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标题: 江恩如是说（5）——如何交易 [打印本页]
作者: 甘恩    时间: 2009-5-11 17:26
标题: 江恩如是说（5）——如何交易
说明：8 @+ g, s7 F, L2 A4 c/ z
1.首发。转载请注明出处——阳光飞狐/江恩理论；当然还有译者。谢谢！
2 W8 c. m) F, N4 q* H$ y& I" w2.译文乃初稿，未校稿，仅供参考！
* F0 [. f! I0 g------------------------------------------------------------------------8 T/ F) F9 N' H! u8 C7 P; f* Y
HOW TO TRADE. _1 d6 |( O0 k+ [  n9 P
After you have thoroughly mastered all of the lessons, be sure you are right before you make 6 e1 f" b3 g: G& d4 w: u; c
a trade.  Never guess.  Trade on mathematical indications only., I3 h6 G8 z/ k) F: ?* G

: O* a* P5 y9 k3 I7 UWHAT YOU MUST KNOW BEFORE YOU START TRADING
* G" j5 p0 G# R; C$ _You must know exactly how to apply all the rules.  You must know where to place a stop loss
9 D/ S% @4 Q5 o) N7 aorder  and must  look up what  cycle  the year  is  in,  that  is, whether  it  is  a bull or bear year, 7 x9 Q8 J5 [, ^7 i
whether the main trend should be up or down.. d2 e9 D; D* l0 g

$ v" o2 u* N7 A4 E( }: d6 D! _Before  you make  a  trade,  either  buying  or  selling,  consider  the  position  of  each  individual ! W# R7 Y( {) [! q( ?# U
stock on the monthly chart; next consider the weekly chart and then the daily chart.  If they all ' e& s& Q( }1 z' d
confirm an uptrend, it is a cinch to buy, provided you have located the point at which to place $ F+ @, h7 z8 S( d* N
a stop loss order.  On the other hand, if the cycle shows that it is a bear year and the monthly, $ c' t. i% {, J. Z) s) k, Z4 ]
weekly and daily chart show down trend, then it is the time to go short, but again, you must 2 s6 _' }/ y3 c' `$ n
look  for  the most  important point  ... where  to place  the stop  loss order so  that  it will not be 7 {! v4 y5 k% H. Q
more than 3 points away and closer if possible." O2 T( ^5 `0 r: V

0 z$ d# I* v4 z4 g0 `" |% zWHAT TO LOOK UP BEFORE YOU MAKE TRADE3 }: x8 y6 m$ r0 C
Following  are  the most  important points  that  you must  consider  before  buying  or  selling  a
0 {& B, f$ S+ H  _stock:7 b4 j7 t0 r0 C" o
1. TIME  CYCLE  ... whether  Bull  or  Bear  year,  and whether main  trend  of  the  general
9 o/ m5 w/ k6 g. qmarket is up or down.
6 T; D, r& j$ t- `2. CYCLE OF INDIVIDUAL STOCK … whether up or down year.
% A& \7 _  @5 Q( S% b3. MONTHLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.
0 N2 J) z, L+ {3 M/ u4. WEEKLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.
7 Q0 r- j) H$ Q3 `, \5. RESISTANCE LEVELS  ...  see whether  the  stock  is  near  any  half-way  point  or  other ; z% B' T6 [6 B1 r: {; S
points of support or resistance.
8 [# r1 t. ~  q3 H. M; H5 Z+ n6. Study all FORMATIONS.  If a stock has held for several days, weeks or months around
/ b+ i" Q# Z' Y$ v  Bthe same level, determine whether it is about ready to cross tops or break bottoms.6 r7 V$ n. x5 [- U8 N
7. Look up VOLUME OF SALES.  See whether a stock has increased or decreased Volume
3 H7 U" u1 b6 |) A* V1 F' D0 Dover past few days or weeks.& I( m; [' {  n7 I, H8 T: e
8. Look up SPACE or price movements  from previous  tops and bottoms and  find out  the
9 H0 s9 o& i: p) I0 z9 fgreatest  advance  or  decline  for  past  few  weeks  or months.    Example:  If  a  stock  has " y  K1 T3 d/ e! S: q' v2 y
reacted 5 points  several  times  and at  the  time you  look  it up,  if you  find  it  is 3 points 1 |' {- L6 ~2 b% F
down from  the last  top and  the  trend  is up on monthly, weekly and daily with  the price
  G" R/ w8 J0 n" Q" ^% p. bnear a support point, you could buy with a stop loss order 2 to 3 points away.  If the stock
' R+ P' Q/ ?6 X! _2 cshould break back over 5 points, the previous reaction  limit,  it would show a change  in 4 h! {/ C, s. G5 G
trend and you should go short of it., ^/ w6 H; L  ^! S/ s- W
9. Never overlook the fact that you must have a definite indication before making a trade.8 X, ?; u. _% C  a/ |) D! `
10. Most  important of  all  ... always  locate  the point  at which  to place  a  stop  loss order  to
; v- ^6 G+ h0 B( L# k! X  Climit risk.& g! ^2 J; J% G

