标题: 英文好的看过来。（此文不给你必然赢利，但给你信心） [打印本页] 作者: 拿菜刀进股市 时间: 2010-3-21 20:13 标题: 英文好的看过来。（此文不给你必然赢利，但给你信心） Everything is coming up with green bounty on this St. Patrick’s Day, at least for the banks. 0 Z* N: O9 ?1 E2 K/ F* q5 p ; u; C3 A2 N! M T$ C7 p, @Financial pundits tell us that the market has now managed to climb up and over the wall of worry, better known as the ‘resistance’ level. They tell us, statistically, it is now close to impossible for us to have any sort of a ‘crash’ after 13 months of an up cycle. The the ‘resistance level’ can be likened to the line of scrimmage in sports. It is created by taking a daily average of whichever index you are studying, for any given period of time. Whenever the market gets closer to this line of demarcation, it is not unusual to see the bears come out in force, and the market then tends to pull back. This can happen several times, until finally after a matter of weeks or months, like a football player climbing over bodies, the market rushes in for the touch down. In bear markets, the resistance level can remain in place for months, years or, as in the case of post crash of 1929, even decades. About a week or so ago, we managed to cross the resistance level on the Standard and Poors 500 (SPX). Now that the resistance level has finally been crossed, investors can breathe a sigh of relief. According to the math, the odds for another crash of the magnitude of 2008, are now quite minimal. While this recovery is still very tenuous, the pundits tell us that the odds of having a crash from this point (i.e., one year after the last down day of the 2008-9 bear market) are pretty much nil. T* d. x% j( ^, K8 k8 S0 F1 r' p# y
; I, D" [$ K/ o; n/ j. Q" pAs Cramer would say, ‘Boo Rah!% z4 k) z% A( q+ y" ^. s ^, J4 k' P
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Is it time to ‘go all in?’ Before you get out your savings and cast your fortune to the fates, I would still be very careful This recovery is a little different than others. 0 E' e# k. O/ ~4 \6 A4 g & k3 L( g# n# E/ v) F* M1 V " G& Y2 y) b4 }. }0 z% [ " S' ]# L! w+ i1 ]! k1 }! ~! MIn a rather eerie and solemn warning, money continues to pour out of the US even with the recovery triumphet call getting shriller and shriller by day. , N: D% `9 D8 J8 L6 m9 h/ z" o1 C/ L' T/ P' ~
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In 2010, investors around the globe have pulled $15.3 billion out of U.S. stock funds, according to data from EPFR Global, which tracks money flows. Meanwhile, roughly $2 billion has gone into emerging-market stocks — after inflows of $65 billion last year — and $20 billion into U.S. bond funds.; h4 D" Y5 K2 d: n' G7 W$ c
, V0 |- {, P: V2 e" R, IEspecially notable is the aversion that individual, presumably longer-term, U.S. investors have had to their own stock market. 3 } c6 w A! X! @! g ' P2 X4 e" y1 `* i! ^9 I1 \/ tThis year, $4.6 billion has been pulled out of U.S. stock mutual funds, according to the Investment Company Institute, whose data doesn’t include exchange-traded funds. At the same time, world equity funds have taken in nearly $14 billion and bond funds more than $56 billion. This comes after investors pulled more than $53 billion out of U.S. stock funds in 2009. . ; x, d2 t( D5 ?# U E) W3 e) Y% m1 ^: |: t' A* }" \
This is a far different pattern than in the wake of other recent bear markets, where investors had viewed market declines as a chance to buy cheap stocks that would inevitably rise.” -The Investing Contrarian… MORE% V: ?7 P4 r, h
, V. n% ~/ d! r8 c4 i ( V- i! i. g$ K( |" k& c * e+ \) {4 Z3 QHowever, everything is not just coming up roses. As we have seen the American investor is not investing in the stocks of good old USof A. In addition, there is a growing concern about the rise of ‘naked’ trading. Naked” access, a controversial trading practice whereby the big traders, like Goldman Sachs, are executing their trades with high-speed ’super computers.’ It is estimated that more than 40% of U.S. stock trading volume comes ‘naked’ access. Now that term may sound very sexy, but it should be a wake up call to the small investor. This is like playing black jack in Las Vegas, you are betting against the house. Ever seen the great chess masters try to beat the computer? How fair and robust can markets be when such an enormous chunk of it is being performed by robot computers programmed to move in milliseconds, while the little guy is left to wait? We might say there are now two sets of rules, one for the big boys and another for everybody else. From all this, it would appear that the recovery is in full swing., for the banks, that is. 9 e# O5 P, [9 l- C. q' v3 h1 q7 w; Z% n Y" w; f: | T/ ` r
