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标题: 江恩如是说（5）——如何交易 [打印本页]
作者: 甘恩    时间: 2009-5-11 17:26
标题: 江恩如是说（5）——如何交易
说明：1 h$ t7 u) H$ _0 F9 J
1.首发。转载请注明出处——阳光飞狐/江恩理论；当然还有译者。谢谢！6 {" S* @' W/ b3 d
2.译文乃初稿，未校稿，仅供参考！  V' y' i7 s& D& z
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8 @, n3 e; s8 f8 G" r# sHOW TO TRADE. _0 h6 Z; A" U& P% @! k
After you have thoroughly mastered all of the lessons, be sure you are right before you make
0 K, O$ F/ Y1 A! ~  p# ta trade.  Never guess.  Trade on mathematical indications only.
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  }3 j7 I. K; \" K$ o+ w6 DWHAT YOU MUST KNOW BEFORE YOU START TRADING
3 a/ x- g) ^' Y- ?/ aYou must know exactly how to apply all the rules.  You must know where to place a stop loss
9 o- V8 X+ u6 \order  and must  look up what  cycle  the year  is  in,  that  is, whether  it  is  a bull or bear year,
/ b# I. l& C4 ^/ e) Gwhether the main trend should be up or down.3 q- o+ S9 ~$ o" X
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Before  you make  a  trade,  either  buying  or  selling,  consider  the  position  of  each  individual
7 O* z% p& N5 Tstock on the monthly chart; next consider the weekly chart and then the daily chart.  If they all
& p4 d  x9 W- l( Y! qconfirm an uptrend, it is a cinch to buy, provided you have located the point at which to place
0 m* x" s( G3 I$ b2 A; ra stop loss order.  On the other hand, if the cycle shows that it is a bear year and the monthly,
5 N: M# ~2 l& ^, n: n0 Uweekly and daily chart show down trend, then it is the time to go short, but again, you must
- i, ~) }' R+ u( B2 S. Tlook  for  the most  important point  ... where  to place  the stop  loss order so  that  it will not be 9 P1 e/ B- J: i
more than 3 points away and closer if possible.
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WHAT TO LOOK UP BEFORE YOU MAKE TRADE, i; w4 ^2 u; ~# P% E
Following  are  the most  important points  that  you must  consider  before  buying  or  selling  a 6 J+ r7 B$ A; U. \
stock:
" a9 b" k, k/ l& g5 K2 l' N1. TIME  CYCLE  ... whether  Bull  or  Bear  year,  and whether main  trend  of  the  general
$ s7 N) h6 u% ?8 ?- H9 C7 Omarket is up or down.
* b1 P$ _9 `- o% I9 V0 [" R2. CYCLE OF INDIVIDUAL STOCK … whether up or down year.
6 S# n* Y3 e" ], W* w3. MONTHLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.0 Q, ]1 t. `1 m* N4 _
4. WEEKLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.8 D  q$ j- t2 H& Z2 D$ s% k
5. RESISTANCE LEVELS  ...  see whether  the  stock  is  near  any  half-way  point  or  other
0 n& \4 @9 g0 [: p' `7 n) ~& Vpoints of support or resistance.
4 g6 v) Z4 V4 D( _! J6. Study all FORMATIONS.  If a stock has held for several days, weeks or months around
* |% i# |2 \: f0 s1 o' l8 C; ?the same level, determine whether it is about ready to cross tops or break bottoms.: n" L3 z$ F+ J7 M" Z! b
7. Look up VOLUME OF SALES.  See whether a stock has increased or decreased Volume
3 S3 s3 i$ Z+ wover past few days or weeks.
* e# c# `. h# R3 K8. Look up SPACE or price movements  from previous  tops and bottoms and  find out  the ; L9 x9 C# a4 h' f' W. y( y- K
greatest  advance  or  decline  for  past  few  weeks  or months.    Example:  If  a  stock  has - s* l: w5 ?5 y7 w
reacted 5 points  several  times  and at  the  time you  look  it up,  if you  find  it  is 3 points
: n0 R3 V: I2 p- H; Kdown from  the last  top and  the  trend  is up on monthly, weekly and daily with  the price
9 T/ l% J: e: Unear a support point, you could buy with a stop loss order 2 to 3 points away.  If the stock
5 Q2 z5 M. a/ {6 n5 p: W0 ashould break back over 5 points, the previous reaction  limit,  it would show a change  in
  `- c8 P" G4 N$ w0 ktrend and you should go short of it.) I  s8 c8 O4 ]8 h' c  a. d
9. Never overlook the fact that you must have a definite indication before making a trade.
( S; W# Z7 c: E10. Most  important of  all  ... always  locate  the point  at which  to place  a  stop  loss order  to 9 ^; l. v) S7 n7 ]" `  U; p
limit risk.
