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标题: 江恩如是说（5）——如何交易 [打印本页]
作者: 甘恩    时间: 2009-5-11 17:26
标题: 江恩如是说（5）——如何交易
说明：
7 F) c  Z5 _; {# @1.首发。转载请注明出处——阳光飞狐/江恩理论；当然还有译者。谢谢！" e" A! @$ E. ^  ^
2.译文乃初稿，未校稿，仅供参考！
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% a0 Z6 ?8 m- a( |( M* THOW TO TRADE4 R: Q3 V* |* N) T, `0 F
After you have thoroughly mastered all of the lessons, be sure you are right before you make
/ j0 A, A( h9 c+ Ha trade.  Never guess.  Trade on mathematical indications only.
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. U$ t5 p; z! Y" K( G; ]( O& _' YWHAT YOU MUST KNOW BEFORE YOU START TRADING
& T$ o5 _- ^" W; b. }You must know exactly how to apply all the rules.  You must know where to place a stop loss 9 f2 L7 S  |3 u. M; _
order  and must  look up what  cycle  the year  is  in,  that  is, whether  it  is  a bull or bear year, ( a- _% j" V5 t- L+ v
whether the main trend should be up or down.$ r* j) h9 i7 X9 ]# |

1 ]9 a% ^4 C# h4 t4 `Before  you make  a  trade,  either  buying  or  selling,  consider  the  position  of  each  individual , b4 _- _* j2 U' ]0 ^! s
stock on the monthly chart; next consider the weekly chart and then the daily chart.  If they all
) t( |8 P0 W) c1 k7 N, H; ?) a2 oconfirm an uptrend, it is a cinch to buy, provided you have located the point at which to place & L  e" }; r) x1 |& F9 [
a stop loss order.  On the other hand, if the cycle shows that it is a bear year and the monthly,
  V( q$ F- p# Q# Vweekly and daily chart show down trend, then it is the time to go short, but again, you must $ p! c0 D  F8 M4 |9 _: i
look  for  the most  important point  ... where  to place  the stop  loss order so  that  it will not be
# Q! n7 @) s+ @, wmore than 3 points away and closer if possible.
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' k( x- r6 {, I; W, I7 YWHAT TO LOOK UP BEFORE YOU MAKE TRADE4 F3 `  A0 c- w; c
Following  are  the most  important points  that  you must  consider  before  buying  or  selling  a
# S9 {$ y( ^$ `# _( a* kstock:, G- f; [$ b% t% W" Y
1. TIME  CYCLE  ... whether  Bull  or  Bear  year,  and whether main  trend  of  the  general
0 J5 Y7 y% J1 x! f) ^. zmarket is up or down.
) q2 [& t. z2 Q5 H  ^( t* S2. CYCLE OF INDIVIDUAL STOCK … whether up or down year.
7 _/ g( H- F$ j* ?# k* k3 X4 v3. MONTHLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.
$ D7 h: `0 H. v7 |8 s6 u' F- n4. WEEKLY position on TIME PERIODS from tops and bottoms.# _; v% D  T8 ?/ T7 J
5. RESISTANCE LEVELS  ...  see whether  the  stock  is  near  any  half-way  point  or  other
- N( i. W* B; \  f  ^points of support or resistance.
5 y+ ^6 f5 |! c8 F' v2 Y6. Study all FORMATIONS.  If a stock has held for several days, weeks or months around " S0 g/ [5 W8 d/ {( v5 G
the same level, determine whether it is about ready to cross tops or break bottoms.( p2 x9 P0 [, C, `
7. Look up VOLUME OF SALES.  See whether a stock has increased or decreased Volume # I6 o  c" m- f6 Q! N
over past few days or weeks.0 Y/ P# p- k' \& q
8. Look up SPACE or price movements  from previous  tops and bottoms and  find out  the   D# m+ E) ]2 [5 R8 P
greatest  advance  or  decline  for  past  few  weeks  or months.    Example:  If  a  stock  has
& @, A4 R5 I, ~9 Preacted 5 points  several  times  and at  the  time you  look  it up,  if you  find  it  is 3 points 3 w- U. @4 d/ r- h" P  h% v% Z
down from  the last  top and  the  trend  is up on monthly, weekly and daily with  the price 5 P. H! a& |  ~0 l/ J. Y
near a support point, you could buy with a stop loss order 2 to 3 points away.  If the stock / v1 B$ A5 d7 O8 P. o- e( n
should break back over 5 points, the previous reaction  limit,  it would show a change  in
4 \1 g4 q8 `1 F/ h) l; |" qtrend and you should go short of it.
