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标题: 江恩如是说（5）——如何交易 [打印本页]
作者: 甘恩    时间: 2009-5-11 17:26
标题: 江恩如是说（5）——如何交易
说明：2 }1 v! y9 t" ?8 b' [
1.首发。转载请注明出处——阳光飞狐/江恩理论；当然还有译者。谢谢！
. R1 r' `& o/ [5 k4 l% P2.译文乃初稿，未校稿，仅供参考！
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  B; T+ k: a6 S6 a9 H% o) GHOW TO TRADE4 f: G9 h* P3 D
After you have thoroughly mastered all of the lessons, be sure you are right before you make
: |* b9 X! N8 O" I, f( i; w4 g7 v$ v2 y# ua trade.  Never guess.  Trade on mathematical indications only.
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- k; F2 N5 ~6 XWHAT YOU MUST KNOW BEFORE YOU START TRADING" t# J$ f. [- t" w: y
You must know exactly how to apply all the rules.  You must know where to place a stop loss
. a/ T. M5 R2 K: u6 Torder  and must  look up what  cycle  the year  is  in,  that  is, whether  it  is  a bull or bear year, 5 S/ ~' r3 v! b! H. S; R
whether the main trend should be up or down.' \4 s; ?* f* ^2 L0 U
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Before  you make  a  trade,  either  buying  or  selling,  consider  the  position  of  each  individual " Z5 i8 D; M0 n+ O
stock on the monthly chart; next consider the weekly chart and then the daily chart.  If they all # g# j; s/ M. o; X; J+ l
confirm an uptrend, it is a cinch to buy, provided you have located the point at which to place
0 p3 K1 i. D% q' p3 d9 Wa stop loss order.  On the other hand, if the cycle shows that it is a bear year and the monthly,
0 b( P" g4 F* T8 v0 u# P8 Uweekly and daily chart show down trend, then it is the time to go short, but again, you must
: a8 ]* y  \1 C3 xlook  for  the most  important point  ... where  to place  the stop  loss order so  that  it will not be
; r' |/ J6 I0 g& I, pmore than 3 points away and closer if possible.1 a& ~: T7 l# l- [6 L2 s% ?
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WHAT TO LOOK UP BEFORE YOU MAKE TRADE
% A! K& M7 k+ g2 _Following  are  the most  important points  that  you must  consider  before  buying  or  selling  a 0 J6 P: ~) D4 Y  _* ~; @7 K
stock:4 }( \* k3 l3 q: |
1. TIME  CYCLE  ... whether  Bull  or  Bear  year,  and whether main  trend  of  the  general , W% E( r" I( j) H
market is up or down.6 r* W, x0 m& i) y4 z. w/ W
2. CYCLE OF INDIVIDUAL STOCK … whether up or down year.! H- D# f0 t3 {3 ?, r. R
3. MONTHLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.8 \+ n6 o* i: z! ^" {
4. WEEKLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.
# i( l6 Z- Z) K5. RESISTANCE LEVELS  ...  see whether  the  stock  is  near  any  half-way  point  or  other   q. ~0 S. Q2 x/ o8 ?& B- [2 \/ |
points of support or resistance.
# M1 T* F' |8 l# r0 {1 ]/ u# M6. Study all FORMATIONS.  If a stock has held for several days, weeks or months around ( s! b4 a* t: ?# `+ T
the same level, determine whether it is about ready to cross tops or break bottoms.3 v" D. I5 F% _7 K4 C
7. Look up VOLUME OF SALES.  See whether a stock has increased or decreased Volume
9 e& m7 Q! E8 I! c5 H" W9 M+ T0 g& Uover past few days or weeks.% n3 R: B& @, T! F$ F
8. Look up SPACE or price movements  from previous  tops and bottoms and  find out  the ; f% q: ^6 N# i
greatest  advance  or  decline  for  past  few  weeks  or months.    Example:  If  a  stock  has 9 ~% c$ A- N- n" G8 K
reacted 5 points  several  times  and at  the  time you  look  it up,  if you  find  it  is 3 points
, h' J4 i2 X' v$ Q5 N6 b7 d) |down from  the last  top and  the  trend  is up on monthly, weekly and daily with  the price
4 v0 ^& l6 f& m& d7 ?near a support point, you could buy with a stop loss order 2 to 3 points away.  If the stock - r* Z- m( P) P, X
should break back over 5 points, the previous reaction  limit,  it would show a change  in 5 o0 G  `8 p# q4 e
trend and you should go short of it." r5 b9 u# }8 X% \) j# G* |* I
9. Never overlook the fact that you must have a definite indication before making a trade.
4 n( k8 r4 V5 S- r* L3 ~+ z10. Most  important of  all  ... always  locate  the point  at which  to place  a  stop  loss order  to : A; Z8 f. q' A6 t9 S! \" ~
limit risk.
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; W0 M6 q$ S' ^3 m9 `PRACTICE TRADING ON PAPER1 `( b/ E( f8 u" k- R+ p
After you feel sure  that you have mastered all  the rules and know exactly how  to determine : y  w6 P0 K6 G% v: P+ w7 J2 O
the  trend  of  a  stock  and  the  place  to  begin  trading,  then  to make  yourself  doubly  sure  and % w+ a+ A3 @1 s. J6 N5 {
establish confidence, practice trading on paper and till you thoroughly understand how to use
0 J3 o$ [7 T. X. i% M0 S8 _+ Hthe rules and when to use them.  If you make mistakes trading on paper, then you would make
* R$ T5 d4 y7 U9 L0 m3 [* y/ Lmistakes at the time in actual trading and you are not ready to begin trading.  When you feel
/ g, p6 n$ R* T1 ?* kthat  you  are  competent  to  start  trading,  apply  all  of  the  rules  and  TRADE  ONLY  ON
% ^7 F. M1 d2 |( z, W) MDEFINITE  INDICATIONS.   If you are not sure of  the  trend or  the buying and selling price   T, l6 s+ [8 v
and not  sure where  to place  a  stop  loss order,  then wait until you get  a definite  indication.  4 G6 l( h7 X$ \# [
You can always make money by waiting for opportunities.   There is no use getting in partly
8 l/ [) r4 @! x4 x2 ion guesswork and losing." ~0 M" o& z1 U# t& g

