2009日月食

yefc0000

http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/OH/OH2009.html

During the year 2009, two solar and four lunar eclipses occur as follows:

• 2009 Jan 26: Annular Solar Eclipse
• 2009 Feb 09: Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
• 2009 Jul 07: Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
• 2009 Jul 22: Total Solar Eclipse
• 2009 Aug 06: Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
• 2009 Dec 31: Partial Lunar Eclipse

Predictions for the eclipses are summarized in Figures 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, and 8. World maps show the regions of visibility for each eclipse. The lunar eclipse diagrams also include the path of the Moon through Earth's shadows. Contact times for each principal phase are tabulated along with the magnitudes and geocentric coordinates of the Sun and Moon at greatest eclipse.
All times and dates used in this publication are in Universal Time or UT. This astronomically derived time system is colloquially referred to as Greenwich Mean Time or GMT. To learn more about UT and how to convert UT to your own local time, see Time Zones and Universal Time.

phtsl

楼主有没有统计过，日食对指数有没有影响。

鑫犇淼

原帖由 phtsl 于 2009-1-17 20:30 发表
楼主有没有统计过，日食对指数有没有影响。

希望有人来坐这个工作，说不定有重大发现呢！！！

yefc88

As I posted in early February, the Puetz crash window occurs twice a year.  It is a six week window that envelopes twice annual solar eclipses and focuses on the proximate full moon that is also an eclipse.  Eliades and Carolan have separately evaluated Steve Puetz’ original work that found ALL the greatest crashes have all occurred within that six week window; a vast statistical anomaly.  Importantly, crashes are NOT DESTINED to occur in the window.  Rather, IF a major crash occurs, it does not occur outside the window.  The Puetz window is simply a statistically noteworthy period; don’t overstate its significance, just recognize it.  Both of last year’s major downturns (Jan-March and August-October) were entirely consistent with the two Puetz windows of the year.

February 9 was a key date in the first of two windows this year.  It was the full moon and lunar eclipse that followed the Jan 26 solar eclipse.  We are in the sweet spot of the window that can extend yet another 3 weeks or so.  Since Feb 9, you may note the early stages of what MIGHT become a panic.  Certainly the public anxt is consistent with a panic.     

Now consider, October 5, 1987 was the 1987 ‘comparable’ to February 9, 2009.   Both were the full moon and lunar eclipse proximate to a solar eclipse and both were a Monday (e.g. in the Puetz window).  Two weeks after October 5, 1987, the Dow dropped 22% and on October 30, 1987, it recovered 10%.  A huge ‘V’ bottom.  Monday would be comparable to October 29, 1987.  In contrast, 1987 was in the fall Puetz window, the second of two windows in 1987 and we are currently in the first of the windows.



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[ 本帖最后由 yefc88 于 2009-3-17 00:40 编辑 ]

烟花久久

原帖由 鑫犇淼 于 2009-1-17 13:55 发表


希望有人来坐这个工作，说不定有重大发现呢！！！

I like

yefc88

yefc88

看看有没有第二支靴子？？？ I like

yefc88

Solar and Lunar Eclipses of 2008, 2009 & 2010
2008	2009	2010
Annular Solar Eclipse: 2008 Feb 07	Annular Solar Eclipse: 2009 Jan 26	Annular Solar Eclipse: 2010 Jan 15
Total Lunar Eclipse: 2008 Feb 21	Penumbral Lunar Eclipse: 2009 Feb 09	Partial Lunar Eclipse: 2010 Jun 26
Total Solar Eclipse: 2008 Aug 01	Penumbral Lunar Eclipse: 2009 Jul 07	Total Solar Eclipse: 2010 Jul 11
Partial Lunar Eclipse: 2008 Aug 16	Total Solar Eclipse: 2009 Jul 22	Total Lunar Eclipse: 2010 Dec 21
	Penumbral Lunar Eclipse: 2009 Aug 06
	Partial Lunar Eclipse: 2009 Dec 31

[ 本帖最后由 yefc88 于 2010-1-24 18:48 编辑 ]

yefc88

Steve Puetz found that most of the major market crashes have happened around the PUETZ window, which is 6 days ahead/behind the full moon within 6 weeks of a solar eclipse. This effect is magnified when the full moon is also a lunar eclipse.

Chris Carolan found striking similarities between the 29, 87, and other crashes in terms of lunar calenders and the distance between the initial high, low, final failed rally, and crash.