& _& B& N/ a# y. K5 `9. Never overlook the fact that you must have a definite indication before making a trade.# a0 o& l4 w! ]& V2 w8 n
10. Most  important of  all  ... always  locate  the point  at which  to place  a  stop  loss order  to
7 E1 @  `/ W) J7 vlimit risk.) J  {- L- @6 S0 ~- i& X) |
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PRACTICE TRADING ON PAPER
5 X# r/ j5 \- N$ L6 K0 N" tAfter you feel sure  that you have mastered all  the rules and know exactly how  to determine " F  V" C5 S8 E. r! @3 k
the  trend  of  a  stock  and  the  place  to  begin  trading,  then  to make  yourself  doubly  sure  and + y7 [. n8 x3 }; M! X, P+ W
establish confidence, practice trading on paper and till you thoroughly understand how to use $ t/ X/ q* V/ C
the rules and when to use them.  If you make mistakes trading on paper, then you would make
8 V6 s* U7 E" {( Z8 \( }mistakes at the time in actual trading and you are not ready to begin trading.  When you feel
, }" O5 U& K+ j+ F2 H5 ]. M, C* Wthat  you  are  competent  to  start  trading,  apply  all  of  the  rules  and  TRADE  ONLY  ON " [, R9 Z; f6 \, w, Y# _/ c
DEFINITE  INDICATIONS.   If you are not sure of  the  trend or  the buying and selling price * C; N9 _7 c- C& p
and not  sure where  to place  a  stop  loss order,  then wait until you get  a definite  indication.  " U8 E" h' \0 J4 h2 L, S
You can always make money by waiting for opportunities.   There is no use getting in partly
, \2 ~; x; _5 t7 Lon guesswork and losing.
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0 b: m5 H- B- i' XWHEN TO CLOSE A TRADE
9 ^/ O4 O+ L: r# I/ `After you start actual trading, when you make a trade, don't close it or take profits until you
+ f& b4 {; _! I# [9 hhave a definite indication, according to the rules that it is time to sell out or buy in or to move ( L' s! ^* B: S! Y. T) u
up  the  stop  loss order and wait until  it  is caught.   The way  to make  a  success  is  to always
$ l9 e5 V' K3 ?& r: ?follow the trend and not get out or close a trade until the trend changes.
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WHEN TO WAIT AND NOT TRADE
6 {! W# R5 q0 x( Q& X* mIt is just as important to know when not to enter the market as it is to know when to enter it.  / R8 S+ m' k3 f
The  time not  to make a  trade  is when you find a stock has been holding  in a narrow trading 6 Y! q$ \8 c: v1 r/ q5 {
range  for  some  time,  say,  a  5-point  or  a  3-point  range,  but  has  not  broken  under  bottoms  ; u" y( S8 k) T1 w& j) e& s
previously made or crossed tops previously made.  A stock may stay for weeks or months or
' p) w5 D4 `1 f- o2 H' O3 L; t) V* _$ qeven years  in a  trading  range and will not  indicate any big move or change  in  trend until  it
& e1 E. ~. y8 B2 t9 vcrosses  as  a  previous  top  or  breaks  a  previous  bottom.    After  a  prolonged  decline  stocks
# Y* y2 Y% W% d( O* vnearly always narrow down and hold in a trading range for some time.  If a stock is inactive in
% I- i3 d- t# d# ?this position, it is no time to start trading in it.3 C8 k( g) {. Y
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FOLLOW ALL RULES- v9 V$ r7 G/ w6 O  I4 h+ @0 _. o
Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for
9 c$ v5 U$ g3 D) l7 Vforecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
: e0 f( E: X( Wand tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in & c- f0 E2 u8 P# x$ B. u
wrong.  The whole can never exceed all its parts and all the parts make up the whole.  If you ; ^4 ]3 {" A6 H
leave out one of the rules, you will not have a complete forecasting method or trend indicator.9 a+ [) J. i/ E/ M/ ~
Your success with the method depends upon you doing your part, studying and learning how
1 M: a$ `7 G1 f" P% s$ G$ pto apply  the rules and not mixing any  inside or outside  information or reasoning against  the + J/ r- R% h$ T1 b6 P( p; S" x
mathematical indications.  No man ever made a success at anything who did not work hard.  I ) V  ^9 m7 M) m! ^( g% \2 d9 i, j
have done my part, and it is now up to you to do yours.