Another thing we should not forget is that we are still enjoying the affects of last year’s positive annual charts. Depending on which annual chart you prefer, we either have 9 days left in that cycle, or 4. Let’s start with the closest, which begins next Monday Pacific Time. 1 p* s9 M9 z2 e/ @ N( b4 Y 5 M' F% T( J8 K( g' x' CMost western astrologers, set the beginning of their year at the Vernal Equinox, which takes place the millisecond that the Sun hits tropical Aries. Also known as the Spring Ingress Chart, it has been looked upon as a major indicator of the upcoming year by astrologers from ancient times. It can tell us everything from how the weather may be in any given season to the financial ups and downs. As great an indicator as the Ingress charts are, Ptolemy also mentions another predictive chart to determine the fates of the coming year. 8 _3 T7 m' h' |7 r, E! y2 U. _ : \) Y0 U4 O; y( e9 t/ `” I refer to events that happen yearly in connection with the seasons. In the investigation of this subject it would be appropriate first to define the so called new Moon of the year.” 1 k Q' Z/ ~) @ N8 K: j
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This is a chart which is drawn up for the moment that Moon is one with the Sun. Interestingly enough, while too many westerners have forgotten Ptolemy’s recommendation, astrologers in India, following 5th century astrologer, Varahamihira, still use this chart to determine what is in store for the year ahead.) [; Q3 C$ Q: Y( b
) E" B% E* m4 {' d1 }Since history is a great teacher, let’s take a quick look at last year’s New Moon of the year, to how that chart came to past. }3 P/ K/ S+ Z; U 7 b: S" y$ e& mThe recovery of the banks was clearly indicated by the presence of the very positive Jupiter in the 8th house of banks. In addition, the very magnetic and very materially positive North Node joins Jupiter in the house of banks. These are two strong indicators of the regeneration of banking. Notice also that President Obama, as depicted by ruler of the 10th, is ‘in the pocket’ of the bankers as indicated by his emplacement in therein. And as we saw, Obama pretty much allowed the banks to do as they please.* ]7 a( H0 ~* \9 S/ ]& r7 b {
4 G# T) N( z. l$ ~! _. E$ x2 MWhile banks flourished, the buying power of the average citizen diminished. When Tim Geitner says, ‘we saved the economy, but we kind of lost the public’ he’s not kidding. So far, the little guy Obama pledged to save, is barely treading water. Notice, the draining South Node in the house of the citizen’s money, the 2nd. Real estate prices remain flat to decreasing, as evidenced by Saturn in the 4th house. Notice the Moon ruler of the people in any mundane or financial chart, is obscured in the Sun’s rays, and prohibited from contact with money. It was good for the market because co ruler of the speculative 5th, is trine the Parsfortuna, which resulted in a 70% recovery.作者: 646972381 时间: 2010-3-21 20:56
权威告诉我们从这点 （即后下一天 2008年-9 熊市的最后, 的一年） 崩溃的可能性是几乎等于零。作者: axcqy 时间: 2010-3-21 21:44
一切都即将在此与圣帕特里克节绿色奖金，至少在银行。 . b) O2 n8 W- W$ U- c
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金融专家告诉我们，市场已经设法爬上以上的担忧之墙，更好地为'抵抗'水平众所周知的。他们告诉我们，统计，现在接近我们不可能有13个月之后的任何一'崩溃'排序增长周期。是的'阻力'可以比喻为在运动混战线。它是由采取了无论你是研究指数为任何给定的时间内，日均成交量。每当市场越来越近这一分界线，这种情况并不少见看到熊大举出动，市场便趋于回落。这可能发生几次，直到最后经过数周或数月内，像一个足球运动员在机构攀高，为市场奔向触动了。在熊市，阻力水平可以维持数月，年或地方，在1929年后崩溃的情况下，甚至几十年。约1个多星期前，我们设法穿过的标准与普尔500指数（$ SPX）的阻力位。现在，阻力位终于被突破，投资者可以喘一口气。根据数学，另一次在2008年坠毁的可能性大小，现在非常小。虽然这一复苏依然十分脆弱，专家们告诉我们，从这一点后（即1年后的最后2008-9熊市下跌天崩溃几率）是几乎为零。 $ c9 D3 }9 X' T, t' p" o' Q
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由于克拉默会说，'釜拉赫！ 2 Q8 u9 C* s# E. J6 R7 ?8 s& E 5 I/ ]9 J. g$ ] O, X6 x3 G7 x* w是不是已经到了'全力以赴吗？在你'走出你的储蓄，投下你的财产的命运，我仍然必须非常小心，这是一个有点复苏比其他的不同。 9 Q7 k# X5 K2 X# ~: i + U8 l6 S3 S/ I. h! u! p$ H ' x5 F6 w- y8 G \6 f, m+ k9 Y3 [$ [0 A/ w2 _% p! }
在一个相当怪异的严正警告，资金继续涌入美国指出，即使经济复苏triumphet电话越来越尖利和尖利的一天。 0 W1 O' _7 g, n* @! K 4 ]( i6 r: ~ J4 K( E/ N2 _9 o* H6 H9 ?0 b* i- ?) G7 W
到2010年，世界各地的投资者退出美国股票基金153亿美元，净流出据来自全球，追踪资金流动情况的数据。与此同时，20亿美元左右已经成为新兴的后650亿美元，去年流入 - 和美国债券基金为200亿美元市场的股票 - 。 2 w4 Y+ B* } M" g% S5 y5 i + U9 h Z7 a7 L; B3 s9 c0 r# a尤其值得注意的是，个人的厌恶，可能是长期的，美国投资者有自己的股票市场。 ) Q+ B% n& ~) p4 ?! k
