对冲一个人的本命太阳可以表明一个人的职业生涯高峰。在同一时间，在一个人的时间和精力的需求通常是巨大的。它可以是一个非常成功时候，也可以是一个很痛苦的时候。

Can he win? Yes, with transiting Saturn opposite his Sun. But he can also suffer a great loss, with Saturn on his Moon. Can both themes be present at the same time in January 2017? Yes. Bottom line: This is probably not going to be as easy a victory as Clinton fans think and as polls currently indicate. Hillary is going to have to be able to close out this election cycle in a much stronger manner than she has shown a capacity to do prior to now (with the exception of winning her Senate seat in New York a few years ago). They both have Mars in Leo (Trump and Clinton), which is the most common placement for former USA presidents, as reported by Michael O’Reilly in his excellent work titled “Political Astrology.” That also indicates one hell of entertaining fight should they ever go on stage and debate – almost as good as a debate between Janet Yellen and Donald Trump, which may come after the election, if Trump wins.
他能取胜吗？是的，流年土星对冲太阳，但他也承受他的流年土星合月亮的巨大损失。这两个主题会出现在同一时间在2017年一月吗？是的。底线：克林顿的粉丝认为和民意调查表明，这不可能能是那么容易的胜利。希拉里有能力以更强大的姿态结束这次选举，比他至今表现的还要强大（几年前她的参议员席位的情况除外）。他们的火星都在狮子座（特朗普和克林顿），这是美国前总统中最常见配置，如迈克尔·奥赖利在他出色的题为“政治占星术。”报到中说的一样。这也预示他们上台辩论的时候将是一场更加娱乐的地狱式决斗 - 几乎和耶伦和唐纳德·特朗普之间的辩论一样好，这可能会在大选后发生，如果特鲁姆普赢了。

In the meantime, I stand by my earlier advice: sit back and enjoy this spectacle. Politics like this have never happened before in quite this fashion in America, and if nothing else, it promises to be a very entertaining match between “Crooked Hillary” and “Cannonball Donald.”
在此期间，我坚持我前面的建议：坐下来享受这一奇观。在美国这种方式的政治在相当长时间内已经没有发生过了，如果不出意外，“歪瓜的希拉里”和“炮弹唐纳德。”之间有望成为一个非常有趣的比赛。

leomao

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