Looks to me like we could be in a bit of an 87 pattern here with a similar drop to this point, temp bottom, bounce/retrace, final failed rally, then crash. I'm just putting two and two together here from the work of the above as well as my own.

The 87 crash also had a solar eclipse going into the final failed rally - so do we at this point (8/1) and there's a combined full moon and lunar eclipse 8/16. The crashes of 87 & 29 also had solar eclipse and then a full moon/lunar eclipse at the crash or close thereby.

So, not only do we have a 3:3:3 coming in Elliott Wave terms, but we're also poised to break under a very important 1200 (actually 1170), and we now have a similar setup to 1987 in terms of recent price movement and the solar/full moon/lunar eclipse events pending.

Man is this interesting. The one primary thing to realize here is that all this is happening ahead of the normal October crash month, and with the last leg of this decline initiating in May, it appears its going to be early this year, which will keep everyone (except WSBers) off guard. You'll notice that 8/01 is the last solar eclipse of 2008 and thus, August 10 - 22 is the final PUETZ window of the year.

If the market continues to match the 1987 pattern from this point forward, you may see one more day bounce (or not), then about a 3 - 5 day drop to retest the lows, and then climb into the new month 8/1 or 8/2 and potentially beyond. In 1987, market rallied for 8 days beyond the solar eclipse. That would be 8/8 in our terms and probably a target between 1296 and 1310, if the pattern of being a week behind & 2 months ahead of the 1987 pattern holds.

I would probably plan to be mostly back in by 8/1 (about 85%- I'm 55% in now) and let some calls ride up to potentially 8/8 if she doesn't drop before hand.

Check out the chart of the 1987 SnP with the eclipses and full moon/lunar eclipse plotted with the new month 10/1 also shown. You can relate it to our progress with the solar eclipse due 8/1 and lunar eclipse due 8/16.

Sure looks a little too similar to be a coincidence at this point in time/price in the SnP.

BearSmith
[ Post Last Edited By BearSmith on Mon, Jul 21, 2008 - 02:39 AM ]


[ 本帖最后由 yefc88 于 2010-1-24 18:56 编辑 ]

yefc88

今年全球将现6次日月食 数量为本世纪以来之最
http://www.sina.com.cn  2011年01月02日23:01  中国新闻网

　　中新网广州1月2日电 (郭军 李建基)据广州五羊天象馆预告：2011年全球共将发生6次日、月食，数量之多为本世纪以来之冠。全年日月食数量超过今年的：上一次发生在1982年，共有4次日食和3次月食；下一次将出现在2094年，也是4次日食和3次月食。

　　广州五羊天象馆专家统计：一年当中日食最多可出现5次，最少可发生2次；月食最多有3次，最少为0次。一年当中，日、月食最多可发生7次：其中一种为5次日食和2次月食，如1805年和1935年；另一种为4次日食和3次月食，如1982年和2094年。

　　今年共将发生4次日偏食和两次月全食。4次日偏食出现的时间分别是：1月4日、6月2日、7月1日和11月25日。两次月全食出现的时间分别是：6月16日和12月10日。今年我国可看到两次日偏食和两次月全食。

　　今年1月4日下午日偏食，中国西北部分地区可看到。在新疆的喀什市、博乐市、阿克苏市、阿图什市和库尔勒市等地区，可观赏到日偏食的全过程。其中喀什市日偏食的时间：初亏16时59分：食甚18时00分，最大食分为0.28；复圆18时56分。

　　今年6月2日清晨日偏食，中国东北部分地区可看到。在黑龙江省的抚远、漠河、鹤岗市、双鸭山市和黑河市等地区，可观赏到日偏食的全过程。其中黑河市日偏食时间：初亏为3时28分；食甚为4时07分，最大食分为0.28；复圆为4时47分。

　　今年7月1日和11月25日的日偏食，中国不能看到。

　　今年6月16日凌晨月全食，中国可观赏到。月全食的时间是：初亏2时23分；食既3时22分；食甚4时13分，最大食分1.705；生光5时03分；复圆6时03分。

　　今年12月10日晚上月全食，中国可观赏到。月全食的时间是：初亏为20时45分；食既为22时06分；食甚为22时32分，最大食分1.110；生光为22时58分；复圆为翌日凌晨0时18分。