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, ~/ A. a7 J9 Q# {. ePRACTICE TRADING ON PAPER) q1 N0 H# k% K8 o* \
After you feel sure  that you have mastered all  the rules and know exactly how  to determine 6 O5 u) R! D6 i4 f" ]6 O$ V
the  trend  of  a  stock  and  the  place  to  begin  trading,  then  to make  yourself  doubly  sure  and
" T$ ?! D. k1 z1 d* Z+ Y) Xestablish confidence, practice trading on paper and till you thoroughly understand how to use
4 M. e  S. N) l9 h% a& S* k$ ?the rules and when to use them.  If you make mistakes trading on paper, then you would make
) h* d+ g& d. Q( W# u1 [2 \4 {mistakes at the time in actual trading and you are not ready to begin trading.  When you feel / y+ A# u+ b. j/ s" \! a6 e' m2 u
that  you  are  competent  to  start  trading,  apply  all  of  the  rules  and  TRADE  ONLY  ON # `' `! A+ U5 i! w) [" i
DEFINITE  INDICATIONS.   If you are not sure of  the  trend or  the buying and selling price
" }$ D  i. @6 Rand not  sure where  to place  a  stop  loss order,  then wait until you get  a definite  indication.  6 e  w9 k2 g+ U! e. E$ C% ~
You can always make money by waiting for opportunities.   There is no use getting in partly
  j6 w$ }/ J) O4 Y% l( don guesswork and losing.
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# u+ K2 r9 E0 e, [4 f3 {WHEN TO CLOSE A TRADE+ b# [2 _1 ~7 e% z/ p
After you start actual trading, when you make a trade, don't close it or take profits until you
9 O% A( \$ U: k4 j* Q$ ^- b5 Bhave a definite indication, according to the rules that it is time to sell out or buy in or to move 9 [4 e8 m, \; f2 x; b* |! ?# q
up  the  stop  loss order and wait until  it  is caught.   The way  to make  a  success  is  to always
0 E6 L; F4 w' o1 {, j( U) ufollow the trend and not get out or close a trade until the trend changes.% g  _, K: y8 n" F( m# C* m  o
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WHEN TO WAIT AND NOT TRADE
) E/ S) @+ ^5 RIt is just as important to know when not to enter the market as it is to know when to enter it.  8 x" r7 e2 G6 W2 `' K& a  w
The  time not  to make a  trade  is when you find a stock has been holding  in a narrow trading - K+ i" j) v8 ]6 O. r
range  for  some  time,  say,  a  5-point  or  a  3-point  range,  but  has  not  broken  under  bottoms  
" j( [" l4 z- W1 E: y- \" ^previously made or crossed tops previously made.  A stock may stay for weeks or months or
( ]( I9 c& L8 u/ M3 _even years  in a  trading  range and will not  indicate any big move or change  in  trend until  it
. `% |: Q* F! v& K2 u% c! v' `crosses  as  a  previous  top  or  breaks  a  previous  bottom.    After  a  prolonged  decline  stocks 9 ~# A! L. H! f; G  k! Q$ |/ o
nearly always narrow down and hold in a trading range for some time.  If a stock is inactive in   n4 o  z7 H' [1 m# L8 N& `- x
this position, it is no time to start trading in it.