# _- M' t/ J5 UPRACTICE TRADING ON PAPER
0 N+ r" h6 q# p7 @After you feel sure  that you have mastered all  the rules and know exactly how  to determine " w3 Q& `0 Q, q0 j
the  trend  of  a  stock  and  the  place  to  begin  trading,  then  to make  yourself  doubly  sure  and
9 |1 P0 s9 r* j* a4 U! aestablish confidence, practice trading on paper and till you thoroughly understand how to use
$ Y# F8 i$ \% A# V! k8 [# H( v/ Nthe rules and when to use them.  If you make mistakes trading on paper, then you would make 7 a- [, M) Q& M8 O
mistakes at the time in actual trading and you are not ready to begin trading.  When you feel
1 ~8 R1 z9 r/ h% f# U6 A8 d9 [that  you  are  competent  to  start  trading,  apply  all  of  the  rules  and  TRADE  ONLY  ON
  r  w' w$ g% K. z9 MDEFINITE  INDICATIONS.   If you are not sure of  the  trend or  the buying and selling price
3 M# K7 _+ v8 }0 Sand not  sure where  to place  a  stop  loss order,  then wait until you get  a definite  indication.  
+ x* c3 r( Z1 ?9 `, a! R2 ~You can always make money by waiting for opportunities.   There is no use getting in partly
2 x& L2 h6 s# G, J# ]0 k- {on guesswork and losing., S) f( z* E7 g, n0 B
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WHEN TO CLOSE A TRADE
  L% D7 u7 u$ iAfter you start actual trading, when you make a trade, don't close it or take profits until you
7 S4 f# U1 P# j6 N  Rhave a definite indication, according to the rules that it is time to sell out or buy in or to move
6 l9 \- T! {. `& N9 fup  the  stop  loss order and wait until  it  is caught.   The way  to make  a  success  is  to always
0 D5 r6 W9 L# v4 }follow the trend and not get out or close a trade until the trend changes.- r* J+ Z+ J* b5 g. }# l
! m; _6 g& E" D  N  u& p& {
WHEN TO WAIT AND NOT TRADE
& r# `8 _  v: N+ V5 |2 H; q5 j- Z( aIt is just as important to know when not to enter the market as it is to know when to enter it.  2 v- }9 r8 ]; u3 a/ |
The  time not  to make a  trade  is when you find a stock has been holding  in a narrow trading
7 `4 v+ u$ X, I8 p0 ~range  for  some  time,  say,  a  5-point  or  a  3-point  range,  but  has  not  broken  under  bottoms  " u" O1 Q. r: K- h/ w9 n' q0 T
previously made or crossed tops previously made.  A stock may stay for weeks or months or
# O) ]7 z0 p' ~8 s& ^/ Veven years  in a  trading  range and will not  indicate any big move or change  in  trend until  it
' L* C& p- i: t. }/ N' a, p; Scrosses  as  a  previous  top  or  breaks  a  previous  bottom.    After  a  prolonged  decline  stocks / a$ k# C* b/ {
nearly always narrow down and hold in a trading range for some time.  If a stock is inactive in ! [* g2 b& ^5 F5 M, U
this position, it is no time to start trading in it./ r0 D0 {: ]( L* K6 h% b- o

