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标题: 江恩如是说(5)——如何交易 [打印本页]

作者: 甘恩    时间: 2009-5-11 17:26
标题: 江恩如是说(5)——如何交易
说明:4 \" j3 V5 Y' Y* N
1.首发。转载请注明出处——
阳光飞狐/江恩理论;当然还有译者。谢谢!
  d" G1 v* I) H2.译文乃
初稿,未校稿,仅供参考!
  n8 m+ V- M4 }5 @9 v------------------------------------------------------------------------) T# d! Q$ x6 h0 V- t, E# H
HOW TO TRADE6 [% w$ v( g: |: E; K0 X; i
After you have thoroughly mastered all of the lessons, be sure you are right before you make
  T+ Z; i: Q' {( i/ d; s3 ?) ma trade.  Never guess.  Trade on mathematical indications only.
; N5 s+ ?( w/ A* U: P. U) [6 S8 o# z& f6 @% U
WHAT YOU MUST KNOW BEFORE YOU START TRADING
: ?0 p! @$ Q3 [5 dYou must know exactly how to apply all the rules.  You must know where to place a stop loss
2 x8 E, p. @3 ~" F) J# x5 Vorder  and must  look up what  cycle  the year  is  in,  that  is, whether  it  is  a bull or bear year, 5 V4 P$ D: ]. u. F: T* Y
whether the main trend should be up or down.
6 M% v) B. m/ t) L7 y* l9 h( x: w! G2 D% `% \6 v0 c9 K3 `
Before  you make  a  trade,  either  buying  or  selling,  consider  the  position  of  each  individual
: T. B6 g3 h- t! vstock on the monthly chart; next consider the weekly chart and then the daily chart.  If they all ' b8 x) e3 {& i" S! g
confirm an uptrend, it is a cinch to buy, provided you have located the point at which to place
) Y; I+ \) e% r5 X3 @7 y" L/ sa stop loss order.  On the other hand, if the cycle shows that it is a bear year and the monthly,
: ?# u! r; [9 y. Z9 z% Tweekly and daily chart show down trend, then it is the time to go short, but again, you must
. L* q1 @( T0 }# Llook  for  the most  important point  ... where  to place  the stop  loss order so  that  it will not be 1 x& _1 L- o. B+ H
more than 3 points away and closer if possible.' }$ S- X4 z7 R5 w- M4 I. @
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WHAT TO LOOK UP BEFORE YOU MAKE TRADE; j  Q* g; O! J  i+ W
Following  are  the most  important points  that  you must  consider  before  buying  or  selling  a
+ P3 j! e( U. O6 }( P) k0 K7 L5 }stock:
- r: m: e  d9 a; `2 n& h. ?; _+ y1. TIME  CYCLE  ... whether  Bull  or  Bear  year,  and whether main  trend  of  the  general
6 U0 E3 q) P5 V1 h# d3 s9 smarket is up or down.8 q+ }% k1 w$ z+ p; M& w5 G
2. CYCLE OF INDIVIDUAL STOCK … whether up or down year.5 |) s% x; `& m4 r% B
3. MONTHLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.
& ^& |+ C: A0 g6 z) Y$ A5 p6 l4. WEEKLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.' h) f+ A4 i6 l+ r( _
5. RESISTANCE LEVELS  ...  see whether  the  stock  is  near  any  half-way  point  or  other 7 f, i! r, n+ j
points of support or resistance.# R% K6 R( {2 N& H6 W* Y
6. Study all FORMATIONS.  If a stock has held for several days, weeks or months around
3 D" ]6 M1 ^  N: I' v  {the same level, determine whether it is about ready to cross tops or break bottoms.
' _" x& A% M& c) [5 q- V7. Look up VOLUME OF SALES.  See whether a stock has increased or decreased Volume
, T) D- c- s, ^! v$ g9 H" R$ Dover past few days or weeks.
3 r7 ?* {9 W3 Y/ x: d$ Q5 s, e- I8. Look up SPACE or price movements  from previous  tops and bottoms and  find out  the , y0 M( \: I, Z/ }! m& R
greatest  advance  or  decline  for  past  few  weeks  or months.    Example:  If  a  stock  has   t' P8 n! T; B9 ^$ q, Q
reacted 5 points  several  times  and at  the  time you  look  it up,  if you  find  it  is 3 points
! z# F- k9 c7 Rdown from  the last  top and  the  trend  is up on monthly, weekly and daily with  the price
0 ]) r, Y' ]" onear a support point, you could buy with a stop loss order 2 to 3 points away.  If the stock
! _) c2 B. i% }  mshould break back over 5 points, the previous reaction  limit,  it would show a change  in - {1 d( v; t& }9 v% ~: z
trend and you should go short of it.
( Z: }( {1 ?8 W4 ]/ G: o% }/ l) t9. Never overlook the fact that you must have a definite indication before making a trade., E, r) G, O1 M. K3 u# f9 w
10. Most  important of  all  ... always  locate  the point  at which  to place  a  stop  loss order  to : @& D& D0 V$ T! U! Y; t7 ^; y
limit risk.
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PRACTICE TRADING ON PAPER