作者: 甘恩    时间: 2009-5-11 17:28
。。。。。。。。。。。。。
作者: WHSH    时间: 2009-5-11 17:30
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
作者: 甘恩    时间: 2009-5-11 17:32
原帖由 WHSH 于 2009-5-11 17:30 发表 * G3 c$ O1 \+ S3 [. q) C
先生
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作者: wushilu    时间: 2009-5-11 17:33
谢谢先生
作者: WHSH    时间: 2009-5-11 17:39
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
作者: Panther    时间: 2009-5-11 18:01
名言就像好茶，可以经常拿出来品。
作者: 天际雪飘    时间: 2009-5-11 18:23
作者: 波浪为王    时间: 2009-5-11 18:29
名言就像好茶，可以经常拿出来品。
作者: anyway    时间: 2009-5-11 19:43
谢谢
作者: zlmm    时间: 2009-5-11 19:48
辛苦了
作者: xxxyyy    时间: 2009-5-11 20:02
作者: cz777    时间: 2009-5-11 20:45
作者: new79man    时间: 2009-5-11 20:45
谢谢楼主分享。
作者: 时价量形    时间: 2009-5-11 20:46
作者: kang21324    时间: 2009-5-11 20:51
作者: axcqy    时间: 2009-5-11 21:47
谢谢楼主分享
作者: 飘漂尧光    时间: 2009-5-11 22:08
谢谢，楼主分享！
作者: xiong7203    时间: 2009-5-11 22:33
作者: mzyma1355    时间: 2009-5-11 22:45
标题: 回复 2# 甘恩 的帖子
“Remember,  follow all  rules; check and double check;  study  the major and minor  cycles  for ( x( i: `0 _6 S4 i& b7 @
forecasting; watch closely the Resistance Levels; study the different Formations and bottoms
" M2 `5 r, D8 L6 X+ B5 f% O* Hand tops and between bottoms and tops.  If you ignore one important point, it may get you in
& @0 z! @3 Z3 `: I, o$ c2 f4 Swrong. ”
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* R6 N% l& Z9 d9 K- L( I6 j% S
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2 [( y: L# W. j3 b“记紧，跟随所有规则；检查再检查；研究大小周期以作预测，看紧阻力水平；观察市场的顶部及底部之形态，及顶底之间的形态。若有任何遗漏，将陷你于错误之中。”——来自《江恩理论——浸润走势分析》P2579 J2 }' i1 e: h+ q( L, h

$ _: }. M) n7 Q* @& B* ^# Y" d) N: y感谢甘兄立此帖！！！3 D4 c$ q) |" H8 B
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作者: newcef    时间: 2009-5-11 23:37
正吖，支持~
作者: caihua58    时间: 2009-5-11 23:47
感谢甘兄！！！
作者: 喧暄    时间: 2009-5-12 01:45
非常感谢甘恩！
作者: 股为金用    时间: 2009-5-12 07:15
谢谢楼主！
作者: shdw    时间: 2009-5-12 07:16
谢谢楼主！
作者: tts073    时间: 2009-5-12 12:47
谢谢
作者: lg222    时间: 2009-5-12 12:53

* B0 @5 g) |, R! X: }谢谢!
作者: jqbudd    时间: 2009-5-12 15:32
谢谢无私分享
作者: wyhy    时间: 2009-5-12 21:16
谢谢甘恩兄。
作者: gannfanns    时间: 2009-5-21 16:28
很好的教程，谢谢！！
作者: yidow    时间: 2009-5-31 16:30
标题: 回复 1# 甘恩 的帖子
好东西
作者: cwg135    时间: 2014-11-20 21:21
作者: tonyff8    时间: 2015-3-20 23:28
辛苦了 辛苦了
作者: tonyff8    时间: 2015-3-22 20:49
辛苦了 辛苦了



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