4 A  J- k8 U8 ^! N- ^WHEN TO CLOSE A TRADE
5 w! T- i% y1 ?0 MAfter you start actual trading, when you make a trade, don't close it or take profits until you * T3 `) E* R1 Y% F( _
have a definite indication, according to the rules that it is time to sell out or buy in or to move % t6 n4 ^, F3 V  z0 N! J6 Y; ^5 x
up  the  stop  loss order and wait until  it  is caught.   The way  to make  a  success  is  to always $ G$ y) X8 |# X! x  g
follow the trend and not get out or close a trade until the trend changes.3 i- |7 y+ H# K7 y& K. [

1 _( }7 h' i' X5 V6 N+ J, _0 E2 MWHEN TO WAIT AND NOT TRADE( ]0 o) P% R6 s1 c. L
It is just as important to know when not to enter the market as it is to know when to enter it.  ' r3 J8 B2 w8 q. _! w# t/ b
The  time not  to make a  trade  is when you find a stock has been holding  in a narrow trading 4 X$ m0 h2 P/ _* o( Q# T5 W, x
range  for  some  time,  say,  a  5-point  or  a  3-point  range,  but  has  not  broken  under  bottoms  
! M# j& [7 K" ]; \, Tpreviously made or crossed tops previously made.  A stock may stay for weeks or months or
6 z0 p5 K' y  heven years  in a  trading  range and will not  indicate any big move or change  in  trend until  it
6 ~% D  I9 K$ n) q+ ]& Scrosses  as  a  previous  top  or  breaks  a  previous  bottom.    After  a  prolonged  decline  stocks 9 k$ K( c4 ?5 Z1 A9 i7 t
nearly always narrow down and hold in a trading range for some time.  If a stock is inactive in 3 {; G. M/ S4 x$ c
this position, it is no time to start trading in it.
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FOLLOW ALL RULES
$ x  ]8 Y! |- ZRemember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for
$ x8 n% W) h& aforecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms ! Z9 B% `2 a! I/ Y0 W/ v$ E
and tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in 8 a% F( s! E, g+ n5 B) J
wrong.  The whole can never exceed all its parts and all the parts make up the whole.  If you
+ t( t9 |) @% _8 U( K, ]leave out one of the rules, you will not have a complete forecasting method or trend indicator.
' g/ \$ ]5 G5 ?( ~5 B% lYour success with the method depends upon you doing your part, studying and learning how - q7 y# k, w8 D' P! h4 @
to apply  the rules and not mixing any  inside or outside  information or reasoning against  the # y+ U$ Y, V- q, u& Z& ]1 i6 y2 _2 m" ^
mathematical indications.  No man ever made a success at anything who did not work hard.  I , ?& k5 I. k" n
have done my part, and it is now up to you to do yours.
作者: 甘恩    时间: 2009-5-11 17:28
。。。。。。。。。。。。。
作者: WHSH    时间: 2009-5-11 17:30
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
作者: 甘恩    时间: 2009-5-11 17:32
原帖由 WHSH 于 2009-5-11 17:30 发表 ) V, `4 F9 }9 z# E+ N! I
先生