. F6 L% }* J+ L& Y: Z/ q  Q( nAfter you feel sure  that you have mastered all  the rules and know exactly how  to determine 2 l+ |( c. d6 B2 l4 G2 l# t
the  trend  of  a  stock  and  the  place  to  begin  trading,  then  to make  yourself  doubly  sure  and
' p7 @. V1 S6 yestablish confidence, practice trading on paper and till you thoroughly understand how to use
" o8 C2 ~0 d* `3 c# j3 n* X4 e$ r2 Lthe rules and when to use them.  If you make mistakes trading on paper, then you would make & ^7 |) C/ L/ u. h& y
mistakes at the time in actual trading and you are not ready to begin trading.  When you feel
' O# Z5 y5 h  Wthat  you  are  competent  to  start  trading,  apply  all  of  the  rules  and  TRADE  ONLY  ON
4 {1 P6 d( ~2 [$ f! n& o- yDEFINITE  INDICATIONS.   If you are not sure of  the  trend or  the buying and selling price " \6 l* E; T( P& ?* U
and not  sure where  to place  a  stop  loss order,  then wait until you get  a definite  indication.  6 O& w2 Q+ }0 R) B! z
You can always make money by waiting for opportunities.   There is no use getting in partly
$ G7 c* x2 z3 Yon guesswork and losing.
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WHEN TO CLOSE A TRADE
: W, r! s% J) j) w, JAfter you start actual trading, when you make a trade, don't close it or take profits until you
+ u# V# l1 u8 `6 ~have a definite indication, according to the rules that it is time to sell out or buy in or to move
, x# M5 |% Z4 c; iup  the  stop  loss order and wait until  it  is caught.   The way  to make  a  success  is  to always
3 S0 [9 \: P2 ?3 vfollow the trend and not get out or close a trade until the trend changes.
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: C2 ?  N1 o* P; A1 h9 E/ ^! wWHEN TO WAIT AND NOT TRADE
; i7 U1 x7 I+ R0 o, \! {) IIt is just as important to know when not to enter the market as it is to know when to enter it.  7 P4 v, h- y! K3 V+ ~7 Y7 S
The  time not  to make a  trade  is when you find a stock has been holding  in a narrow trading
$ P  j5 s: d. o9 Q3 q3 wrange  for  some  time,  say,  a  5-point  or  a  3-point  range,  but  has  not  broken  under  bottoms  
  r4 r) n  D7 ?/ Jpreviously made or crossed tops previously made.  A stock may stay for weeks or months or ; }- }" n- q# G; f) g4 b0 f
even years  in a  trading  range and will not  indicate any big move or change  in  trend until  it
) `/ v8 }8 ?+ e; _; s$ m3 N& ~% \, dcrosses  as  a  previous  top  or  breaks  a  previous  bottom.    After  a  prolonged  decline  stocks % U# x5 O  K! C) N8 [; y. _. X: Z
nearly always narrow down and hold in a trading range for some time.  If a stock is inactive in 8 K$ \8 X/ o  w# R+ |! Q/ w+ M
this position, it is no time to start trading in it.5 I4 L. S7 D# p- J7 d2 i* h# G
+ ?% w* q- U5 B( [7 y
FOLLOW ALL RULES
4 Y6 ?- Z; b6 v" sRemember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for $ P; [4 y7 d0 \4 C. B( f
forecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms , `) t2 x* C) k2 l' F
and tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in
% J  q% g2 H- a3 V4 Y9 X! Ewrong.  The whole can never exceed all its parts and all the parts make up the whole.  If you 4 p" ]: M8 G- ^
leave out one of the rules, you will not have a complete forecasting method or trend indicator.! c* H! r0 u: ?
Your success with the method depends upon you doing your part, studying and learning how
+ j& T! _! d& |2 bto apply  the rules and not mixing any  inside or outside  information or reasoning against  the
1 \; O* X. Q1 a& Umathematical indications.  No man ever made a success at anything who did not work hard.  I % B$ \( W  x0 g8 F+ }
have done my part, and it is now up to you to do yours.
作者: 甘恩    时间: 2009-5-11 17:28
。。。。。。。。。。。。。
作者: WHSH    时间: 2009-5-11 17:30
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
作者: 甘恩    时间: 2009-5-11 17:32
原帖由 WHSH 于 2009-5-11 17:30 发表 9 f6 ]* ^7 @* G# W; g+ U1 k
先生
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作者: wushilu    时间: 2009-5-11 17:33
谢谢先生
作者: WHSH    时间: 2009-5-11 17:39
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
作者: Panther    时间: 2009-5-11 18:01
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
作者: 天际雪飘    时间: 2009-5-11 18:23