$ S- Z5 i7 {3 @8 OFOLLOW ALL RULES
2 K- F/ w% k- ]0 eRemember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for 0 h' R$ {8 f0 I0 o( J" G* I
forecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms - X6 a/ o% |0 d! d1 T
and tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in
" B6 }$ c& C7 E3 i# E$ Ywrong.  The whole can never exceed all its parts and all the parts make up the whole.  If you
5 i% M1 i5 p' A0 e/ m* j$ fleave out one of the rules, you will not have a complete forecasting method or trend indicator.
+ v7 X2 ?: s& G& m$ S, p% E: E: GYour success with the method depends upon you doing your part, studying and learning how
: G0 _, C4 o0 Mto apply  the rules and not mixing any  inside or outside  information or reasoning against  the ) H7 V9 L) w' }' }7 n3 d
mathematical indications.  No man ever made a success at anything who did not work hard.  I , h. A. _- h5 M3 l) V
have done my part, and it is now up to you to do yours.
作者: 甘恩    时间: 2009-5-11 17:28
。。。。。。。。。。。。。
作者: WHSH    时间: 2009-5-11 17:30
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
作者: 甘恩    时间: 2009-5-11 17:32
原帖由 WHSH 于 2009-5-11 17:30 发表 ) b' U" T; h+ V0 H
先生

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作者: wushilu    时间: 2009-5-11 17:33
谢谢先生
作者: WHSH    时间: 2009-5-11 17:39
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
作者: Panther    时间: 2009-5-11 18:01
名言就像好茶，可以经常拿出来品。
作者: 天际雪飘    时间: 2009-5-11 18:23
作者: 波浪为王    时间: 2009-5-11 18:29
名言就像好茶，可以经常拿出来品。
作者: anyway    时间: 2009-5-11 19:43
谢谢
作者: zlmm    时间: 2009-5-11 19:48
辛苦了
作者: xxxyyy    时间: 2009-5-11 20:02
作者: cz777    时间: 2009-5-11 20:45
作者: new79man    时间: 2009-5-11 20:45
谢谢楼主分享。
作者: 时价量形    时间: 2009-5-11 20:46
作者: kang21324    时间: 2009-5-11 20:51
作者: axcqy    时间: 2009-5-11 21:47
谢谢楼主分享
作者: 飘漂尧光    时间: 2009-5-11 22:08
谢谢，楼主分享！
作者: xiong7203    时间: 2009-5-11 22:33
作者: mzyma1355    时间: 2009-5-11 22:45
标题: 回复 2# 甘恩 的帖子
“Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for 7 B% I) j' z- R5 Q
forecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
! m7 s3 {5 J# ~4 wand tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in 6 t, a; C2 X) N0 j, p( G6 s. f) s
wrong. ”
) v8 K2 ]% U/ T. X  b
' }3 Q3 }8 I, H
. N- C1 M9 w; y, l
4 y3 z4 y( C4 V8 R4 E“记紧，跟随所有规则；检查再检查；研究大小周期以作预测，看紧阻力水平；观察市场的顶部及底部之形态，及顶底之间的形态。若有任何遗漏，将陷你于错误之中。”——来自《江恩理论——浸润走势分析》P2576 g- y' n. c4 A( x0 a* w
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感谢甘兄立此帖！！！
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作者: newcef    时间: 2009-5-11 23:37
正吖，支持~
作者: caihua58    时间: 2009-5-11 23:47
感谢甘兄！！！
作者: 喧暄    时间: 2009-5-12 01:45
非常感谢甘恩！
作者: 股为金用    时间: 2009-5-12 07:15
谢谢楼主！
作者: shdw    时间: 2009-5-12 07:16
谢谢楼主！
作者: tts073    时间: 2009-5-12 12:47
谢谢
作者: lg222    时间: 2009-5-12 12:53

9 z3 O' N& C, O$ X8 O- l3 u6 E9 H谢谢!
作者: jqbudd    时间: 2009-5-12 15:32
谢谢无私分享
作者: wyhy    时间: 2009-5-12 21:16
谢谢甘恩兄。
作者: gannfanns    时间: 2009-5-21 16:28
很好的教程，谢谢！！
作者: yidow    时间: 2009-5-31 16:30
标题: 回复 1# 甘恩 的帖子
好东西
作者: cwg135    时间: 2014-11-20 21:21
作者: tonyff8    时间: 2015-3-20 23:28
辛苦了 辛苦了
作者: tonyff8    时间: 2015-3-22 20:49
辛苦了 辛苦了



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