2 J9 _8 A) j/ ]9 m
作者: wushilu    时间: 2009-5-11 17:33
谢谢先生
作者: WHSH    时间: 2009-5-11 17:39
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
作者: Panther    时间: 2009-5-11 18:01
名言就像好茶，可以经常拿出来品。
作者: 天际雪飘    时间: 2009-5-11 18:23
作者: 波浪为王    时间: 2009-5-11 18:29
名言就像好茶，可以经常拿出来品。
作者: anyway    时间: 2009-5-11 19:43
谢谢
作者: zlmm    时间: 2009-5-11 19:48
辛苦了
作者: xxxyyy    时间: 2009-5-11 20:02
作者: cz777    时间: 2009-5-11 20:45
作者: new79man    时间: 2009-5-11 20:45
谢谢楼主分享。
作者: 时价量形    时间: 2009-5-11 20:46
作者: kang21324    时间: 2009-5-11 20:51
作者: axcqy    时间: 2009-5-11 21:47
谢谢楼主分享
作者: 飘漂尧光    时间: 2009-5-11 22:08
谢谢，楼主分享！
作者: xiong7203    时间: 2009-5-11 22:33
作者: mzyma1355    时间: 2009-5-11 22:45
标题: 回复 2# 甘恩 的帖子
“Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for * T0 X) m( |, F+ w6 ?
forecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms % y; ~6 t8 g) q1 d8 H& O8 M0 q4 J
and tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in 3 m8 C; m# `& i# D$ E9 l6 D/ a; t$ [
wrong. ”1 Z, f+ P* j# E* {5 S) f
  [+ B+ _. c3 q  a

# |7 Z* D: J7 j3 W6 B9 Q8 E+ `  w" r
“记紧，跟随所有规则；检查再检查；研究大小周期以作预测，看紧阻力水平；观察市场的顶部及底部之形态，及顶底之间的形态。若有任何遗漏，将陷你于错误之中。”——来自《江恩理论——浸润走势分析》P2570 D" C: j: J$ U, }7 s* ?
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感谢甘兄立此帖！！！
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作者: newcef    时间: 2009-5-11 23:37
正吖，支持~
作者: caihua58    时间: 2009-5-11 23:47
感谢甘兄！！！
作者: 喧暄    时间: 2009-5-12 01:45
非常感谢甘恩！
作者: 股为金用    时间: 2009-5-12 07:15
谢谢楼主！
作者: shdw    时间: 2009-5-12 07:16
谢谢楼主！
作者: tts073    时间: 2009-5-12 12:47
谢谢
作者: lg222    时间: 2009-5-12 12:53
! n1 m- `) x0 O  I
谢谢!
作者: jqbudd    时间: 2009-5-12 15:32
谢谢无私分享
作者: wyhy    时间: 2009-5-12 21:16
谢谢甘恩兄。
作者: gannfanns    时间: 2009-5-21 16:28
很好的教程，谢谢！！
作者: yidow    时间: 2009-5-31 16:30
标题: 回复 1# 甘恩 的帖子
好东西
作者: cwg135    时间: 2014-11-20 21:21
作者: tonyff8    时间: 2015-3-20 23:28
辛苦了 辛苦了
作者: tonyff8    时间: 2015-3-22 20:49
辛苦了 辛苦了



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