作者: 波浪为王    时间: 2009-5-11 18:29
名言就像好茶,可以经常拿出来品。
作者: anyway    时间: 2009-5-11 19:43
谢谢
作者: zlmm    时间: 2009-5-11 19:48
辛苦了
作者: xxxyyy    时间: 2009-5-11 20:02

作者: cz777    时间: 2009-5-11 20:45

作者: new79man    时间: 2009-5-11 20:45
谢谢楼主分享。
作者: 时价量形    时间: 2009-5-11 20:46

作者: kang21324    时间: 2009-5-11 20:51

作者: axcqy    时间: 2009-5-11 21:47
谢谢楼主分享
作者: 飘漂尧光    时间: 2009-5-11 22:08
谢谢,楼主分享!
作者: xiong7203    时间: 2009-5-11 22:33

作者: mzyma1355    时间: 2009-5-11 22:45
标题: 回复 2# 甘恩 的帖子
“Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for 3 ~) `* E6 c. M* _6 c# J. [, M
forecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
$ z* ?. X% \) p) ]5 e% ?and tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in
+ }- D; F" y6 Lwrong. ”
: O' S# _6 }, A" G+ @! Y* p$ P/ \5 o9 {; u9 O, W

$ t0 [( `  p' G6 ]; H7 }8 ^
% l# Z: {$ a" R; |# e“记紧,跟随所有规则;检查再检查;研究大小周期以作预测,看紧阻力水平;观察市场的顶部及底部之形态,及顶底之间的形态。若有任何遗漏,将陷你于错误之中。”——来自《江恩理论——浸润走势分析》P257
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* O; H& f1 A! a( a$ P+ W感谢甘兄立此帖!!!% x) k% p3 U5 q
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作者: newcef    时间: 2009-5-11 23:37
正吖,支持~
作者: caihua58    时间: 2009-5-11 23:47
感谢甘兄!!!
作者: 喧暄    时间: 2009-5-12 01:45
非常感谢甘恩!
作者: 股为金用    时间: 2009-5-12 07:15
谢谢楼主!
作者: shdw    时间: 2009-5-12 07:16
谢谢楼主!
作者: tts073    时间: 2009-5-12 12:47
谢谢
作者: lg222    时间: 2009-5-12 12:53

) y# |8 o) X+ d; \9 U谢谢!
作者: jqbudd    时间: 2009-5-12 15:32
谢谢无私分享
作者: wyhy    时间: 2009-5-12 21:16
谢谢甘恩兄。
作者: gannfanns    时间: 2009-5-21 16:28
很好的教程,谢谢!!
作者: yidow    时间: 2009-5-31 16:30
标题: 回复 1# 甘恩 的帖子
好东西
作者: cwg135    时间: 2014-11-20 21:21

作者: tonyff8    时间: 2015-3-20 23:28
辛苦了 辛苦了
作者: tonyff8    时间: 2015-3-22 20:49
辛苦了 辛苦了




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