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FOLLOW ALL RULES
& Y+ o# p  C9 X$ ^1 PRemember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for & x2 c9 {4 s; E* f1 K" c1 [
forecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
: f; [# F, K' X6 Z: H# g) l7 F! ?and tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in 7 t7 f7 @2 w- R0 y- M6 q
wrong.  The whole can never exceed all its parts and all the parts make up the whole.  If you
. Q9 R- ^  d' W1 \. [leave out one of the rules, you will not have a complete forecasting method or trend indicator.6 T( l6 L) G* C& W
Your success with the method depends upon you doing your part, studying and learning how 9 G5 X, p+ O9 j
to apply  the rules and not mixing any  inside or outside  information or reasoning against  the
. Y- b8 _  n" _! j' {# h5 e9 r7 y4 Qmathematical indications.  No man ever made a success at anything who did not work hard.  I
5 t- X0 _7 L3 v* H3 {1 l* h/ Whave done my part, and it is now up to you to do yours.
作者: 甘恩    时间: 2009-5-11 17:28
。。。。。。。。。。。。。
作者: WHSH    时间: 2009-5-11 17:30
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
作者: 甘恩    时间: 2009-5-11 17:32
原帖由 WHSH 于 2009-5-11 17:30 发表 7 j4 w# |# l3 \& }# `
先生
$ y5 u* [9 g$ p5 ]: n! h; X. r
作者: wushilu    时间: 2009-5-11 17:33
谢谢先生
作者: WHSH    时间: 2009-5-11 17:39
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
作者: Panther    时间: 2009-5-11 18:01
名言就像好茶，可以经常拿出来品。
作者: 天际雪飘    时间: 2009-5-11 18:23
作者: 波浪为王    时间: 2009-5-11 18:29
名言就像好茶，可以经常拿出来品。
作者: anyway    时间: 2009-5-11 19:43
谢谢
作者: zlmm    时间: 2009-5-11 19:48
辛苦了
作者: xxxyyy    时间: 2009-5-11 20:02
作者: cz777    时间: 2009-5-11 20:45
作者: new79man    时间: 2009-5-11 20:45
谢谢楼主分享。
作者: 时价量形    时间: 2009-5-11 20:46
作者: kang21324    时间: 2009-5-11 20:51
作者: axcqy    时间: 2009-5-11 21:47
谢谢楼主分享
作者: 飘漂尧光    时间: 2009-5-11 22:08
谢谢，楼主分享！
作者: xiong7203    时间: 2009-5-11 22:33
作者: mzyma1355    时间: 2009-5-11 22:45
标题: 回复 2# 甘恩 的帖子
“Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for
! Y' m% g# y# j, g' Lforecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
! u7 a) D6 i) ^# q/ z4 T5 Land tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in
  d6 i0 H- }9 Q7 P. q  m0 j* {8 Iwrong. ”2 X. v* `3 _; ~! t4 u8 G- ^
2 y6 ^& l/ p4 a% a$ h

( w# Y3 C( |6 M# T$ i- @
7 ~1 g3 z$ ]& i0 e9 d“记紧，跟随所有规则；检查再检查；研究大小周期以作预测，看紧阻力水平；观察市场的顶部及底部之形态，及顶底之间的形态。若有任何遗漏，将陷你于错误之中。”——来自《江恩理论——浸润走势分析》P257
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感谢甘兄立此帖！！！/ J  Y8 g- \  Q& {

: W/ H/ \! n4 d; h- o5 U" j2 ]
作者: newcef    时间: 2009-5-11 23:37
正吖，支持~
作者: caihua58    时间: 2009-5-11 23:47
感谢甘兄！！！
作者: 喧暄    时间: 2009-5-12 01:45
非常感谢甘恩！
作者: 股为金用    时间: 2009-5-12 07:15
谢谢楼主！
作者: shdw    时间: 2009-5-12 07:16
谢谢楼主！
作者: tts073    时间: 2009-5-12 12:47
谢谢
作者: lg222    时间: 2009-5-12 12:53
- ~# }6 C5 \  h3 j2 `
谢谢!
作者: jqbudd    时间: 2009-5-12 15:32
谢谢无私分享
作者: wyhy    时间: 2009-5-12 21:16
谢谢甘恩兄。
作者: gannfanns    时间: 2009-5-21 16:28
很好的教程，谢谢！！
作者: yidow    时间: 2009-5-31 16:30
标题: 回复 1# 甘恩 的帖子
好东西
作者: cwg135    时间: 2014-11-20 21:21
作者: tonyff8    时间: 2015-3-20 23:28
辛苦了 辛苦了
作者: tonyff8    时间: 2015-3-22 20:49
辛苦了 辛苦了



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